Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>HD Hyundai Robotics will raise 200 billion won ($144 million) valuing the company at 1.8 trillion won.</li>
<li>Korea Development Bank and KY PE will be investing 200 billion won in HD Hyundai Robotics through a redeemable convertible preference shares in September.</li>
<li>Our NAV valuation analysis of HD Hyundai suggests target price of 168,561 won per share, which represents a 27% upside from current levels.</li>
</ul>


HD Hyundai Robotics will raise 200 billion won ($144 million) valuing the company at 1.8 trillion won.
Korea Development Bank and KY PE will be investing 200 billion won in HD Hyundai Robotics through a redeemable convertible preference shares in September.
Our NAV valuation analysis of HD Hyundai suggests target price of 168,561 won per share, which represents a 27% upside from current levels.


HD Hyundai Robotics Raises 200 Billion Won and NAV Analysis of HD Hyundai

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The most important reason for KT's excellent results in 2Q 2025 was due to the major hacking incident at SK Telecom in May 2025.</li>
<li>The company's growing AI business and successful real estate sales also contributed to the company's improving results in 2Q 2025. </li>
<li>KT is likely to benefit from higher profits and returns on capital in the next couple of years as the penetration of 5G service surpasses more than 80%.</li>
</ul>


The most important reason for KT's excellent results in 2Q 2025 was due to the major hacking incident at SK Telecom in May 2025.
The company's growing AI business and successful real estate sales also contributed to the company's improving results in 2Q 2025. 
KT is likely to benefit from higher profits and returns on capital in the next couple of years as the penetration of 5G service surpasses more than 80%.


KT Corp: Excellent 2Q 2025 Earnings Driven by Market Share Gain and Improving AI/Cloud Businesses

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>Foreign room in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sk-telecom-co-ltd-bbccd86c-474d-4a4d-946d-10e911a225a2" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:395:1" rel="noopener">SK Telecom (017670 KS)</a> is over 21% now and increasing as foreign investors sell stock.</li>
<li>Further foreign selling could take foreign room past 25% and that will result in passive inflows for the stock. Timing is dependent on when the 25% threshold is crossed.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sk-telecom-co-ltd-bbccd86c-474d-4a4d-946d-10e911a225a2" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:395:1" rel="noopener">SK Telecom</a> has underperformed its peers over the last 3 months and that has shrunk its valuation premium. Watch for a further increase in foreign room for an entry point.</li>
</ul>


Foreign room in SK Telecom (017670 KS) is over 21% now and increasing as foreign investors sell stock.
Further foreign selling could take foreign room past 25% and that will result in passive inflows for the stock. Timing is dependent on when the 25% threshold is crossed.

SK Telecom has underperformed its peers over the last 3 months and that has shrunk its valuation premium. Watch for a further increase in foreign room for an entry point.


SK Telecom (017670 KS): Increasing Foreign Room & Passive Buying

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of KRX stocks as of Jul 18th. The aggregated short interest was USD9.4bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Kakaopay, Korzinc, SK Hynix, Samsung Sds, Hanwha Aerospace, Woori Financial, Alteogen, Samsung H.I..</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of KRX stocks as of Jul 18th. The aggregated short interest was USD9.4bn.
We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Kakaopay, Korzinc, SK Hynix, Samsung Sds, Hanwha Aerospace, Woori Financial, Alteogen, Samsung H.I..


KRX Short Interest Weekly (Jul 18th): Kakaopay, Korzinc, SK Hynix, Samsung Sds, Hanwha Aerospace

<ul>
<li>SK Telecom experienced the biggest cyberattack in its history in April which is likely to result in a major shakeup of its management team. </li>
<li>We estimate SK Telecom could lose 1 million+ mobile service customers. Given its ARPU of 29,355 won per month, this would represent lost annual revenue of nearly 352 billion won. </li>
<li>This massive cyberattack could cost SK Telecom more than 1 trillion won in a combination of lost revenue and additional commission/advertising necessary to attract new customers. </li>
</ul>


SK Telecom experienced the biggest cyberattack in its history in April which is likely to result in a major shakeup of its management team. 
We estimate SK Telecom could lose 1 million+ mobile service customers. Given its ARPU of 29,355 won per month, this would represent lost annual revenue of nearly 352 billion won. 
This massive cyberattack could cost SK Telecom more than 1 trillion won in a combination of lost revenue and additional commission/advertising necessary to attract new customers. 


Biggest Cyberattack in SK Telecom's History - Likely to Lead to Major Management Changes

South Korea

KT Corporation provides telecommunication services including local, long distance, and international calling, satellite communication, data transmission, and wireless telephone services in South Korea.  The Company also offers network portal and high-speed Internet access services using asymmetric digital subscriber lines (ADSLs).

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KT Corp (030200 KS)

HD Hyundai Robotics Raises 200 Billion Won and NAV Analysis of HD Hyundai

HD Hyundai Robotics will raise 200 billion won ($144 million) valuing the company at 1.8 trillion won. Korea Development Bank and KY PE will be...

Douglas Kim

SK Telecom (017670 KS): Increasing Foreign Room & Passive Buying

SK Telecom's foreign room is higher than 21%. Some more foreign selling needed for foreign room to exceed 25%. Then there will be passive buying....

Brian Freitas

KRX Short Interest Weekly (Jul 18th): Kakaopay, Korzinc, SK Hynix, Samsung Sds, Hanwha Aerospace

We analyzed KRX short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Kakaopay, Korzinc, SK Hynix, Samsung Sds, Hanwha...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Biggest Cyberattack in SK Telecom's History - Likely to Lead to Major Management Changes

SK Telecom experienced the biggest cyberattack in its history in April which could cost SK Telecom more than 1 trillion won in a combination of...

Douglas Kim

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

HD Hyundai Robotics Raises 200 Billion Won and NAV Analysis of HD Hyundai

HD Hyundai Robotics will raise 200 billion won ($144 million) valuing the company at 1.8 trillion won. Korea Development Bank and KY PE will be...

Douglas Kim

KT Corp: Excellent 2Q 2025 Earnings Driven by Market Share Gain and Improving AI/Cloud Businesses

KT reported excellent results in 2Q25 due to the major hacking incident at SK Telecom. KT's growing AI business and successful real estate sales...

Douglas Kim

SK Telecom (017670 KS): Increasing Foreign Room & Passive Buying

SK Telecom's foreign room is higher than 21%. Some more foreign selling needed for foreign room to exceed 25%. Then there will be passive buying....

Brian Freitas

KRX Short Interest Weekly (Jul 18th): Kakaopay, Korzinc, SK Hynix, Samsung Sds, Hanwha Aerospace

We analyzed KRX short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Kakaopay, Korzinc, SK Hynix, Samsung Sds, Hanwha...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Biggest Cyberattack in SK Telecom's History - Likely to Lead to Major Management Changes

SK Telecom experienced the biggest cyberattack in its history in April which could cost SK Telecom more than 1 trillion won in a combination of...

Douglas Kim