Quantitative Researcher, MRM Research

Nico Rosti

Quantitative Researcher

MRM Research

Quantitative Research

Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>As recently written by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/profiles/brian-freitas" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="accounts:4091" rel="noopener">Brian Freitas</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/profiles/sumeet-singh" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="accounts:4" rel="noopener">Sumeet Singh</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/byd-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20962:1" rel="noopener">BYD (1211 HK)</a> is placing new shares on the market at at a price range of HK$333-345/share.</li>
<li>The stock today dropped to roughly 340 and it's oversold WEEKLY according to our models. Buying here, at this price, should bear fruit in coming weeks. <strong>More details below</strong>.</li>
<li>We cannot yet predict the profit targets because our model needs the WEEKLY Close for this week, to do that. We will update this information when it becomes available.</li>
</ul>


As recently written by Brian Freitas and Sumeet Singh , BYD (1211 HK) is placing new shares on the market at at a price range of HK$333-345/share.
The stock today dropped to roughly 340 and it's oversold WEEKLY according to our models. Buying here, at this price, should bear fruit in coming weeks. More details below.
We cannot yet predict the profit targets because our model needs the WEEKLY Close for this week, to do that. We will update this information when it becomes available.


BYD (1211 HK) Placement: Tactical Buy Opportunity in Key Support Zone

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>Overnight, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/byd-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20962:1" rel="noopener">BYD (1211 HK)</a> has announced a placement of 118m shares at a price range of HK$333-345/share that could raise up to HK$40.7bn (US$5.2bn).</li>
<li>The Pink Sheets listing for BYD (BYDDY.PK) closed at US$87.1/share and traded US$155m for the day. That close implies an open of HK$338.7/share for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/byd-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20962:1" rel="noopener">BYD</a>, middle of the placement range.</li>
<li>There will be passive buying from global index trackers later this week while buying from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-hang-seng-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22899:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng Index</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-china-enterprises-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22900:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng China Enterprises Index</a> trackers will come in April.</li>
</ul>


Overnight, BYD (1211 HK) has announced a placement of 118m shares at a price range of HK$333-345/share that could raise up to HK$40.7bn (US$5.2bn).
The Pink Sheets listing for BYD (BYDDY.PK) closed at US$87.1/share and traded US$155m for the day. That close implies an open of HK$338.7/share for BYD, middle of the placement range.
There will be passive buying from global index trackers later this week while buying from Hang Seng Index and Hang Seng China Enterprises Index trackers will come in April.


BYD (1211 HK) Placement: Continuing to Power Up

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/byd-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20962:1" rel="noopener">BYD (1211 HK)</a> is looking to raise around US$5.2bn via selling 4% additional shares.</li>
<li>The company has undertaken a few deals before and they have ended up performing well.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the placement and run the deal through our ECM framework.</li>
</ul>



BYD (1211 HK) is looking to raise around US$5.2bn via selling 4% additional shares.
The company has undertaken a few deals before and they have ended up performing well.
In this note, we will talk about the placement and run the deal through our ECM framework.


BYD US$5.2bn Placement - Large Only in Absolute Size, past Deals Have Done Well

<ul>
<li>The December rebalance of the Hang Seng family of indices will use today's closing prices to cap the index constituent weights.</li>
<li>The net round-trip trade across all stocks across the five indices is estimated at HK$50bn (US$6.4bn). There is size to trade in a lot of stocks.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xiaomi-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24409:1" rel="noopener">Xiaomi (1810 HK)</a> is the biggest buy due to HSIII Index inclusion and capping, while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-group-holding-ltd-d7b798e2-202d-4e01-9a1e-799e2ae8f0c7" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28434:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba (9988 HK)</a> is the biggest capping sell.</li>
</ul>


The December rebalance of the Hang Seng family of indices will use today's closing prices to cap the index constituent weights.
The net round-trip trade across all stocks across the five indices is estimated at HK$50bn (US$6.4bn). There is size to trade in a lot of stocks.

Xiaomi (1810 HK) is the biggest buy due to HSIII Index inclusion and capping, while Alibaba (9988 HK) is the biggest capping sell.


HSI, HSCEI, HSTECH, HSIII, HSBIO Index Rebalance: US$6.4bn of Flows Post Capping (Dec 2025)

Overseas Chinese Equities, Aequitas Research

Ming Lu

Overseas Chinese Equities

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>BYD’s deliveries grew by 51% YoY in December 2024 and 41% in the year 2024.</li>
<li>The Brazil event will slow down overseas expansion, but overseas deliveries account for only 10% of total vehicles.</li>
<li>We believe the stock has an upside of 39% and a price target of HK$356 for the next twelve months.</li>
</ul>


BYD’s deliveries grew by 51% YoY in December 2024 and 41% in the year 2024.
The Brazil event will slow down overseas expansion, but overseas deliveries account for only 10% of total vehicles.
We believe the stock has an upside of 39% and a price target of HK$356 for the next twelve months.


BYD (1211 HK): Vehicle Deliveries Up by 40% in 2024

China

BYD Company Limited, through its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells automobiles. The Company also researches, develops, manufactures and sells batteries, which are applied on mobile phones, cordless phones, power tools and other kinds of portable electronic devices.

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BYD (1211 HK)

BYD (1211 HK) Placement: Tactical Buy Opportunity in Key Support Zone

BYD (1211 HK) is offering new shares at HK$333-345/share, the stock dropped to 340 and is oversold weekly, this is a unique potential buying...

Nico Rosti

BYD (1211 HK) Placement: Continuing to Power Up

BYD is looking to raise US$5.2bn at a 5.1-8.4% discount to last. The pink sheets listing implies an HK open around HK$339/shr. There will be some...

Brian Freitas

BYD US$5.2bn Placement - Large Only in Absolute Size, past Deals Have Done Well

BYD (1211 HK) is looking to raise around US$5.2bn via selling 4% additional shares. In this note, we run the deal through our ECM framework.

Sumeet Singh

HSI, HSCEI, HSTECH, HSIII, HSBIO Index Rebalance: US$6.4bn of Flows Post Capping (Dec 2025)

The Dec rebalance of the HSI, HSCEI, HSTECH, HSIII, HSHKBIO indices will use today's closing prices for capping. The round-trip trade across the...

Brian Freitas

BYD (1211 HK): Vehicle Deliveries Up by 40% in 2024

BYD’s deliveries grew by 51% YoY in December 2024 and 41% in the year 2024. The Brazil event will slow down overseas expansion. We believe the...

Ming Lu

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

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BYD (1211 HK) Placement: Tactical Buy Opportunity in Key Support Zone

​BYD (1211 HK) is offering new shares at HK$333-345/share, the stock dropped to 340 and is oversold weekly, this is a unique potential buying...

Nico Rosti

BYD (1211 HK) Placement: Continuing to Power Up

BYD is looking to raise US$5.2bn at a 5.1-8.4% discount to last. The pink sheets listing implies an HK open around HK$339/shr. There will be some...

Brian Freitas

BYD US$5.2bn Placement - Large Only in Absolute Size, past Deals Have Done Well

BYD (1211 HK) is looking to raise around US$5.2bn via selling 4% additional shares. In this note, we run the deal through our ECM framework.

Sumeet Singh

HSI, HSCEI, HSTECH, HSIII, HSBIO Index Rebalance: US$6.4bn of Flows Post Capping (Dec 2025)

The Dec rebalance of the HSI, HSCEI, HSTECH, HSIII, HSHKBIO indices will use today's closing prices for capping. The round-trip trade across the...

Brian Freitas

BYD (1211 HK): Vehicle Deliveries Up by 40% in 2024

BYD’s deliveries grew by 51% YoY in December 2024 and 41% in the year 2024. The Brazil event will slow down overseas expansion. We believe the...

Ming Lu

BYD (1211 HK) is offering new shares at HK$333-345/share, the stock dropped to 340 and is oversold weekly, this is a unique potential buying...