Private Markets Analyst, pvtIQ

Beier Luo

Private Markets Analyst

Private Markets Research and Data, Reimagined

pvtIQ

pvtIQ leverages Smartkarma’s technology and distribution to deliver high-quality research and data on Asian private markets.

Private Capital Markets

PatSnap is a global AI-native innovation intelligence company headquartered in Singapore. Founded in 2007, it provides a platform used by over 18,000 enterprises and research institutions to accelerate research and development (R&D) and protect intellectual property (IP).

<h2>Executive Summary</h2>
<ul>
<li>
Agentic Workflows Accelerating as Liquidity Thesis Tracks to Plan: The baseline investment theses remain intact, with the transition towards agentic workflows accelerating through dedicated leadership appointments and the proprietary data moat reinforced by new bioactivity datasets. While a confidential dual listing application targeting a US$300.0m to US$400.0m raise supports the liquidity thesis, limited public disclosure of financial reporting and senior leadership continues to introduce execution friction.</li>
<li>
Deepening Biopharma Capabilities and Strategic Artificial Intelligence Investments: The company expanded its life sciences architecture through a strategic data partnership with Evolvus to integrate highly curated therapeutic datasets and appointed veteran product leaders to direct its life sciences strategy and artificial intelligence drafting products. Beyond organic development, participation in the Vertex Ventures-led US$3.0m seed round of the autonomous research platform Drylab AI, and integration with the ASEAN IP Cooperation further reinforce its ecosystem footprint.</li>
<li>
Governance Drags Offset by Strengthening Data Moats: The pvtIQ Fundamental SmartScore© improved, led by Growth and Management after strategic talent acquisitions and a new data partnership, although Governance remains constrained by limited public disclosure of financial reporting and senior leadership. The pvtIQ Alt-Data SmartScore© also strengthened. Strong Product Affinity and Authority dimensions reflect consistent user satisfaction and high search engine visibility, while Socials remains the weakest dimension despite improving.</li>
</ul>

Executive Summary


Agentic Workflows Accelerating as Liquidity Thesis Tracks to Plan: The baseline investment theses remain intact, with the transition towards agentic workflows accelerating through dedicated leadership appointments and the proprietary data moat reinforced by new bioactivity datasets. While a confidential dual listing application targeting a US$300.0m to US$400.0m raise supports the liquidity thesis, limited public disclosure of financial reporting and senior leadership continues to introduce execution friction.

Deepening Biopharma Capabilities and Strategic Artificial Intelligence Investments: The company expanded its life sciences architecture through a strategic data partnership with Evolvus to integrate highly curated therapeutic datasets and appointed veteran product leaders to direct its life sciences strategy and artificial intelligence drafting products. Beyond organic development, participation in the Vertex Ventures-led US$3.0m seed round of the autonomous research platform Drylab AI, and integration with the ASEAN IP Cooperation further reinforce its ecosystem footprint.

Governance Drags Offset by Strengthening Data Moats: The pvtIQ Fundamental SmartScore© improved, led by Growth and Management after strategic talent acquisitions and a new data partnership, although Governance remains constrained by limited public disclosure of financial reporting and senior leadership. The pvtIQ Alt-Data SmartScore© also strengthened. Strong Product Affinity and Authority dimensions reflect consistent user satisfaction and high search engine visibility, while Socials remains the weakest dimension despite improving.


PatSnap: Deepening the AI-Native Transition into Agentic Workflows (Update)

Macro, FX and Rates Strategist

Ishaan Dev Kapoor

FX & Rates

Legacy Government (Sovereign) Generic Index-key ticker

<ul>
<li>The September 2027 contract prices three further hikes and a one-in-three chance of a fourth, 55bp above the committee's own projected path. We buy ZQU7 at 95.325 (4.675%), $7.5k DV01.</li>
<li>Diesel is 67% above a year ago, yet core PCE is running at 2% annualised. Firms are absorbing the shock, wages show no pass-through and inflation breadth is narrowing.</li>
<li>Policy is near neutral and financial conditions have tightened since September. Two further hikes would make policy restrictive in a supply shock; a less hawkish 2027 committee makes them unlikely.</li>
</ul>


The September 2027 contract prices three further hikes and a one-in-three chance of a fourth, 55bp above the committee's own projected path. We buy ZQU7 at 95.325 (4.675%), $7.5k DV01.
Diesel is 67% above a year ago, yet core PCE is running at 2% annualised. Firms are absorbing the shock, wages show no pass-through and inflation breadth is narrowing.
Policy is near neutral and financial conditions have tightened since September. Two further hikes would make policy restrictive in a supply shock; a less hawkish 2027 committee makes them unlikely.


A Terminal Rate the Data Do Not Support: Buying September 2027 Fed Funds Futures

Indonesian Equities | Buy-Side Investment Research

Defriansyah Has

Equity Bottom-Up

Astra International is a leading Indonesian conglomerate with a highly diversified business portfolio across seven main segments: automotive, financial services, heavy equipment, mining, construction, agribusiness, infrastructure, information technology, and property. The company manufactures, distributes, and services vehicles, provides financial and insurance services, and is involved in palm oil plantations, logistics, and property development. It was founded in 1957 and is headquartered in Jakarta, Indonesia.

<ul>
<li>September 2026 national car wholesales rose 28% YoY, but Astra's 9M26 volume grew only 13% versus 21% for the industry, reducing its market share to 49.3%.</li>
<li>Mining-Linked risks dominate the downside. UNTR's cash generation deteriorated sharply, while Martabe's unresolved permit status adds material uncertainty to gold earnings.</li>
<li>The discount is not enough yet. Our indicative NAV implies a 13% discount, but stabilising margins and cash generation remain unproven. BEARISH; low-to-moderate conviction.</li>
</ul>


September 2026 national car wholesales rose 28% YoY, but Astra's 9M26 volume grew only 13% versus 21% for the industry, reducing its market share to 49.3%.
Mining-Linked risks dominate the downside. UNTR's cash generation deteriorated sharply, while Martabe's unresolved permit status adds material uncertainty to gold earnings.
The discount is not enough yet. Our indicative NAV implies a 13% discount, but stabilising margins and cash generation remain unproven. BEARISH; low-to-moderate conviction.


Astra International (ASII): A Discount on Paper, a Cash-Earnings Test in Practice

Hedge Fund News, Information and Data, Hedge Fund Alpha

Hedge Fund Alpha

Hedge Fund News, Information and Data

We focus on hedge funds with a bias towards emerging managers, specifically fundamental long-short managers. We are known for a lot of insights and exclusives on hedge fund letters, coverage of industry conferences, and interviews with investors and interesting service providers.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>LYNX Bermuda 1.5 gained 13.90 percent in September and now leads HSBC’s hedge fund performance table with a 53.06 percent return for 2026.</li><li>The worst performer, Orgueil Capital Global L/S Equity, lost 14.84 percent in the same month and is down 22.12 percent for the year.</li><li>The gap is 75.18 percentage points, up from 57.24 points four weeks ago , when Quantedge led at plus 42.45 percent and Saba Capital’s carry-neutral tail hedge was last at -14.79 percent.</li></ul>

LYNX Bermuda 1.5 gained 13.90 percent in September and now leads HSBC’s hedge fund performance table with a 53.06 percent return for 2026.The worst performer, Orgueil Capital Global L/S Equity, lost 14.84 percent in the same month and is down 22.12 percent for the year.The gap is 75.18 percentage points, up from 57.24 points four weeks ago , when Quantedge led at plus 42.45 percent and Saba Capital’s carry-neutral tail hedge was last at -14.79 percent.

LYNX Up 53% as the 2026 Hedge Fund Performance Spread Widens to 75 Points

<ul><li>John W. Rogers Jr. founded Ariel Investments in 1983 and remains the firm’s founder, chairman, co-CEO, and chief investment officer.</li><li>Based in Chicago, Ariel has grown into a global asset manager.</li><li>The firm had $16.3 billion in assets under management as of June 30, 2026, including affiliated advisers and private-fund commitments.</li></ul>

John W. Rogers Jr. founded Ariel Investments in 1983 and remains the firm’s founder, chairman, co-CEO, and chief investment officer.Based in Chicago, Ariel has grown into a global asset manager.The firm had $16.3 billion in assets under management as of June 30, 2026, including affiliated advisers and private-fund commitments.

John W. Rogers Portfolio: What Ariel Investments Owns Now (2026)

Insights from the newest additions to our network

New on Smartkarma
Insights from the newest additions to our network

PatSnap: Deepening the AI-Native Transition into Agentic Workflows (Update)

Executive Summary Agentic Workflows and Liquidity Catalysts Accelerating: The baseline investment theses remain intact, with the transition toward...

pvtIQ

A Terminal Rate the Data Do Not Support: Buying September 2027 Fed Funds Futures

September 2027 fed funds price 55bp more tightening than the FOMC’s own path. With underlying inflation near target and conditions tightening, we...

Ishaan Dev Kapoor

Astra International (ASII): A Discount on Paper, a Cash-Earnings Test in Practice

Auto sales are recovering, but Astra is losing share. UNTR earnings and cash flow are weakening, yet ASII is buying back shares. Is its 13% NAV...

Defriansyah Has

LYNX Up 53% as the 2026 Hedge Fund Performance Spread Widens to 75 Points

LYNX Bermuda 1.5 gained 13.90 percent in September and now leads HSBC’s hedge fund performance table with a 53.06 percent return for 2026.

Hedge Fund Alpha

John W. Rogers Portfolio: What Ariel Investments Owns Now (2026)

John W. Rogers Jr. founded Ariel Investments in 1983 and remains the firm’s founder, chairman, co-CEO, and chief investment officer.

Hedge Fund Alpha