Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The in-specie distribution is basically a forward block sale of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/meituan-dianping" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26970:1" rel="noopener">Meituan (3690 HK)</a>. You know it's coming. You don't know how large it is. It is not unlike a lockup situation. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-hainan-rubber-industry-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10551:1" rel="noopener">China Hainan Rubber Industry (601118 CH)</a> will start with 36% in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/halcyon-agri-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18191:1" rel="noopener">Halcyon Agri (HACL SP)</a>. Founders and friends have ~10%. Getting to 50%+ will be easy.</li>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/swire-pacific-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23726:1" rel="noopener">Swire Pacific (B)</a> / <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/swire-pacific-ltd-cl-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10433:1" rel="noopener">Swire Pacific (A)</a> ratio is near a 19-year low. The last time it dipped to 6% under its 3mo average, it bounced back in 4 weeks. </li>
</ul>


The in-specie distribution is basically a forward block sale of Meituan (3690 HK). You know it's coming. You don't know how large it is. It is not unlike a lockup situation. 

China Hainan Rubber Industry (601118 CH) will start with 36% in Halcyon Agri (HACL SP). Founders and friends have ~10%. Getting to 50%+ will be easy.
The Swire Pacific (B) / Swire Pacific (A) ratio is near a 19-year low. The last time it dipped to 6% under its 3mo average, it bounced back in 4 weeks. 


Last Week in Event SPACE: Tencent/Meituan, Halcyon Agri, Swire Pac, Perpetual/Pendal, OZ Minerals

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>A weekly summary of key developments across ECM and Event-Driven names tracked by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, Korea, India and Chinese ADRs.</li>
<li>ECM developments - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/i-tail-corp-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36428:1" rel="noopener">I-Tail (ITC TB)</a> launches an up to US$593 million SET IPO, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lygend-resources-technology" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36493:1" rel="noopener">Lygend Resources &amp; Technology (LR HK)</a> set to launch an HKEx IPO to raise US$700-800 million.</li>
<li>Event-Driven developments - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/oz-minerals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1138:1" rel="noopener">OZ Minerals Ltd (OZL AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/perpetual-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:599:1" rel="noopener">Perpetual Ltd (PPT AU)</a>/<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pendal-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15795:1" rel="noopener">Pendal Group (PDL AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nearmap-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5142:1" rel="noopener">Nearmap Ltd (NEA AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/halcyon-agri-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18191:1" rel="noopener">Halcyon Agri (HACL SP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yashili-international-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3397:1" rel="noopener">Yashili International Holdings (1230 HK)</a>. </li>
</ul>


A weekly summary of key developments across ECM and Event-Driven names tracked by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, Korea, India and Chinese ADRs.
ECM developments - I-Tail (ITC TB) launches an up to US$593 million SET IPO, Lygend Resources &amp; Technology (LR HK) set to launch an HKEx IPO to raise US$700-800 million.
Event-Driven developments - OZ Minerals Ltd (OZL AU), Perpetual Ltd (PPT AU)/Pendal Group (PDL AU), Nearmap Ltd (NEA AU), Halcyon Agri (HACL SP), Yashili International Holdings (1230 HK). 


Weekly Deals Digest (20 Nov) - OZ Minerals, Pendal, Nearmap, Halcyon, Yashili, I-Tail, Lygend

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/oz-minerals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1138:1" rel="noopener">OZ Minerals Ltd (OZL AU)</a> has received a revised non-binding indicative offer from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bhp-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:147:1" rel="noopener">BHP Group Ltd (BHP AU)</a> at A$28.25 per share, a 13.0% premium to the previously rejected offer.</li>
<li>The Board has granted four weeks of due diligence and intends to recommend a binding offer at A$28.25 per share, in the absence of a superior proposal.</li>
<li>While the offer is below the rumoured Board's target of a A$30 offer, it is still attractive. At the last close, the gross spread to the offer is 3.3%.</li>
</ul>



OZ Minerals Ltd (OZL AU) has received a revised non-binding indicative offer from BHP Group Ltd (BHP AU) at A$28.25 per share, a 13.0% premium to the previously rejected offer.
The Board has granted four weeks of due diligence and intends to recommend a binding offer at A$28.25 per share, in the absence of a superior proposal.
While the offer is below the rumoured Board's target of a A$30 offer, it is still attractive. At the last close, the gross spread to the offer is 3.3%.


OZ Minerals (OZL AU)’s A$28.25 Non-Binding Offer from BHP

Travis Lundy

<ul>
<li>After nearly 3 months of no talks and movement, then a flurry of both, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bhp-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:147:1" rel="noopener">BHP Group Ltd (BHP AU)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/oz-minerals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1138:1" rel="noopener">OZ Minerals Ltd (OZL AU)</a> have an agreed Revised Proposal.</li>
<li>OZ Minerals Board has agreed to support the Revised Proposal at A$28.25/share, a 13% bump, subject to due diligence provided on an exclusive basis for four weeks.</li>
<li>A fully-franked dividend or capital return will be allowed (Scheme price to be adjusted). This will probably trade tight. One owns a call option on copper for probably 3-4 months.</li>
</ul>


After nearly 3 months of no talks and movement, then a flurry of both, BHP Group Ltd (BHP AU) and OZ Minerals Ltd (OZL AU) have an agreed Revised Proposal.
OZ Minerals Board has agreed to support the Revised Proposal at A$28.25/share, a 13% bump, subject to due diligence provided on an exclusive basis for four weeks.
A fully-franked dividend or capital return will be allowed (Scheme price to be adjusted). This will probably trade tight. One owns a call option on copper for probably 3-4 months.


OZ Minerals (OZL AU) And BHP Have a Deal - Investors Have an OTM Option on Copper

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bhp-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:147:1" rel="noopener">BHP Group</a> has made a revised conditional, non-binding and indicative proposal to acquire all shares in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/oz-minerals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1138:1" rel="noopener">OZ Minerals Ltd (OZL AU)</a> at A$28.25/share, 13% higher than its earlier offer.</li>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/oz-minerals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1138:1" rel="noopener">OZ Minerals</a> Board has agreed to give <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bhp-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:147:1" rel="noopener">BHP Group Ltd (BHP AU)</a> exclusive due diligence access for 4 weeks and intends to unanimously recommend the revised proposal.</li>
<li>Barring a competing proposal, this is <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bhp-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:147:1" rel="noopener">BHP Group</a>'s best and final price - expect the stock to trade close to A$28/share today.</li>
</ul>



BHP Group has made a revised conditional, non-binding and indicative proposal to acquire all shares in OZ Minerals Ltd (OZL AU) at A$28.25/share, 13% higher than its earlier offer.
The OZ Minerals Board has agreed to give BHP Group Ltd (BHP AU) exclusive due diligence access for 4 weeks and intends to unanimously recommend the revised proposal.
Barring a competing proposal, this is BHP Group's best and final price - expect the stock to trade close to A$28/share today.


OZ Minerals (OZL AU): BHP Ups Offer by 13%; This Should Get Done

Australia

OZ Minerals Ltd. is an Australian based mining company with a focus on copper. The Company owns and operates the Prominent Hill copper-gold mine and the Carrapateena copper-gold project located in South Australia and has a number of equity interests in listed resource companies.

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OZ Minerals Ltd (OZL AU)

Last Week in Event SPACE: Tencent/Meituan, Halcyon Agri, Swire Pac, Perpetual/Pendal, OZ Minerals

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

Weekly Deals Digest (20 Nov) - OZ Minerals, Pendal, Nearmap, Halcyon, Yashili, I-Tail, Lygend

Last week, notable developments occurred in Event-Driven (Nearmap, Nitro, OZ Minerals. Perpetual, Pendal, ReadyTech, Lifestyle, Yashili, Halcyon,...

Arun George

OZ Minerals (OZL AU)’s A$28.25 Non-Binding Offer from BHP

While the offer is below the rumoured Board's target of a A$30 offer, it is still attractive. At the last close, the gross spread to the offer is...

Arun George

OZ Minerals (OZL AU) And BHP Have a Deal - Investors Have an OTM Option on Copper

BHP + OZL have agreed a Revised Proposal at A$28.25, lower than I expected. There is still copper optionality but BHP did well. May trade a bit...

Travis Lundy

OZ Minerals (OZL AU): BHP Ups Offer by 13%; This Should Get Done

BHP has increased its offer for OZL by 13% & got due diligence access. Barring a competing proposal, this is BHP's best offer. We expect the deal...

Brian Freitas

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