Equity Derivatives and Volatility Specialist, Clifton Derivatives

John Ley

Equity Derivatives and Volatility Specialist

Clifton Derivatives

Independent derivative and volatility research firm focusing on events/catalysts, earnings, relative value and cross asset volatility strategies.

Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>TSLA is set to report Q2 earnings after the close on Wednesday, July 23, following a 28% rally since its last report.</li>
<li>We examine implied vol and the projected earnings-day move, which may be underpricing event risk.</li>
<li>Volatility positioning and historical earnings reactions are assessed to help frame expectations.</li>
</ul>


TSLA is set to report Q2 earnings after the close on Wednesday, July 23, following a 28% rally since its last report.
We examine implied vol and the projected earnings-day move, which may be underpricing event risk.
Volatility positioning and historical earnings reactions are assessed to help frame expectations.


TSLA Q2 Earnings: Options Appear Complacent Vs. TSLA’s Volatile History

Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Tesla is no stranger to controversy or disruption, but the last few months have tested even the most loyal investors’ patience.</li><li>From tumbling sales figures in Europe to regulatory scrutiny over its robotaxi ambitions, Tesla is navigating a turbulent phase.</li><li>The electric vehicle (EV) pioneer, long regarded as a trailblazer in innovation, is now dealing with intensified competition from Chinese automakers, public backlash linked to Elon Musk’s political involvement, and growing concerns over the safety and readiness of its autonomous vehicles.</li></ul>

Tesla is no stranger to controversy or disruption, but the last few months have tested even the most loyal investors’ patience.From tumbling sales figures in Europe to regulatory scrutiny over its robotaxi ambitions, Tesla is navigating a turbulent phase.The electric vehicle (EV) pioneer, long regarded as a trailblazer in innovation, is now dealing with intensified competition from Chinese automakers, public backlash linked to Elon Musk’s political involvement, and growing concerns over the safety and readiness of its autonomous vehicles.

Tesla Trouble: Why Elon’s EV Empire Is Facing a Perfect Storm of Crises!

Managing Partner, VRS (Valuation & Research Specialists)

VRS (Valuation & Research Specialists)

Managing Partner

Valuation & Research Specialists (VRS) is a boutique financial advisor with more than 17 years of experience in Corporate Valuation and Finance, and a diversified client base including some of the largest Companies in Greece.

Since 2002, VRS has completed more than 200 engagements in the areas of business valuation and financial analysis for more than 100 clients in a wide range of industries.

VRS has been honored to work with small and large private and publicly traded companies in Europe and overseas.

Boutique Financial Advisor

<ul><li>Since the beginning of the century, quite a few companies have left their mark through their innovative approach on the market, selling products and offering services separating them from other entities, while also paving the way towards a new trend.</li><li>Despite that is often the case for purely technological corporations, Tesla, an automotive and energy company (though some analysts believe that should be considered as tech) has an undisputed place among this category given that the previous decade was involved in the design, development and manufacturing of fully electric vehicles and energy generation systems.</li><li>Under the above pretext, it is essential that we analyze the key milestones contributing to Tesla’s economic growth and establishment as a leading company in the electric vehicles industry.</li></ul>

Since the beginning of the century, quite a few companies have left their mark through their innovative approach on the market, selling products and offering services separating them from other entities, while also paving the way towards a new trend.Despite that is often the case for purely technological corporations, Tesla, an automotive and energy company (though some analysts believe that should be considered as tech) has an undisputed place among this category given that the previous decade was involved in the design, development and manufacturing of fully electric vehicles and energy generation systems.Under the above pretext, it is essential that we analyze the key milestones contributing to Tesla’s economic growth and establishment as a leading company in the electric vehicles industry.

Tesla, Inc. - The Main Drivers in the Historic Performance of Tesla Stock

Asia and Global Semiconductor and Tech Research

Andrew Lu

<ul>
<li>Again, Tesla reports a 1Q24 sales with 4% miss but post market share price up more than 10% for 6 reasons. 1. Gross margin was stable on 15% sales drop;</li>
<li>2. ASP was stable; 3. Affordable EV on track for 2025; 4. Factory expansion to slow; 5. Optimus to sell end of 2025; 6. 2024 EV shipment higher than 2023.</li>
<li>
<strong>Near term risks to remain</strong>: 1. When will margin trough? 2. Why bother to buy EV if 2nd hand market collapsing? 3. Will Robotaxi/FSD bring in meaningful sales/profits soon?</li>
</ul>


Again, Tesla reports a 1Q24 sales with 4% miss but post market share price up more than 10% for 6 reasons. 1. Gross margin was stable on 15% sales drop;
2. ASP was stable; 3. Affordable EV on track for 2025; 4. Factory expansion to slow; 5. Optimus to sell end of 2025; 6. 2024 EV shipment higher than 2023.

Near term risks to remain: 1. When will margin trough? 2. Why bother to buy EV if 2nd hand market collapsing? 3. Will Robotaxi/FSD bring in meaningful sales/profits soon?


Why Tesla Shows Post Results Rebound of over 10%?

Equity Long-Short, Semiconductors, Fabricated Knowledge

Douglas O'Laughlin

Equity Long-Short, Semiconductors

Fabricated Knowledge

Learn more about the world's most important manufactured product. Meaningful insight, timely analysis, and an occasional investment idea.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Its a quarter too soon to go dumpster diving in the automotive semiconductor industry. Another round of cuts is likely coming. Consider this my earnings preview.</li><li><p>I have leaned bearish automotive semiconductors for a few months, and I think the call has been mostly correct.</p></li><li><p>For me, the beginning of my bearishness started when I highlighted that China would try to murder the supply aspect of the market for the foreseeable future</p></li></ul><div data-component-name="DigestPostEmbed"><a href="https://www.fabricatedknowledge.com/p/chinese-evs-and-the-lagging-edge" target="_blank" rel="noopener"></a></div>

Its a quarter too soon to go dumpster diving in the automotive semiconductor industry. Another round of cuts is likely coming. Consider this my earnings preview.I have leaned bearish automotive semiconductors for a few months, and I think the call has been mostly correct.For me, the beginning of my bearishness started when I highlighted that China would try to murder the supply aspect of the market for the foreseeable future

Hitting the Breaks: Automotive Semiconductors

United States

Tesla Inc. operates as a multinational automotive and clean energy company. The Company designs and manufactures electric vehicles, battery energy storage from home to grid-scale, solar panels and solar roof tiles, and related products and services. Tesla owns its sales and service network and sells electric power train components to other automobile manufacturers.

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Tesla (TSLA US)

TSLA Q2 Earnings: Options Appear Complacent Vs. TSLA’s Volatile History

With implied vol compressed and recent price action elevated, we assess whether the options market is underestimating risk.

John Ley

Tesla Trouble: Why Elon’s EV Empire Is Facing a Perfect Storm of Crises!

Tesla is no stranger to controversy or disruption, but the last few months have tested even the most loyal investors’ patience. From tumbling...

Baptista Research

Tesla, Inc. - The Main Drivers in the Historic Performance of Tesla Stock

Since the beginning of the century, quite a few companies have left their mark through their innovative approach on the market, selling products...

VRS (Valuation & Research Specialists)

Why Tesla Shows Post Results Rebound of over 10%?

Why Tesla Shows Post Results Rebound of over 10%? Tesla reports a 1Q24 sales with 4% miss but post market share price up more than 10% for 6 reasons.

Andrew Lu

Hitting the Breaks: Automotive Semiconductors

Its a quarter too soon to go dumpster diving in the automotive semiconductor industry. Another round of cuts is likely coming. Consider this my...

Fabricated Knowledge

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