Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

Shenton Research

Shenton Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Jul 24th (reported today). The aggregated short interest was USD45.9bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in South32, Northern Star Resources, Stockland, James Hardie Industries, Brambles.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Jul 24th (reported today). The aggregated short interest was USD45.9bn.
We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in South32, Northern Star Resources, Stockland, James Hardie Industries, Brambles.


ASX Short Interest Weekly (Jul 24th): South32, Northern Star Resources, Stockland, Brambles

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

Australian Strategic Materials / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/australian-strategic-materials" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30815:1" rel="noopener">Australian Strategic Materials (ASM AU)</a> IE opinion is unchanged that <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/energy-fuels-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12230:1" rel="noopener">Energy Fuels (UUUU US)</a>’s offer (A$0.13 cash and 0.053 UUUU shares per ASM share) is fair and reasonable.</li>
<li>The IE valued ASM at A$0.490 to A$0.973 per share, which is 30%-39% lower than its previous valuation of A$0.809 to A$1.391 per share, due to production delays at KMP.</li>
<li>The scheme vote remains low risk. At the last close and for a 28 August payment, the gross/annualised spread was 0.7%/8.2%.</li>
</ul>


The Australian Strategic Materials (ASM AU) IE opinion is unchanged that Energy Fuels (UUUU US)’s offer (A$0.13 cash and 0.053 UUUU shares per ASM share) is fair and reasonable.
The IE valued ASM at A$0.490 to A$0.973 per share, which is 30%-39% lower than its previous valuation of A$0.809 to A$1.391 per share, due to production delays at KMP.
The scheme vote remains low risk. At the last close and for a 28 August payment, the gross/annualised spread was 0.7%/8.2%.


Australian Strategic Materials (ASM AU): Revised Scheme Vote on 12 August

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>EQT/DG lifted their Offer Price for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kakaku-com-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7408:1" rel="noopener">Kakaku.com (2371 JP)</a> to ¥3,450/share. This "obstructs" the Bain/LY deal, slightly, temporarily, but there are nuances within. Expect Bain/LY to come over the top.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/prosus-nv" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28104:1" rel="noopener">Prosus NV (PRX NA)</a> is cheap"  vs. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent (700 HK)</a>. And <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/naspers-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21085:1" rel="noopener">Naspers (NPN SJ)</a> "rich" to Prosus. Look to long Prosus here, short Tencent here. Or long Prosus, short Naspers</li>
<li>Be comfortable medium-long-term with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mitsui-matsushima-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13569:1" rel="noopener">Mitsui Matsushima (1518 JP)</a>'s super-cheap asset. And they have niche businesses in semiconductor/tech to spruce things up if people decide they want to run with it.</li>
</ul>


EQT/DG lifted their Offer Price for Kakaku.com (2371 JP) to ¥3,450/share. This "obstructs" the Bain/LY deal, slightly, temporarily, but there are nuances within. Expect Bain/LY to come over the top.

Prosus NV (PRX NA) is cheap"  vs. Tencent (700 HK). And Naspers (NPN SJ) "rich" to Prosus. Look to long Prosus here, short Tencent here. Or long Prosus, short Naspers
Be comfortable medium-long-term with Mitsui Matsushima (1518 JP)'s super-cheap asset. And they have niche businesses in semiconductor/tech to spruce things up if people decide they want to run with it.


Last Week In Event SPACE: Mitsui Matsushima, Prosus/Tencent/Naspers, Legend/Lenovo

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Russia’s invasion of Ukraine is forcing the US and European administrations to wrestle with the vulnerabilities in their uranium supply chains. </li>
<li>The situation is also re-emphasising the spotlight on the future role of nuclear energy in the power grids. </li>
<li>Uranium prices are up 44% since the invasion began, with the price for nuclear fuel at a decade high.</li>
</ul>


Russia’s invasion of Ukraine is forcing the US and European administrations to wrestle with the vulnerabilities in their uranium supply chains. 
The situation is also re-emphasising the spotlight on the future role of nuclear energy in the power grids. 
Uranium prices are up 44% since the invasion began, with the price for nuclear fuel at a decade high.


<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Jul 17th (reported today). The aggregated short interest was USD45.5bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Genesis Minerals, CSL, Aristocrat Leisure, ASX, Atlas Arteria.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Jul 17th (reported today). The aggregated short interest was USD45.5bn.
We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Genesis Minerals, CSL, Aristocrat Leisure, ASX, Atlas Arteria.


ASX Short Interest Weekly (Jul 17th): Genesis Minerals, CSL, Aristocrat Leisure, ASX, Atlas Arteria

Australia

Lynas Corporation Limited explores and mines for rare earth minerals such as cerium and neodymium.

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Lynas Corp Ltd (LYC AU)

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Jul 24th): South32, Northern Star Resources, Stockland, Brambles

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in South32, Northern Star Resources, Stockland, James...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Australian Strategic Materials (ASM AU): Revised Scheme Vote on 12 August

The IE valued ASM at A$0.490 to A$0.973 per share, which is 30%-39% lower than its previous valuation of A$0.809 to A$1.391 per share, due to...

Arun George

Last Week In Event SPACE: Mitsui Matsushima, Prosus/Tencent/Naspers, Legend/Lenovo

It’s Sunday! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed during the...

David Blennerhassett

Uranium: Fuelling Fears

Russia’s invasion of Ukraine is forcing the US and European administrations to wrestle with the vulnerabilities in their uranium supply chains....

David Blennerhassett

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Jul 17th): Genesis Minerals, CSL, Aristocrat Leisure, ASX, Atlas Arteria

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Genesis Minerals, CSL, Aristocrat Leisure, ASX,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

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