Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass), with Int’l Compass reports all echoing this sentiment.</li>
<li>China (Shanghai Composite) has been a major focus ever since our July 3 report titled "China and Japan Breaking Out," and it's pulling back toward 10-year base support at 3675-3725;buy.</li>
<li>Japan's TOPIX and TOPIX Small indexes remain bullish (BUY), but RS remains below multi-month resistances; we would upgrade Japan to overweight on RS breakouts.</li>
</ul>


We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass), with Int’l Compass reports all echoing this sentiment.
China (Shanghai Composite) has been a major focus ever since our July 3 report titled "China and Japan Breaking Out," and it's pulling back toward 10-year base support at 3675-3725;buy.
Japan's TOPIX and TOPIX Small indexes remain bullish (BUY), but RS remains below multi-month resistances; we would upgrade Japan to overweight on RS breakouts.


Buys in Japan and Europe; China Pulling Back -- Buy; MSCI ACWI Uptrend Intact

Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/3sbio-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:459:1" rel="noopener">3SBio Inc (1530 HK)</a> witnessed a revenue decline of 1% in 1H25. Company’s core product Tpiao’s sales decreased 4% to RMB 2.4B (54% of total) impacted by lower volume.  </li>
<li>Phase III clinical trial of SSS06 (anemia in chronic renal failure), 608 (psoriasis), and 613 (acute gouty arthritis) is complete. NDAs for the same are under review by NMPA.</li>
<li>3SBio shares are trading at forward P/E of 11.5x, lower than peers. We feel that there is still upside potential left in the stock.</li>
</ul>



3SBio Inc (1530 HK) witnessed a revenue decline of 1% in 1H25. Company’s core product Tpiao’s sales decreased 4% to RMB 2.4B (54% of total) impacted by lower volume.  
Phase III clinical trial of SSS06 (anemia in chronic renal failure), 608 (psoriasis), and 613 (acute gouty arthritis) is complete. NDAs for the same are under review by NMPA.
3SBio shares are trading at forward P/E of 11.5x, lower than peers. We feel that there is still upside potential left in the stock.


3SBio Inc (1530 HK): NDA Approvals Awaited Amid Sales Decline; Upfront Payment To Boost 2H25

Equity Capital Markets

Simcere Pharmaceutical Group / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/simcere-pharmaceutical-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29186:1" rel="noopener">Simcere Pharmaceutical Group (2096 HK)</a> is placing 120M shares at the price of HK$12.95 per share. The placing shares represents ~5% of the current total issued shares of the company.</li>
<li>The company intends to apply 90% of the net proceeds for the R&amp;D-related expenditures. For context, Simcere has over 60 R&amp;D pipelines of innovative drugs.</li>
<li>Considering strong growth prospect of Simcere, reasonable valuation, and upbeat investor sentiment toward Chinese pharmaceutical sector, we are bullish on the placement.   </li>
</ul>



Simcere Pharmaceutical Group (2096 HK) is placing 120M shares at the price of HK$12.95 per share. The placing shares represents ~5% of the current total issued shares of the company.
The company intends to apply 90% of the net proceeds for the R&amp;D-related expenditures. For context, Simcere has over 60 R&amp;D pipelines of innovative drugs.
Considering strong growth prospect of Simcere, reasonable valuation, and upbeat investor sentiment toward Chinese pharmaceutical sector, we are bullish on the placement.   


Simcere Pharmaceutical (2096 HK) Placement: Innovative Pipeline Enlightens Growth Prospects

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/simcere-pharmaceutical-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29186:1" rel="noopener">Simcere Pharmaceutical Group (2096 HK)</a> is looking to raise around US$200m via a top-up placement.</li>
<li>This is the first primary raising by the company since its listing. There have been a few secondary deals, with mixed results.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.</li>
</ul>



Simcere Pharmaceutical Group (2096 HK) is looking to raise around US$200m via a top-up placement.
This is the first primary raising by the company since its listing. There have been a few secondary deals, with mixed results.
In this note, we talk about the deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.


Simcere Pharma Placement - First Primary Raising, past Deals Have Been Mixed

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of HSI in the past month.</li>
<li>We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.</li>
<li>We highlighted EPS revision on AIA, HSBC, MEITUAN, JD.COM, BIDU, SINO BIOPHARM, XINYI SOLAR, HSBC, Meituan, Jd, AIA, Bidu, Sino Biopharm, Xinyi Solar.</li>
</ul>


We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of HSI in the past month.
We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.
We highlighted EPS revision on AIA, HSBC, MEITUAN, JD.COM, BIDU, SINO BIOPHARM, XINYI SOLAR, HSBC, Meituan, Jd, AIA, Bidu, Sino Biopharm, Xinyi Solar.


HSI Index Earning Revision (Aug): AIA, HSBC, MEITUAN, JD.COM, BIDU, SINO BIOPHARM

China

Hansoh Pharmaceutical Group Company Limited operates as a pharmaceutical company. The Company manufactures and sells anti-infectives, anti-neoplastic agents, diabetes drugs, and other products. Hansoh Pharmaceutical Group markets its products throughout China.

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Hansoh Pharmaceutical Group (3692 HK)

Buys in Japan and Europe; China Pulling Back -- Buy; MSCI ACWI Uptrend Intact

Buys in Japan and Europe; China's Shanghai Composite Pulling Back to 10-year Base Support -- Buy; MSCI $ACWI Uptrend Intact. Actionable Themes:...

Vermilion Research

3SBio Inc (1530 HK): NDA Approvals Awaited Amid Sales Decline; Upfront Payment To Boost 2H25

3SBio saw 1% revenue decline in 1H25, with core product Tpiao sales dropping 4%. Phase III trials for three new drugs are complete and are under...

Tina Banerjee

Simcere Pharmaceutical (2096 HK) Placement: Innovative Pipeline Enlightens Growth Prospects

Simcere Pharmaceutical is placing 120M shares at the price of HK$12.95 per share. The company intends to apply 90% of the net proceeds for the R&D...

Tina Banerjee

Simcere Pharma Placement - First Primary Raising, past Deals Have Been Mixed

Simcere Pharmaceutical Group (2096 HK) is looking to raise around US$200m via a top-up placement. In this note, we talk about the deal dynamics.

Sumeet Singh

HSI Index Earning Revision (Aug): AIA, HSBC, MEITUAN, JD.COM, BIDU, SINO BIOPHARM

We analyzed HSI's consensus for Aug 2025 and highlighted changes of EPS in AIA (1299 HK), HSBC (5 HK), MEITUAN (3690 HK), JD.COM (9618 HK), BIDU...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Buys in Japan and Europe; China Pulling Back -- Buy; MSCI ACWI Uptrend Intact

Buys in Japan and Europe; China's Shanghai Composite Pulling Back to 10-year Base Support -- Buy; MSCI $ACWI Uptrend Intact. Actionable Themes:...

Vermilion Research

3SBio Inc (1530 HK): NDA Approvals Awaited Amid Sales Decline; Upfront Payment To Boost 2H25

​3SBio saw 1% revenue decline in 1H25, with core product Tpiao sales dropping 4%. Phase III trials for three new drugs are complete and are under...

Tina Banerjee

Simcere Pharmaceutical (2096 HK) Placement: Innovative Pipeline Enlightens Growth Prospects

Simcere Pharmaceutical is placing 120M shares at the price of HK$12.95 per share. The company intends to apply 90% of the net proceeds for the R&D...

Tina Banerjee

Simcere Pharma Placement - First Primary Raising, past Deals Have Been Mixed

Simcere Pharmaceutical Group (2096 HK) is looking to raise around US$200m via a top-up placement. In this note, we talk about the deal dynamics.

Sumeet Singh

HSI Index Earning Revision (Aug): AIA, HSBC, MEITUAN, JD.COM, BIDU, SINO BIOPHARM

We analyzed HSI's consensus for Aug 2025 and highlighted changes of EPS in AIA (1299 HK), HSBC (5 HK), MEITUAN (3690 HK), JD.COM (9618 HK), BIDU...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

3SBio saw 1% revenue decline in 1H25, with core product Tpiao sales dropping 4%. Phase III trials for three new drugs are complete and are under...