IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/muyuan-foods-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3705:1" rel="noopener">Muyuan Foods Co (2714 HK)</a> priced its H Share at HK$39 to raise HK$10,684 million (US$1.4 billion) in gross proceeds. The H Share will be listed tomorrow.</li>
<li>I discussed the H Share listing in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/muyuan-foods-h-share-listing-the-investment-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:218326" rel="noopener">Muyuan Foods H Share Listing: The Investment Case</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/muyuan-foods-h-share-listing-2714-hk-valuation-insights" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:219264" rel="noopener">Muyuan Foods H Share Listing (2714 HK): Valuation Insights</a>. </li>
<li>Muyuan's international and retail oversubscription rates were below the median of recent large AH listings. The AH discount remains attractive.</li>
</ul>



Muyuan Foods Co (2714 HK) priced its H Share at HK$39 to raise HK$10,684 million (US$1.4 billion) in gross proceeds. The H Share will be listed tomorrow.
I discussed the H Share listing in Muyuan Foods H Share Listing: The Investment Case and Muyuan Foods H Share Listing (2714 HK): Valuation Insights. 
Muyuan's international and retail oversubscription rates were below the median of recent large AH listings. The AH discount remains attractive.


Muyuan Foods H Share Listing (2714 HK): Trading Debut

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of January 30th.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for China Mobile, Pop Mart Intl, Tencent, Zijin Mining, Xiaomi, Alibaba, China Life, Sinopec, China Hongqiao, Innovent Biologics.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of January 30th.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight flows for China Mobile, Pop Mart Intl, Tencent, Zijin Mining, Xiaomi, Alibaba, China Life, Sinopec, China Hongqiao, Innovent Biologics.


HK Connect Flows Weekly (Jan 30th): China Mobile, Pop Mart Intl, Tencent, Zijin Mining, Xiaomi

HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

<ul>
<li>The H-share IPO of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/muyuan-foods-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3705:1" rel="noopener">Muyuan Foods Co (2714 HK)</a> should draw good interest given its position as the world's largest hog farming company by capacity. </li>
<li>Its IPO price of HK$39 equals 8.8x FY26F PER, which is 10% below <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wh-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13200:1" rel="noopener">WH Group (288 HK)</a>. It is relatively cheap vs. the global peers' average of 11.3x.</li>
<li>Based on 10% discount to its A-share, the IPO's fair value is assessed at HK$46.90, 20.2% upside; and the floor is HK$41.70, being 20% discount.</li>
</ul>


The H-share IPO of Muyuan Foods Co (2714 HK) should draw good interest given its position as the world's largest hog farming company by capacity. 
Its IPO price of HK$39 equals 8.8x FY26F PER, which is 10% below WH Group (288 HK). It is relatively cheap vs. the global peers' average of 11.3x.
Based on 10% discount to its A-share, the IPO's fair value is assessed at HK$46.90, 20.2% upside; and the floor is HK$41.70, being 20% discount.


Muyuan Foods (2714 HK) IPO: Inexpensively Priced

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/muyuan-foods-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3705:1" rel="noopener">Muyuan Foods Co (2714 HK)</a>, the world’s largest pork company, has launched an H Share listing to raise US$1.4 billion.</li>
<li>I discussed the H Share listing in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/muyuan-foods-h-share-listing-the-investment-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:218326" rel="noopener">Muyuan Foods H Share Listing: The Investment Case</a>. </li>
<li>The proposed AH discount of 23.1% (based on the 28 January A Share price) is attractive. Overall, I would participate in the listing.</li>
</ul>



Muyuan Foods Co (2714 HK), the world’s largest pork company, has launched an H Share listing to raise US$1.4 billion.
I discussed the H Share listing in Muyuan Foods H Share Listing: The Investment Case. 
The proposed AH discount of 23.1% (based on the 28 January A Share price) is attractive. Overall, I would participate in the listing.


Muyuan Foods H Share Listing (2714 HK): Valuation Insights

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/muyuan-foodstuff-co-ltd-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3705:1" rel="noopener">Muyuan Foodstuff Co Ltd A (002714 CH)</a>, the world’s largest pork company, is pre-marketing an H-Share listing to raise around US$1.5 billion.    </li>
<li>The IPO proceeds will mainly be used to reduce exposure to China’s volatile hog market by expanding abroad and to strengthen its downstream businesses.</li>
<li>While the short-term outlook is challenging due to weak hog prices, Muyuan is well positioned for a recovery, thanks to its scale, industry-leading margins, and low leverage. </li>
</ul>



Muyuan Foodstuff Co Ltd A (002714 CH), the world’s largest pork company, is pre-marketing an H-Share listing to raise around US$1.5 billion.    
The IPO proceeds will mainly be used to reduce exposure to China’s volatile hog market by expanding abroad and to strengthen its downstream businesses.
While the short-term outlook is challenging due to weak hog prices, Muyuan is well positioned for a recovery, thanks to its scale, industry-leading margins, and low leverage. 


Muyuan Foods H Share Listing: The Investment Case

China

COFCO Joycome is a fully integrated meat enterprise specializing in feed production, hog breeding and farming, livestock slaughtering, and the production and sale of fresh pork and processed meat products. The company also imports and distributes various meat products, including pork, beef, poultry, and mutton. Headquartered in Beijing, China, the company was founded in 2002.

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COFCO Joycome (1610 HK)

HK Connect Flows Weekly (Jan 30th): China Mobile, Pop Mart Intl, Tencent, Zijin Mining, Xiaomi

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlighted flows for China Mobile (941 HK), Pop Mart Intl (9992 HK), Tencent...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Muyuan Foods (2714 HK) IPO: Inexpensively Priced

Muyuan's IPO offers good value due to its position as the world's largest hog farming company by capacity. It is valued at HK$46.90, with a floor...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Muyuan Foods H Share Listing (2714 HK): Trading Debut

Muyuan's international and retail oversubscription rates were below the median of recent large AH listings. The AH discount remains attractive.

Arun George

HK Connect Flows Weekly (Jan 30th): China Mobile, Pop Mart Intl, Tencent, Zijin Mining, Xiaomi

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlighted flows for China Mobile (941 HK), Pop Mart Intl (9992 HK), Tencent...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Muyuan Foods (2714 HK) IPO: Inexpensively Priced

​Muyuan's IPO offers good value due to its position as the world's largest hog farming company by capacity. It is valued at HK$46.90, with a floor...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Muyuan Foods H Share Listing (2714 HK): Valuation Insights

Muyuan Foods, the world’s largest pork company, has launched an H Share listing to raise US$1.4 billion. The proposed AH discount of 23.1% is...

Arun George

Muyuan Foods H Share Listing: The Investment Case

Muyuan Foods, the world’s largest pork company, is pre-marketing an H-Share listing to raise around US$1.5 billion. In this note, I discuss the...

Arun George

Muyuan's IPO offers good value due to its position as the world's largest hog farming company by capacity. It is valued at HK$46.90, with a floor...