Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Quantitative Analysis

<div><p>The Asia Short Interest weekly looks at moves in market wide short interest and highlights movements in stock specific short interest across Hong Kong, Japan, Korea and Taiwan using the last available data published by the relevant authorities.</p></div><div><p>Hong Kong saw shorts rise on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28434:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba Group (9988 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ping-an-insurance-grp-co-of-china-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12880:1" rel="noopener">Ping An Insurance (H) (2318 HK)</a><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/beijing-kuaishou-technology-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29725:1" rel="noopener">Kuaishou Technology (1024 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/country-garden-services-holdings-company-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27343:1" rel="noopener">Country Garden Services Holdings (6098 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chow-tai-fook-jewellery-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:549:1" rel="noopener">Chow Tai Fook Jewellery (1929 HK)</a> while there was short covering on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ind-comm-bk-of-china-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1119:1" rel="noopener">ICBC (H) (1398 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/asm-pacific-technology-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15061:1" rel="noopener">ASM Pacific Technology (522 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent (700 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pccw-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:873:1" rel="noopener">PCCW Ltd (8 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sunny-optical-tech" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13363:1" rel="noopener">Sunny Optical (2382 HK)</a>. Shorts increased in the Consumer Discretionary and Industrials sectors, while decreasing in Financials, Information Technology, Energy and Real Estate.</p></div><div><p>In Japan, stocks increased on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pharma-foods-international" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10530:1" rel="noopener">Pharma Foods International (2929 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cyberagent-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8197:1" rel="noopener">CyberAgent Inc (4751 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nippon-yusen-kk" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12285:1" rel="noopener">Nippon Yusen Kk (9101 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ebara-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4728:1" rel="noopener">Ebara Corp (6361 JP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/skylark-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:474:1" rel="noopener">Skylark Co Ltd (3197 JP)</a> while there was short covering on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kyushu-railway-company" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23609:1" rel="noopener">Kyushu Railway Company (9142 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/marui-group-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13604:1" rel="noopener">Marui Group (8252 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chugoku-electric-power-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16243:1" rel="noopener">Chugoku Electric Power Co (9504 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/keihan-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6120:1" rel="noopener">Keihan Holdings Co., Ltd. (9045 JP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/canon-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1:1" rel="noopener">Canon Inc (7751 JP)</a>. Shorts decreased in almost all sectors led by Industrials, Materials, Consumer Discretionary, Financials and Consumer Staples.</p></div><div><p>In Korea, shorts increased on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hmm-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13494:1" rel="noopener">HMM Co., Ltd. (011200 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/doosan-heavy-industries-construction" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7389:1" rel="noopener">Doosan Heavy Industries &amp; Construction (034020 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lg-chem-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3583:1" rel="noopener">LG Chem Ltd (051910 KS)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/posco-chemical-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12421:1" rel="noopener">Posco Chemical Co Ltd (003670 KS)</a> while shorts were covered on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hyundai-motor-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:155:1" rel="noopener">Hyundai Motor Co (005380 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/samsung-electronics-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:191:1" rel="noopener">Samsung Electronics (005930 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sk-hynix-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16955:1" rel="noopener">SK Hynix (000660 KS)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/naver-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16029:1" rel="noopener">Naver Corp (035420 KS)</a>.</p></div><div><p>In Taiwan, shorts increased on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/au-optronics-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6704:1" rel="noopener">AU Optronics (2409 TT)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yageo-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13212:1" rel="noopener">Yageo Corporation (2327 TT)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/innolux-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4509:1" rel="noopener">Innolux Corp (3481 TT)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yang-ming-marine-transport" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8502:1" rel="noopener">Yang Ming Marine Transport (2609 TT)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hannstar-display-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13922:1" rel="noopener">Hannstar Display (6116 TT)</a> while shorts covered on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chicony-electronics-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13085:1" rel="noopener">Chicony Electronics (2385 TT)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chunghwa-telecom-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9181:1" rel="noopener">Chunghwa Telecom (2412 TT)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/highwealth-construction-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6739:1" rel="noopener">Highwealth Construction (2542 TT)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mediatek-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:772:1" rel="noopener">Mediatek Inc (2454 TT)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/quanta-computer-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2754:1" rel="noopener">Quanta Computer (2382 TT)</a>.</p></div>

The Asia Short Interest weekly looks at moves in market wide short interest and highlights movements in stock specific short interest across Hong Kong, Japan, Korea and Taiwan using the last available data published by the relevant authorities.Hong Kong saw shorts rise on Alibaba Group (9988 HK), Ping An Insurance (H) (2318 HK)Kuaishou Technology (1024 HK), Country Garden Services Holdings (6098 HK) and Chow Tai Fook Jewellery (1929 HK) while there was short covering on ICBC (H) (1398 HK), ASM Pacific Technology (522 HK), Tencent (700 HK), PCCW Ltd (8 HK) and Sunny Optical (2382 HK). Shorts increased in the Consumer Discretionary and Industrials sectors, while decreasing in Financials, Information Technology, Energy and Real Estate.In Japan, stocks increased on Pharma Foods International (2929 JP), CyberAgent Inc (4751 JP), Nippon Yusen Kk (9101 JP), Ebara Corp (6361 JP) and Skylark Co Ltd (3197 JP) while there was short covering on Kyushu Railway Company (9142 JP), Marui Group (8252 JP), Chugoku Electric Power Co (9504 JP), Keihan Holdings Co., Ltd. (9045 JP) and Canon Inc (7751 JP). Shorts decreased in almost all sectors led by Industrials, Materials, Consumer Discretionary, Financials and Consumer Staples.In Korea, shorts increased on HMM Co., Ltd. (011200 KS), Doosan Heavy Industries &amp; Construction (034020 KS), LG Chem Ltd (051910 KS) and Posco Chemical Co Ltd (003670 KS) while shorts were covered on Hyundai Motor Co (005380 KS), Samsung Electronics (005930 KS), SK Hynix (000660 KS) and Naver Corp (035420 KS).In Taiwan, shorts increased on AU Optronics (2409 TT), Yageo Corporation (2327 TT), Innolux Corp (3481 TT), Yang Ming Marine Transport (2609 TT) and Hannstar Display (6116 TT) while shorts covered on Chicony Electronics (2385 TT), Chunghwa Telecom (2412 TT), Highwealth Construction (2542 TT), Mediatek Inc (2454 TT) and Quanta Computer (2382 TT).

Asia Shorts: CGS, CTF, ASM Pac, PCCW, KyushuRail, Marui, HMM, Doosan, LG Chem, HMC, Yang Ming

Japan/Asia Long-Short, LightStream Research

Mio Kato

Japan/Asia Long-Short

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Event-Driven

<p>With speculation regarding ASM PT going private <a href="https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/exclusive-hong-kong-listed-semiconductor-maker-asm-pacific-plans-to-go-private-sources" target="_blank" rel="noopener">emerging</a> we provide below, an examination of the company’s valuation history and its multiples compared to a variety of peers. Our analysis suggests that if the company is indeed subject to an offer, relatively significant upside remains.</p>

With speculation regarding ASM PT going private emerging we provide below, an examination of the company’s valuation history and its multiples compared to a variety of peers. Our analysis suggests that if the company is indeed subject to an offer, relatively significant upside remains.

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

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<p>This week in StubWorld ...</p>
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<p>Three days after raising HK$4bn via a top-up placement, <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/evergrande-health-industry-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:713:1" rel="noopener">Evergrande Auto (708 HK)</a> </strong>("EA") also officially known as <strong>China Evergrande New Energy Vehicle Group</strong> announces an intention to list on Shanghai's Sci-Tech Board (also know as the "STAR Market").</p>
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<p>Preceding my comments on <strong>EA</strong> <em>and </em><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/asm-pacific-technology-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15061:1" rel="noopener">Asm Pacific Technology (522 HK)</a>, are at the top of the weekly setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos.</p>
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<p>These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity threshold of US$1mn on a 90-day moving average, and a % market capitalisation threshold - the $ value of the holding/opco held, over the parent’s market capitalisation, expressed in percent - of at least 20%.</p>
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This week in StubWorld ...



Three days after raising HK$4bn via a top-up placement, Evergrande Auto (708 HK) ("EA") also officially known as China Evergrande New Energy Vehicle Group announces an intention to list on Shanghai's Sci-Tech Board (also know as the "STAR Market").



Preceding my comments on EA and Asm Pacific Technology (522 HK), are at the top of the weekly setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos.





These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity threshold of US$1mn on a 90-day moving average, and a % market capitalisation threshold - the $ value of the holding/opco held, over the parent’s market capitalisation, expressed in percent - of at least 20%.




StubWorld: Evergrande Auto (708 HK) Tapping All & Sundry; ASM Pacific Going Private?

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<p>This is the second of two insights which cover the performance of all 566 stubs in my stub monitor, across all countries, and liquidity baskets, in the midst of the recent correction in markets.</p>
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<p>This insight covers Hong Kong, Taiwan, and the Rest of Asia (ROA).</p>
<p>The first insight <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/holdcos-charts-amongst-the-carnage-part-1-japan-korea" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:37380" rel="noopener">Holdcos: Charts Amongst The Carnage. Part 1. Japan &amp; Korea</a> covered Japan and Korea.</p>
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<p>Some baskets, be they liquid, illiquid, or specific sectors, are clear out-performers. But the performance consistency of those baskets differs from one country to the next. </p>
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<p>More below the fold ...</p>
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This is the second of two insights which cover the performance of all 566 stubs in my stub monitor, across all countries, and liquidity baskets, in the midst of the recent correction in markets.


This insight covers Hong Kong, Taiwan, and the Rest of Asia (ROA).
The first insight Holdcos: Charts Amongst The Carnage. Part 1. Japan &amp; Korea covered Japan and Korea.


Some baskets, be they liquid, illiquid, or specific sectors, are clear out-performers. But the performance consistency of those baskets differs from one country to the next. 


More below the fold ...


Holdcos: Charts Amongst The Carnage. Part 2. Hong Kong, Taiwan and ROA

Jardine Strategic Holdings / Event-Driven

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<p>This week in <strong>StubWorld </strong>...</p>
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<p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jardine-matheson-hldgs-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19718:1" rel="noopener">Jardine Matheson Hldgs (JM SP)</a>, currently at an MSCI-inclusion high relative to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jardine-strategic-hldgs-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15081:1" rel="noopener">Jardine Strategic Hldgs (JS SP)</a>, reports flat growth in FY19 profit, and warns the 2020 performance of the group’s businesses in Greater China is being materially impacted by the ongoing coronavirus-related weakness.</p>
<p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ayala-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1474:1" rel="noopener">Ayala Corporation (AC PM)</a> pivots off its all-time low - is the worst finally behind the company?</p>
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<p>Preceding my comments on Jardines, Ayala and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/asm-international-nv" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21096:1" rel="noopener">Asm International Nv (ASM NA)</a>, are the weekly setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos.</p>
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<p>These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity threshold of US$1mn on a 90-day moving average, and a % market capitalisation threshold - the $ value of the holding/opco held, over the parent’s market capitalisation, expressed in percent - of at least 20%.</p>
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This week in StubWorld ...



Jardine Matheson Hldgs (JM SP), currently at an MSCI-inclusion high relative to Jardine Strategic Hldgs (JS SP), reports flat growth in FY19 profit, and warns the 2020 performance of the group’s businesses in Greater China is being materially impacted by the ongoing coronavirus-related weakness.
Ayala Corporation (AC PM) pivots off its all-time low - is the worst finally behind the company?

Preceding my comments on Jardines, Ayala and Asm International Nv (ASM NA), are the weekly setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos.




These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity threshold of US$1mn on a 90-day moving average, and a % market capitalisation threshold - the $ value of the holding/opco held, over the parent’s market capitalisation, expressed in percent - of at least 20%.




StubWorld: Matheson/Strategic FY19 Results; Ayala Ai-Ya

Hong Kong

ASM Pacific Technology Limited manufactures semiconductor back end equipment. The Company produces assembly equipment, packaging equipment, surface mount technology equipment, and other equipment. ASM Pacific Technology supplies its products in microelectronics, semiconductor, optoelectronics, and other fields.

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ASM Pacific Technology (522 HK)

Asia Shorts: CGS, CTF, ASM Pac, PCCW, KyushuRail, Marui, HMM, Doosan, LG Chem, HMC, Yang Ming

The Insight looks at large short interest movements across HK, Japan, Korea and Taiwan stocks and highlights large increases/decreases in shorts to...

Brian Freitas

ASM Pacific – Valuations Vs. Peers

With speculation regarding ASM PT going private emerging we provide below, an examination of the company’s valuation history and its multiples...

Mio Kato

StubWorld: Evergrande Auto (708 HK) Tapping All & Sundry; ASM Pacific Going Private?

This week in StubWorld ... Shareholders are the big loser as the US, UK and China turn HSBC Holdings (5 HK) into a political...

David Blennerhassett

Holdcos: Charts Amongst The Carnage. Part 2. Hong Kong, Taiwan and ROA

This is the second of two insights which cover the performance of all 566 stubs in my stub monitor, across all countries, and liquidity baskets,...

David Blennerhassett

StubWorld: Matheson/Strategic FY19 Results; Ayala Ai-Ya

This week in StubWorld ... Jardine Matheson Hldgs (JM SP), currently at an MSCI-inclusion high relative to Jardine Strategic Hldgs (JS SP),...

David Blennerhassett

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