Japan TMT Analyst

Pelham Smithers

Market Intel on Asian Tech with a Japan focus

Pelham Smithers Associates

Founded in 2009, Pelham Smithers Associates (PSA) provides market intelligence on Asian technology, focusing in particular on Japan. The industries covered by our team of specialists are: consumer electronics, telecomms, pharmaceuticals, internet, electronic parts and materials, automotive technology, retail and capital goods. 

Research is provided by the following:
Pelham Smithers: Macro, consumer electronics, telecoms & pharma
Joel Scheiman: Electronics materials / components
Julie Boote: Autos
Will Nestuk: Capital goods, machinery & transportation equipment parts
Thao Nguyen: eCommerce, internet content, marketing & advertising

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

Two recent press articles "Muddy Waters and Andrew Left: the short sellers having a ball" ( <a href="https://www.ft.com/content/8f87b1da-70c7-11e6-a0c9-1365ce54b926" target="_blank">https://www.ft.com/content/8f87b1da-70c7-11e6-a0c9-1365ce54b926</a> ) and a piece by Breakingviews' Quentin Webb "Building Consensus" ( <a href="http://www.breakingviews.com/considered-view/tokyos-analysts-outperform-on-a-bad-metric/" target="_blank">http://www.breakingviews.com/considered-view/tokyos-analysts-outperform-on-a-bad-metric/</a> ) document the rise and the need for short sell research in the Japanese stock market. However, like much about the Japanese stock market, we would argue that the situation is nothing…

Two recent press articles "Muddy Waters and Andrew Left: the short sellers having a ball" ( https://www.ft.com/content/8f87b1da-70c7-11e6-a0c9-1365ce54b926 ) and a piece by Breakingviews' Quentin Webb "Building Consensus" ( http://www.breakingviews.com/considered-view/tokyos-analysts-outperform-on-a-bad-metric/ ) document the rise and the need for short sell research in the Japanese stock market. However, like much about the Japanese stock market, we would argue that the situation is nothing…

Short Sell Research Vs The Japan Stock Market Blob

Founder and CEO, Europacifica Consulting

Naomi Fink

Founder and CEO

Europacifica Consulting

Macroeconomics

Empirical data on the drivers of Japanese productivity are sadly not at the forefront of Abenomics, but they should be.  Europacifica CEO Naomi Fink has published, over the last year, two papers with Columbia University's CJEB which show exactly why this is.  The first of these papers illustrates why and where we find evidence that the BOJ's fight against deflation is insufficient (although it may be necessary) to cure Japan's ills:<h2>Why Overcoming Deflation Alone is Not Enough</h2>There is "bad…

Empirical data on the drivers of Japanese productivity are sadly not at the forefront of Abenomics, but they should be.  Europacifica CEO Naomi Fink has published, over the last year, two papers with Columbia University's CJEB which show exactly why this is.  The first of these papers illustrates why and where we find evidence that the BOJ's fight against deflation is insufficient (although it may be necessary) to cure Japan's ills:Why Overcoming Deflation Alone is Not EnoughThere is "bad…

Japan Non-IT Industries: Overcoming Deflation Not Enough

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in margin trading positions of JPX stocks as of Jan 23rd. The aggregated net margin trading position is USD22,549m.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top/bottom net long/short of margin trading by value, net margin buy as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight net margin buy/sell changes in Mitsubishi UFJ Financial, Lasertec, Fast Retailing, Kawasaki Heavy Industries, Nichirei, TDK, Advantest, Sony, Sumitomo Pharma, Daiichi Sankyo, Mitsubishi Ufj Financial, Lasertec.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in margin trading positions of JPX stocks as of Jan 23rd. The aggregated net margin trading position is USD22,549m.
We tabulate league tables for top/bottom net long/short of margin trading by value, net margin buy as multiple of ADT.
We highlight net margin buy/sell changes in Mitsubishi UFJ Financial, Lasertec, Fast Retailing, Kawasaki Heavy Industries, Nichirei, TDK, Advantest, Sony, Sumitomo Pharma, Daiichi Sankyo, Mitsubishi Ufj Financial, Lasertec.


JPX Margin Trading Weekly (Jan 23rd): Mitsubishi UFJ Financial, Lasertec, Fast Retailing

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>On the 10th December 2024, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/renew-energy-global-plc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:37038:1" rel="noopener">ReNew Energy Global (RNW US)</a>, an Indian renewable energy play, announced US$7.07/share NBIO. The bidding consortium subsequently bumped terms to US$8/share on the 3rd July.</li>
<li>After shares traded through terms for a week, the Consortium increased (best &amp; final) non-binding terms to US$8.15/share, a 29% premium to undisturbed. The Offer is via a UK Scheme.</li>
<li>That last bump was on the 10th October. JERA, with 11.7% of shares out, and 25.7% of minorities, is supportive, IF terms are firmed. The Special Committee is still mulling.</li>
</ul>


On the 10th December 2024, ReNew Energy Global (RNW US), an Indian renewable energy play, announced US$7.07/share NBIO. The bidding consortium subsequently bumped terms to US$8/share on the 3rd July.
After shares traded through terms for a week, the Consortium increased (best &amp; final) non-binding terms to US$8.15/share, a 29% premium to undisturbed. The Offer is via a UK Scheme.
That last bump was on the 10th October. JERA, with 11.7% of shares out, and 25.7% of minorities, is supportive, IF terms are firmed. The Special Committee is still mulling.


What's Up - Or Rather, Down - With ReNew Energy Global (RNW US)?

<ul>
<li>Back on the 10th December 2024, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/renew-energy-global-plc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:37038:1" rel="noopener">ReNew Energy Global (RNW US)</a>, an Indian renewable energy play, announced a non-binding Offer of US$7.07/share, by way of a Scheme.</li>
<li>The bidding consortium, comprising (mainly) pre-IPO investors CPP, ADIA, Abu Dhabi Future Energy, and founder Sumant Sinha, collectively holding 64%. Non-binding terms were bumped to US$8/share on the 3rd July.</li>
<li>ReNew's Special Committee will provide "public comment regarding these matters at such time as there is a material development in the process, and by no later than 30 September 2025".
</li>
</ul>


Back on the 10th December 2024, ReNew Energy Global (RNW US), an Indian renewable energy play, announced a non-binding Offer of US$7.07/share, by way of a Scheme.
The bidding consortium, comprising (mainly) pre-IPO investors CPP, ADIA, Abu Dhabi Future Energy, and founder Sumant Sinha, collectively holding 64%. Non-binding terms were bumped to US$8/share on the 3rd July.
ReNew's Special Committee will provide "public comment regarding these matters at such time as there is a material development in the process, and by no later than 30 September 2025".



ReNew Energy Global (RNW US): Decision Time On NBIO

Japan

Chubu Electric Power Company, Incorporated generates, transmits, distributes, and sells electricity in Chubu area.  The Company's service area includes Aichi, Gifu, Mie, Nagano, and part of Shizuoka Prefecture.

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Chubu Electric Power Co (9502 JP)

Short Sell Research Vs The Japan Stock Market Blob

Two recent press articles "Muddy Waters and Andrew Left: the short sellers having a ball" (...

Pelham Smithers Associates

Japan Non-IT Industries: Overcoming Deflation Not Enough

Empirical data on the drivers of Japanese productivity are sadly not at the forefront of Abenomics, but they should be. Europacifica CEO Naomi...

Naomi Fink

JPX Margin Trading Weekly (Jan 23rd): Mitsubishi UFJ Financial, Lasertec, Fast Retailing

We analyzed JPX margin trading positions report for the past week and highlighted Mitsubishi UFJ Financial (8306 JP), Lasertec (6920 JP), Fast...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

What's Up - Or Rather, Down - With ReNew Energy Global (RNW US)?

Trading at a 8.5% gross spread. I'd be getting some exposure here. I think the risk of minority shareholders pushing back is overstated. Note:...

David Blennerhassett

ReNew Energy Global (RNW US): Decision Time On NBIO

And we have a bump. "The Consortium is prepared to increase its offer price to US$8.15/share, in cash, for the ... issued share capital of the...

David Blennerhassett

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