External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Rong Viet Securities

Rong Viet Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

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Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>We observe that VNM’s business performance growth has stagnated since Covid-19, with its market share declining amid a gloomy domestic dairy market.</li><li>Efforts to revamp product portfolios and increase discounts, implying the sacrifice of profit margins, have yet to brighter results</li><li>The core market (domestic dairy) has entered a saturation phase, with annual sales growth of 1-3% (volume expansion is limited due to a sharp decline in birth rates, capped milk spending, and growth mainly driven by pricing relative to a trend toward premium, health-focused consumption)</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

We observe that VNM’s business performance growth has stagnated since Covid-19, with its market share declining amid a gloomy domestic dairy market.Efforts to revamp product portfolios and increase discounts, implying the sacrifice of profit margins, have yet to brighter resultsThe core market (domestic dairy) has entered a saturation phase, with annual sales growth of 1-3% (volume expansion is limited due to a sharp decline in birth rates, capped milk spending, and growth mainly driven by pricing relative to a trend toward premium, health-focused consumption)Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

VNM - The Big Boat Strives to Conquer Mighty Waves

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Mirae Asset Securities

Mirae Asset Securities

Mirae Asset Securities Co.,Ltd. provides comprehensive wealth management services. The Company offers fixed income securities brokerage, securities dealing, equity underwriting, and other services. Mirae Asset Securities also deals with mergers and acquisitions, foreign currency, and financial derivatives

<ul><li>Viet Nam Dairy Products JSC (VNM VN) is the leading dairy corporation in Vietnam,boastingthe largest domestic market share in the liquid milk segment and the formula milk segment.</li><li>VNM currently operates 15 farms in the Indochina region and is a major buyer of fresh milk from farmers, with nearly 140,000 cows.</li><li>VNM also boasts a distribution system with over 200,000 points of sale throughout the country, providing it with a solid competitive advantage over peers.</li></ul><div class="content-highlight"><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></div>

Viet Nam Dairy Products JSC (VNM VN) is the leading dairy corporation in Vietnam,boastingthe largest domestic market share in the liquid milk segment and the formula milk segment.VNM currently operates 15 farms in the Indochina region and is a major buyer of fresh milk from farmers, with nearly 140,000 cows.VNM also boasts a distribution system with over 200,000 points of sale throughout the country, providing it with a solid competitive advantage over peers.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Viet Nam Dairy Products JSC (VNM VN) - Overseas Revenue Fuels Growth

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>Sai Gon VRG Investment Corporation (SIP VN) will be added to the MarketVector Vietnam Local Index at the close on 20 December.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover is 5.1% and that results in a one-way trade of US$23m. There are a few stocks with more than 1x ADV to buy from passives.</li>
<li>The largest passive inflows will be in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vix-securities-joint-stock-company" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35885:1" rel="noopener">VIX Securities (VIX VN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vietnam-dairy-products-jsc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19635:1" rel="noopener">Vietnam Dairy Products JSC (VNM VN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hoa-phat-group-jsc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5813:1" rel="noopener">Hoa Phat Group Jsc (HPG VN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jsc-bank-for-foreign-trade-of-vietnam-vietcombank" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23054:1" rel="noopener">Vietcombank (VCB VN)</a>. </li>
</ul>


Sai Gon VRG Investment Corporation (SIP VN) will be added to the MarketVector Vietnam Local Index at the close on 20 December.
Estimated one-way turnover is 5.1% and that results in a one-way trade of US$23m. There are a few stocks with more than 1x ADV to buy from passives.
The largest passive inflows will be in VIX Securities (VIX VN), Vietnam Dairy Products JSC (VNM VN), Hoa Phat Group Jsc (HPG VN) and Vietcombank (VCB VN). 


MarketVector Vietnam Local Index Rebalance: One Add, Float & Capping Changes

<ul><li>Viet Nam Dairy Products JSC (VNM VN) is the leading dairy corporation in Vietnam, boasting the largest domestic market share in the liquid milk segment and second-largest market share in the formula milk segment.</li><li>VNM currently operates 15 farms in the Indochina region and is a major buyer of fresh milk from farmers, with nearly 140,000 cows.</li><li>VNM also boasts a distribution system, with over 200,000 points of sale throughout the country, providing it with a solid competitive advantage over peers.</li></ul><div class="content-highlight"><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></div>

Viet Nam Dairy Products JSC (VNM VN) is the leading dairy corporation in Vietnam, boasting the largest domestic market share in the liquid milk segment and second-largest market share in the formula milk segment.VNM currently operates 15 farms in the Indochina region and is a major buyer of fresh milk from farmers, with nearly 140,000 cows.VNM also boasts a distribution system, with over 200,000 points of sale throughout the country, providing it with a solid competitive advantage over peers.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Viet Nam Dairy Products JSC - Domestic Sales Slip in 3Q24

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>After publishing my insight (<em><strong><a href="https://skr.ma/y1QWE" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Jardine Matheson (JM SP): Trading "Cheap"</a></strong></em>) last week, my NAV calcs were called into question by some readers, when compared to street estimates.</li>
<li>Which is cool. I'm big enough to admit mistakes, where needed. So I've done some digging, including a back and forth with <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jardine-matheson-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19718:1" rel="noopener">Jardine Matheson Holdings (JM SP)</a></strong>.</li>
<li>The upshot? I have not lead you astray. You've been coming to the right place.</li>
</ul>


After publishing my insight (Jardine Matheson (JM SP): Trading "Cheap") last week, my NAV calcs were called into question by some readers, when compared to street estimates.
Which is cool. I'm big enough to admit mistakes, where needed. So I've done some digging, including a back and forth with Jardine Matheson Holdings (JM SP).
The upshot? I have not lead you astray. You've been coming to the right place.


Jardine Matheson (JM SP): Squeezing More Life Out Of The NAV

Vietnam

Vinamilk, formally Vietnam Dairy Products Joint Stock Company, is Vietnam's largest dairy company, specializing in the production and distribution of a wide range of dairy products including liquid milk, powdered milk, condensed milk, yogurt, ice cream, and infant cereal. The company also offers soy drinks, fruit juices, and tea. Vinamilk's headquarters are in Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam, and it was established in 1976.

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Vinamilk (VNM VN)

VNM - The Big Boat Strives to Conquer Mighty Waves

We observe that VNM’s business performance growth has stagnated since Covid-19, with its market share declining amid a gloomy domestic dairy market.

Rong Viet Securities

Viet Nam Dairy Products JSC (VNM VN) - Overseas Revenue Fuels Growth

Viet Nam Dairy Products JSC (VNM VN) is the leading dairy corporation in Vietnam,boastingthe largest domestic market share in the liquid milk...

Mirae Asset Securities

MarketVector Vietnam Local Index Rebalance: One Add, Float & Capping Changes

Saigon Vrg Investment will be added to the index at the close 20 December. Estimated one-way turnover is 5.1% and that results in a one-way trade...

Brian Freitas

Viet Nam Dairy Products JSC - Domestic Sales Slip in 3Q24

VNM also boasts a distribution system, with over 200,000 points of sale throughout the country, providing it with a solid competitive advantage...

Mirae Asset Securities

Jardine Matheson (JM SP): Squeezing More Life Out Of The NAV

I've bolted on US$0.5bn to NAV. That adjustment doesn't move the needle. Look to set up the stub: Long JMH, short DFI, HKL, MO & JC&C on a...

David Blennerhassett

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