Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist, Trudence Capital Advisors

Pranav Bhavsar

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist

Trudence Capital Advisors

Trudence Capital Advisors Private Limited is a SEBI-registered Research Analyst, holding SEBI registration number INH000015747. Our firm is dedicated to providing independent and unbiased research on Indian mid to large-cap companies. Trudence Capital is known for its counter-consensus views, with a focus on forensic research and on-ground primary investigations. Our research approach is thorough, involving detailed analysis of accounting practices and governance, alongside extensive channel checks.

Independent & Unbiased Research

Equity Bottom-Up

Market Vectors Vietnam ETF / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>In this Postcard Edition, we detour and go international—to the streets, shops, and supermarkets of Vietnam. Choosing Vietnam as a country to explore and begin building our Asian Coverage.</li>
<li>Despite strong manufacturing fundamentals, capital markets remain narrow, with limited institutional participation and underrepresentation of export-led sectors.</li>
<li>Vietnam is on our watchlist for its evolving opportunity set, and we will continue tracking IPO activity, MSCI inclusion efforts, and policy reforms.</li>
</ul>


In this Postcard Edition, we detour and go international—to the streets, shops, and supermarkets of Vietnam. Choosing Vietnam as a country to explore and begin building our Asian Coverage.
Despite strong manufacturing fundamentals, capital markets remain narrow, with limited institutional participation and underrepresentation of export-led sectors.
Vietnam is on our watchlist for its evolving opportunity set, and we will continue tracking IPO activity, MSCI inclusion efforts, and policy reforms.


Postcard from Hanoi | Xin Chào Việt Nam

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

Mandarin Oriental International / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Concurrent with the sale of 13 floors of OCB to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-group-holding-ltd-d7b798e2-202d-4e01-9a1e-799e2ae8f0c7" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28434:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jardine-matheson-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19718:1" rel="noopener">Jardine Matheson (JM SP)</a> is seeking to privatise <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mandarin-oriental-international-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4773:1" rel="noopener">Mandarin Oriental (MAND SP)</a> at US$3.35/share by way of a Scheme.</li>
<li>The Offer Price is a 52.3% premium to undisturbed, and a 53.7% premium to NAV. Clean deal. And MAND has consistently traded tight to terms. </li>
<li>The <a href="https://links.sgx.com/FileOpen/Shareholder%20Circular.ashx?App=Announcement&amp;FileID=867134" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Scheme Doc is now out</a> for MAND. The Court Meeting is the 8th December. As with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jardine-strategic-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15081:1" rel="noopener">Jardine Strategic Holdings (JS SP)</a>'s 2021 takeover, there is no independent assessment report. </li>
</ul>


Concurrent with the sale of 13 floors of OCB to Alibaba, Jardine Matheson (JM SP) is seeking to privatise Mandarin Oriental (MAND SP) at US$3.35/share by way of a Scheme.
The Offer Price is a 52.3% premium to undisturbed, and a 53.7% premium to NAV. Clean deal. And MAND has consistently traded tight to terms. 
The Scheme Doc is now out for MAND. The Court Meeting is the 8th December. As with Jardine Strategic Holdings (JS SP)'s 2021 takeover, there is no independent assessment report. 


Mandarin Oriental (MAND SP): 8th Dec Vote On Matheson's Offer

<ul>
<li>The prior MO for the Jardines group was never sell your commercial buildings. This year marks a paradigm shift in that line of thinking. </li>
<li>First <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hongkong-land-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15465:1" rel="noopener">Hongkong Land (HKL SP)</a> sold nine floors of One Exchange Square to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-exchanges-clearing" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:490:1" rel="noopener">HKEX (388 HK)</a>. The first such sale since 1988.</li>
<li>Now <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mandarin-oriental-international-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4773:1" rel="noopener">Mandarin Oriental (MAND SP)</a> is negotiating the sale of "certain office space" at One Causeway Bay. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jardine-matheson-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19718:1" rel="noopener">Jardine Matheson (JM SP)</a>'s NAV discount and implied stub are at 12-month lows/highs.</li>
</ul>


The prior MO for the Jardines group was never sell your commercial buildings. This year marks a paradigm shift in that line of thinking. 
First Hongkong Land (HKL SP) sold nine floors of One Exchange Square to HKEX (388 HK). The first such sale since 1988.
Now Mandarin Oriental (MAND SP) is negotiating the sale of "certain office space" at One Causeway Bay. Jardine Matheson (JM SP)'s NAV discount and implied stub are at 12-month lows/highs.


Jardine Matheson (JML SP): Additional Office Recycling Speculated

Jardine Matheson Holdings / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jardine-matheson-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19718:1" rel="noopener">Jardine Matheson Holdings (JM SP)</a> is up ~10% this week and ~30% YTD. 53.3%-held <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hongkong-land-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15465:1" rel="noopener">Hongkong Land (HKL SP)</a>, JMH's largest holding, is up 41% YTD and 85% over the year. </li>
<li>HKL has been on a tear since CEO Michael Smith started on the 1st April 2024, as HKL focused on capital allocation and portfolio management - read deleveraging.</li>
<li>The recent appointment of PAG's Lincoln Pan at the helm of JMH, has the street upbeat he will bring about similar positive developments. That's not unreasonable.</li>
</ul>



Jardine Matheson Holdings (JM SP) is up ~10% this week and ~30% YTD. 53.3%-held Hongkong Land (HKL SP), JMH's largest holding, is up 41% YTD and 85% over the year. 
HKL has been on a tear since CEO Michael Smith started on the 1st April 2024, as HKL focused on capital allocation and portfolio management - read deleveraging.
The recent appointment of PAG's Lincoln Pan at the helm of JMH, has the street upbeat he will bring about similar positive developments. That's not unreasonable.


Jardine Matheson (JM SP) On A Roll As The Street Turns (More) Positive

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Mirae Asset Securities

Mirae Asset Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Leading full-service brokerage firm in Vietnam. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>FPT cut its 2025 base-case guidance to 15% revenue and 18–19% profit growth (vs. 20%/21% at AGM): As of 8M25, revenue reached VND43,818bn (+10.5% YoY) and PBT VND8,315bn (+17.5% YoY), with a margin of 19.0%.</li><li>The Technology segment led with VND27,123bn revenue (+10.6% YoY) and PBT VND3,807bn (+13% YoY), margin of 14%.</li><li>Management cited weaker overseas IT services due to tariff-related delays and fewer small contracts as clients adopt AI solutions.</li></ul><div class="content-highlight">Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</div>

FPT cut its 2025 base-case guidance to 15% revenue and 18–19% profit growth (vs. 20%/21% at AGM): As of 8M25, revenue reached VND43,818bn (+10.5% YoY) and PBT VND8,315bn (+17.5% YoY), with a margin of 19.0%.The Technology segment led with VND27,123bn revenue (+10.6% YoY) and PBT VND3,807bn (+13% YoY), margin of 14%.Management cited weaker overseas IT services due to tariff-related delays and fewer small contracts as clients adopt AI solutions.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Stock recommendations (Vietnam Market)_October 2025

Vietnam

Vietnam Dairy Products JSC produces dairy foods. The Company produces milk, condensed milk, milk powder, yoghurt, ice cream and cheese. Vietnam Dairy Products also produces cookies, coffee and tea and bottled water.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
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Vietnam Dairy Products JSC (VNM VN)

Postcard from Hanoi | Xin Chào Việt Nam

Exploring Vietnam's potential for growth and investment opportunities, despite challenges in capital markets and institutional participation....

Pranav Bhavsar

Mandarin Oriental (MAND SP): 8th Dec Vote On Matheson's Offer

Clean, full Offer. MAND is trading around ~2.1%/10.8% gross/annualised, assuming late Jan 2026 payment. Expect more accretion/recycling to come in...

David Blennerhassett

Jardine Matheson (JML SP): Additional Office Recycling Speculated

MAND announced that it is selling thirteen floors of One Causeway Bay (OCB) to Alibaba (BABA US) for US$925mn. That's ~US$0.73/share. ...

David Blennerhassett

Jardine Matheson (JM SP) On A Roll As The Street Turns (More) Positive

MAND has confirmed it's in discussions to sell some office space in One Causeway Bay (previously the Excelsior Hotel). Alibaba is rumoured to be...

David Blennerhassett

Stock recommendations (Vietnam Market)_October 2025

Management cited weaker overseas IT services due to tariff-related delays and fewer small contracts as clients adopt AI solutions.

Mirae Asset Securities

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Postcard from Hanoi | Xin Chào Việt Nam

​Exploring Vietnam's potential for growth and investment opportunities, despite challenges in capital markets and institutional participation....

Pranav Bhavsar

Mandarin Oriental (MAND SP): 8th Dec Vote On Matheson's Offer

Clean, full Offer. MAND is trading around ~2.1%/10.8% gross/annualised, assuming late Jan 2026 payment. Expect more accretion/recycling to come in...

David Blennerhassett

Jardine Matheson (JML SP): Additional Office Recycling Speculated

MAND announced that it is selling thirteen floors of One Causeway Bay (OCB) to Alibaba (BABA US) for US$925mn. That's ~US$0.73/share. ...

David Blennerhassett

Jardine Matheson (JM SP) On A Roll As The Street Turns (More) Positive

MAND has confirmed it's in discussions to sell some office space in One Causeway Bay (previously the Excelsior Hotel). Alibaba is rumoured to be...

David Blennerhassett

Stock recommendations (Vietnam Market)_October 2025

Management cited weaker overseas IT services due to tariff-related delays and fewer small contracts as clients adopt AI solutions.

Mirae Asset Securities

Exploring Vietnam's potential for growth and investment opportunities, despite challenges in capital markets and institutional participation....