Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

Shenton Research

Shenton Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of September 24th.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Knowledge Atlas, Bidu, AIA, Chinagoldintl, Hua Hong Semi, CNOOC, China Resources Land, Petrochina, Xiaomi.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of September 24th.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight flows for Knowledge Atlas, Bidu, AIA, Chinagoldintl, Hua Hong Semi, CNOOC, China Resources Land, Petrochina, Xiaomi.


HK Connect Flows Weekly (Sep 24th): Knowledge Atlas, Bidu, AIA, Chinagoldintl, Hua Hong Semi, CNOOC

Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Innovent Biologics announced strategic global collaboration with Takeda for total deal value of $11.4B. Akeso announced that phase 3 trial evaluating ivonescimab versus tislelizumab in sq-NSCLC met primary endpoint.</li>
<li>Celltrion received FDA approval for two additional pediatric indications for Humira biosimilar, Yuflyma. Classys plans to acquire 77.5% stake in JL Health, South American energy-based aesthetic medical device distribution group. </li>
<li>Syngene plans to add a bioconjugation suite at its commercial biologics facility. Cipla and Eli Lilly agreed to distribute and promote tirzepatide in India under a second brand name, Yurpeak.</li>
</ul>


Innovent Biologics announced strategic global collaboration with Takeda for total deal value of $11.4B. Akeso announced that phase 3 trial evaluating ivonescimab versus tislelizumab in sq-NSCLC met primary endpoint.
Celltrion received FDA approval for two additional pediatric indications for Humira biosimilar, Yuflyma. Classys plans to acquire 77.5% stake in JL Health, South American energy-based aesthetic medical device distribution group. 
Syngene plans to add a bioconjugation suite at its commercial biologics facility. Cipla and Eli Lilly agreed to distribute and promote tirzepatide in India under a second brand name, Yurpeak.


APAC Healthcare Weekly (October 26) – Innovent, Akeso, Celltrion, Classys, Daiichi, Syngene, Cipla

<ul>
<li>Hansoh Pharmaceutical entered outlicense agreement with Roche for upfront and milestone payments of $2B+. Leads Biolabs and Dianthus Therapeutics entered into exclusive global license agreement for pre-clinical asset.</li>
<li>Chugai Pharmaceutical’s partner Eli Lilly announced positive results from Phase 3 trials of orforglipron. SanBio Co announced that their partial change application for AKUUGO is one step ahead for approval.</li>
<li>Celltrion launched Actemra biosimilar, Aptozma in the U.S. at ~35% discount to original drug. Samsung Biologics shareholders approved biologics business spin-off plan to transform the company into a pure-play CDMO.</li>
</ul>


Hansoh Pharmaceutical entered outlicense agreement with Roche for upfront and milestone payments of $2B+. Leads Biolabs and Dianthus Therapeutics entered into exclusive global license agreement for pre-clinical asset.
Chugai Pharmaceutical’s partner Eli Lilly announced positive results from Phase 3 trials of orforglipron. SanBio Co announced that their partial change application for AKUUGO is one step ahead for approval.
Celltrion launched Actemra biosimilar, Aptozma in the U.S. at ~35% discount to original drug. Samsung Biologics shareholders approved biologics business spin-off plan to transform the company into a pure-play CDMO.


APAC Healthcare Weekly (October 19) – Hansoh, Leads Biolabs, Chugai, SanBio, Celltrion, Samsung Bio

HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

<ul>
<li>Following Trump's threats on tariffs and pull-out of meeting with Xi, the 5% collapse in the HSI futures implies a heavy sell-off in HK when the market reopens.</li>
<li>The stocks with the best YTD performance and significant strengths in the last month are the prime candidates most vulnerable to the initial collapse. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/semiconductor-manufacturing-international-corp-smic" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14231:1" rel="noopener">Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp (SMIC) (981 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kuaishou-technology" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29725:1" rel="noopener">Kuaishou Technology (1024 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-group-holding-ltd-d7b798e2-202d-4e01-9a1e-799e2ae8f0c7" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28434:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba (9988 HK)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hua-hong-semiconductor-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7201:1" rel="noopener">Hua Hong Semiconductor (1347 HK)</a> are badly exposed.</li>
</ul>


Following Trump's threats on tariffs and pull-out of meeting with Xi, the 5% collapse in the HSI futures implies a heavy sell-off in HK when the market reopens.
The stocks with the best YTD performance and significant strengths in the last month are the prime candidates most vulnerable to the initial collapse. 

Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp (SMIC) (981 HK), Kuaishou Technology (1024 HK), Alibaba (9988 HK), and Hua Hong Semiconductor (1347 HK) are badly exposed.


Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>A pullback is finally underway following Trump's Friday tape bomb and the decisive loss of the 20-day MA on the SPX, though $<span style="color: #24a9a7;">ACWI is testing the 4-month uptrend at $136</span>
</li>
<li>We are no longer near-term bullish which had been in place since our April 22 report, but we are still bullish intermediate-term and are buyers on pullbacks.</li>
<li>Short-Term supports to watch on ACWI-US include the 4+ month uptrend (currently at $136), $134-$134.50, $131.50-$132, $130, $128, and $125-$126.</li>
</ul>


A pullback is finally underway following Trump's Friday tape bomb and the decisive loss of the 20-day MA on the SPX, though $ACWI is testing the 4-month uptrend at $136

We are no longer near-term bullish which had been in place since our April 22 report, but we are still bullish intermediate-term and are buyers on pullbacks.
Short-Term supports to watch on ACWI-US include the 4+ month uptrend (currently at $136), $134-$134.50, $131.50-$132, $130, $128, and $125-$126.


Stick With Global Technology; Pullback Phase Finally Here on $ACWI; Supports to Buy

China

Hansoh Pharmaceutical is a pharmaceutical company that researches, develops, manufactures, and sells a diverse portfolio of medicines. It focuses on therapeutic areas such as oncology, anti-infectives, central nervous system diseases, metabolic disorders, and autoimmune diseases. The company was founded in 1995 and is headquartered in Shanghai, China.

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Hansoh Pharmaceutical (3692 HK)

HK Connect Flows Weekly (Sep 24th): Knowledge Atlas, Bidu, AIA, Chinagoldintl, Hua Hong Semi, CNOOC

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlighted flows for Knowledge Atlas, Bidu, AIA, Chinagoldintl, Hua Hong Semi,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

APAC Healthcare Weekly (October 26) – Innovent, Akeso, Celltrion, Classys, Daiichi, Syngene, Cipla

Innovent Biologics announced collaboration with Takeda. FDA approves two additional indications for Celltrion's Humira biosimilar. Syngene is...

Tina Banerjee

APAC Healthcare Weekly (October 19) – Hansoh, Leads Biolabs, Chugai, SanBio, Celltrion, Samsung Bio

Hansoh and Leads Biolabs bag global outlicensing deals. Chugai’s partner Lilly announced positive P3 result for orforglipron. Celltrion launched...

Tina Banerjee

HK Strategy: Who Will Suffer the Most?

Trump's tariff threats and market uncertainty lead to a potential heavy sell-off in HK, with top-performing stocks like SMIC, Kuaishou, Alibaba,...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Stick With Global Technology; Pullback Phase Finally Here on $ACWI; Supports to Buy

Stick With Global Technology; Pullback Phase Finally Here on $ACWI $SPX Likely in 3%-7% Range; Supports to watch on $ACWI include $136, $134...

Vermilion Research

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

HK Connect Flows Weekly (Sep 24th): Knowledge Atlas, Bidu, AIA, Chinagoldintl, Hua Hong Semi, CNOOC

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlighted flows for Knowledge Atlas, Bidu, AIA, Chinagoldintl, Hua Hong Semi,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

APAC Healthcare Weekly (October 26) – Innovent, Akeso, Celltrion, Classys, Daiichi, Syngene, Cipla

Innovent Biologics announced collaboration with Takeda. FDA approves two additional indications for Celltrion's Humira biosimilar. Syngene is...

Tina Banerjee

APAC Healthcare Weekly (October 19) – Hansoh, Leads Biolabs, Chugai, SanBio, Celltrion, Samsung Bio

Hansoh and Leads Biolabs bag global outlicensing deals. Chugai’s partner Lilly announced positive P3 result for orforglipron. Celltrion launched...

Tina Banerjee

HK Strategy: Who Will Suffer the Most?

​Trump's tariff threats and market uncertainty lead to a potential heavy sell-off in HK, with top-performing stocks like SMIC, Kuaishou, Alibaba,...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Stick With Global Technology; Pullback Phase Finally Here on $ACWI; Supports to Buy

Stick With Global Technology; Pullback Phase Finally Here on $ACWI $SPX Likely in 3%-7% Range; Supports to watch on $ACWI include $136, $134...

Vermilion Research

Trump's tariff threats and market uncertainty lead to a potential heavy sell-off in HK, with top-performing stocks like SMIC, Kuaishou, Alibaba,...