HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Equity Bottom-Up

Zhejiang Expressway Co H / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>By way of its 54.79% ownership in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zheshang-securities-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29981:1" rel="noopener">Zheshang Securities (601878 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zhejiang-expressway-co-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2178:1" rel="noopener">Zhejiang Expressway Co H (576 HK)</a> is an attractive indirect vehicle to access the mainland securities sector.  </li>
<li>The attributable market cap of Zheshang equals 90% of ZJE's market cap, implying that the toll road business is almost free. However, Zheshang only contributed 16% of ZJE's 1H24 profit.</li>
<li>ZJE trades on 6.7x FY24F PER, vs. 31.3x for Zheshang and 17.6x for H-share securities companies. A stable toll road business also minimises the risk for ZJE.</li>
</ul>


By way of its 54.79% ownership in Zheshang Securities (601878 CH), Zhejiang Expressway Co H (576 HK) is an attractive indirect vehicle to access the mainland securities sector.  
The attributable market cap of Zheshang equals 90% of ZJE's market cap, implying that the toll road business is almost free. However, Zheshang only contributed 16% of ZJE's 1H24 profit.
ZJE trades on 6.7x FY24F PER, vs. 31.3x for Zheshang and 17.6x for H-share securities companies. A stable toll road business also minimises the risk for ZJE.


Zhejiang Expressway (576 HK): Cheap Access to the Roaring Securities Sector

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>China's toll road sector has gone up by 47.4% since 2022, but it remains an excellent yield play with an average yield of 7.2% and 7.8% in FY24 and FY25.</li>
<li>1Q24 profit is solid, with 3-year forecast earnings CAGR at a healthy 6.5%. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/anhui-expressway-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5236:1" rel="noopener">Anhui Expressway H (995 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jiangsu-express-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9956:1" rel="noopener">Jiangsu Expressway (H) (177 HK)</a> have the most consistent DPS trend.</li>
<li>We like <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jiangsu-express-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9956:1" rel="noopener">Jiangsu Expressway (H) (177 HK)</a> for its track record and growth prospects. As a relative underperformer in the sector, it is poised to catch up.</li>
</ul>


China's toll road sector has gone up by 47.4% since 2022, but it remains an excellent yield play with an average yield of 7.2% and 7.8% in FY24 and FY25.
1Q24 profit is solid, with 3-year forecast earnings CAGR at a healthy 6.5%. Anhui Expressway H (995 HK) and Jiangsu Expressway (H) (177 HK) have the most consistent DPS trend.
We like Jiangsu Expressway (H) (177 HK) for its track record and growth prospects. As a relative underperformer in the sector, it is poised to catch up.


China Toll Road Sector: Higher for Longer......Yields

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 157 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 58.9% as of Aug 8th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by -2.3ppt week-on-week, led by materials, health care, utilities.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Metallurgical Corporation Of China, Shandong Gold Mining, China Shenhua Energy, Tianqi Lithium.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 157 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 58.9% as of Aug 8th.
The average A-H premium changed by -2.3ppt week-on-week, led by materials, health care, utilities.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Metallurgical Corporation Of China, Shandong Gold Mining, China Shenhua Energy, Tianqi Lithium.


A-H Premium Weekly (Aug 8th): Metallurgical Corporation Of China, Shandong Gold Mining

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 157 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 61.4% as of Aug 1st.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by 3.6ppt week-on-week, led by real estate, consumer staples, health care and offset by materials.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for China Telecom, CIMC, Anjoy Food, China Everbright Bank, Zhengzhou Coal Mining Machinery, BYD.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 157 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 61.4% as of Aug 1st.
The average A-H premium changed by 3.6ppt week-on-week, led by real estate, consumer staples, health care and offset by materials.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for China Telecom, CIMC, Anjoy Food, China Everbright Bank, Zhengzhou Coal Mining Machinery, BYD.


A-H Premium Weekly (Aug 1st): China Telecom, CIMC, Anjoy Food, China Everbright Bank

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 157 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 58.2% as of Jul 25th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by -2.7ppt week-on-week, led by materials, communication services, financials and offset by consumer staples, real estate, health care.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Jiangxi Copper, Dongfang Electric, China Life, China Energy Engineering, Zhengzhou Coal Mining Machinery, China Railway Construction.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 157 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 58.2% as of Jul 25th.
The average A-H premium changed by -2.7ppt week-on-week, led by materials, communication services, financials and offset by consumer staples, real estate, health care.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Jiangxi Copper, Dongfang Electric, China Life, China Energy Engineering, Zhengzhou Coal Mining Machinery, China Railway Construction.


A-H Premium Weekly (Jul 25th): Jiangxi Copper, Dongfang Electric, China Life

China

Sichuan Expressway Company Limited develops, invests in, and operates infrastructure projects including toll roads, bridges, tunnels, and ancillary facilities.

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Sichuan Expressway Co H (107 HK)

Zhejiang Expressway (576 HK): Cheap Access to the Roaring Securities Sector

Zhejiang Expressway provides indirect cheap access to mainland securities through its ownership in Zheshang Securities, with a stable toll road...

Osbert Tang, CFA

China Toll Road Sector: Higher for Longer......Yields

China's toll road sector has performed solidly since 2022, but is still offering attractive yields and healthy profit. Jiangsu Expressway stands...

Osbert Tang, CFA

A-H Premium Weekly (Aug 8th): Metallurgical Corporation Of China, Shandong Gold Mining

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Metallurgical Corporation Of China, Shandong Gold Mining,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

A-H Premium Weekly (Aug 1st): China Telecom, CIMC, Anjoy Food, China Everbright Bank

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for China Telecom, CIMC, Anjoy Food, China Everbright Bank,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

A-H Premium Weekly (Jul 25th): Jiangxi Copper, Dongfang Electric, China Life

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Jiangxi Copper, Dongfang Electric, China Life, China Energy...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Zhejiang Expressway (576 HK): Cheap Access to the Roaring Securities Sector

​Zhejiang Expressway provides indirect cheap access to mainland securities through its ownership in Zheshang Securities, with a stable toll road...

Osbert Tang, CFA

China Toll Road Sector: Higher for Longer......Yields

​China's toll road sector has performed solidly since 2022, but is still offering attractive yields and healthy profit. Jiangsu Expressway stands...

Osbert Tang, CFA

A-H Premium Weekly (Aug 8th): Metallurgical Corporation Of China, Shandong Gold Mining

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Metallurgical Corporation Of China, Shandong Gold Mining,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

A-H Premium Weekly (Aug 1st): China Telecom, CIMC, Anjoy Food, China Everbright Bank

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for China Telecom, CIMC, Anjoy Food, China Everbright Bank,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

A-H Premium Weekly (Jul 25th): Jiangxi Copper, Dongfang Electric, China Life

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Jiangxi Copper, Dongfang Electric, China Life, China Energy...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Zhejiang Expressway provides indirect cheap access to mainland securities through its ownership in Zheshang Securities, with a stable toll road...

China's toll road sector has performed solidly since 2022, but is still offering attractive yields and healthy profit. Jiangsu Expressway stands...