Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

Contemporary Amperex Technology (CATL) / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>As forecast, there will be 3 constituent changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ishares-china-large-cap-etf" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:766:1" rel="noopener">iShares China Large-Cap (FXI US)</a> at the close of trading on 19 December.</li>
<li>Two of the inclusions will also have inflows from the FGlobal Index at the same time, while the third is an <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-china-enterprises-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22900:1" rel="noopener">HSCEI INDEX</a> add at the close tomorrow.</li>
<li>The HA premiums for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/contemporary-amperex-technology-catl-co-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45179:1" rel="noopener">CATL (3750 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jiangsu-hengrui-pharmaceuticals-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44224:1" rel="noopener">Jiangsu Hengrui Pharmaceuticals (1276 HK)</a> dropped prior to lock-up expiry and there could be a short-term premium expansion closer to index/ETF inclusion.</li>
</ul>


As forecast, there will be 3 constituent changes for the iShares China Large-Cap (FXI US) at the close of trading on 19 December.
Two of the inclusions will also have inflows from the FGlobal Index at the same time, while the third is an HSCEI INDEX add at the close tomorrow.
The HA premiums for CATL (3750 HK) and Jiangsu Hengrui Pharmaceuticals (1276 HK) dropped prior to lock-up expiry and there could be a short-term premium expansion closer to index/ETF inclusion.


FXI Rebalance: 3 Changes as H/A Premium Trades Back in Focus

Equity Derivatives and Volatility Specialist, Clifton Derivatives

John Ley

Equity Derivatives and Volatility Specialist

Clifton Derivatives

Independent derivative and volatility research firm focusing on events/catalysts, earnings, relative value and cross asset volatility strategies.

Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>Third week in a row with declining participation in the rally.</li>
<li>Information technology the hottest sector with all names up more than double digits, all but 2 stocks closing at a 52-week high and median implied vols at 96th percentile.</li>
<li>Single Stock option volume registers the two highest days in the last 3 months but Call trading as a percentage of the total slipped week over week.</li>
</ul>


Third week in a row with declining participation in the rally.
Information technology the hottest sector with all names up more than double digits, all but 2 stocks closing at a 52-week high and median implied vols at 96th percentile.
Single Stock option volume registers the two highest days in the last 3 months but Call trading as a percentage of the total slipped week over week.


EQD | Hong Kong Single Stock Options Weekly (February 02 – 07): Rally Narrows, Info Tech Hot

Tracking developments across tech supply chains, Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tracking developments across tech supply chains

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Trump 2.0 AI policies spark debate and criticism with a focus on nationalism and economic protectionism, dividing opinions.</li><li>China launches new low-altitude economy department to drive future growth, while Apple establishes Shanghai subsidiary to enhance AI integration in the country.</li><li>Nvidia CEO confirms growing CoWoS-L production capacity, but Apple faces crisis in China with 25% drop in iPhone shipments despite market dominance. Vietnam semiconductor push hindered by power supply challenges, prompting Asian countries to counter Trump 2.0's aggressive policies swiftly.</li></ul>

Trump 2.0 AI policies spark debate and criticism with a focus on nationalism and economic protectionism, dividing opinions.China launches new low-altitude economy department to drive future growth, while Apple establishes Shanghai subsidiary to enhance AI integration in the country.Nvidia CEO confirms growing CoWoS-L production capacity, but Apple faces crisis in China with 25% drop in iPhone shipments despite market dominance. Vietnam semiconductor push hindered by power supply challenges, prompting Asian countries to counter Trump 2.0's aggressive policies swiftly.

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (18-Jan-2025): Trump AI policies

<ul><li>AI server BBU status being monitored to ensure no issues on the artificial intelligence server, ensuring smooth operations.</li><li>TSMC's global update highlights Japan, US, and Europe's progress, showcasing Taiwan's chip giant's influence worldwide.</li><li>Xiaomi investing in GPU cluster for faster processing, China's Hua Hong appoints Intel veteran as President, South Korea investing $24.79 million in chip R&amp;D projects.</li></ul>

AI server BBU status being monitored to ensure no issues on the artificial intelligence server, ensuring smooth operations.TSMC's global update highlights Japan, US, and Europe's progress, showcasing Taiwan's chip giant's influence worldwide.Xiaomi investing in GPU cluster for faster processing, China's Hua Hong appoints Intel veteran as President, South Korea investing $24.79 million in chip R&amp;D projects.

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (03-Jan-2025): Check AI server BBU status.

China New Economy Equity Analyst, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Robert McKay

China New Economy Equity Analyst

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

<ul>
<li>Xiaomi's Japan market share rose to ~7% in C2Q24 from the year prior, driven by carrier partnerships and brand recognition from <em>SU7</em> media coverage and  a product partnership with LEICA;</li>
<li>Upon examination, we found Xiaomi filled a product gap left by the smartphone exits of Kyocera and Fujitsu, for the carriers, which account for 90% of handset sales in Japan;</li>
<li>In our view, Xiaomi’s success in Japan marks a turning point in its global brand perception, signaling potential for further growth in other developed and high end developing markets.</li>
</ul>


Xiaomi's Japan market share rose to ~7% in C2Q24 from the year prior, driven by carrier partnerships and brand recognition from SU7 media coverage and  a product partnership with LEICA;
Upon examination, we found Xiaomi filled a product gap left by the smartphone exits of Kyocera and Fujitsu, for the carriers, which account for 90% of handset sales in Japan;
In our view, Xiaomi’s success in Japan marks a turning point in its global brand perception, signaling potential for further growth in other developed and high end developing markets.


Xiaomi's Smartphone Share Gain in Japan Is a Harbinger of Good Things to Come

China

Xiaomi Corporation manufactures communication equipment and parts. The Company produces and sells mobile phones, smart phone software,  set-top boxes, and related accessories. Xiaomi markets its products worldwide.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Xiaomi (1810 HK)

FXI Rebalance: 3 Changes as H/A Premium Trades Back in Focus

There are 3 changes for the FXI in Dec. 2 adds will also be added to a global index at the same time while the other is an HSCEI add at the close...

Brian Freitas

EQD | Hong Kong Single Stock Options Weekly (February 02 – 07): Rally Narrows, Info Tech Hot

Participation declines for the third consecutive week, with information technology sector leading the charge. Single stock option volume surges,...

John Ley

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (18-Jan-2025): Trump AI policies

Trump 2.0 AI policies stir controversy with focus on nationalism and protectionism, China boosts low-altitude economy, Apple expands AI integration...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (03-Jan-2025): Check AI server BBU status.

Global AI and chip industry updates: TSMC flourishing, Xiaomi investing in LLM, Hua Hong's new President, South Korea's R&D projects, Micron's...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

FXI Rebalance: 3 Changes as H/A Premium Trades Back in Focus

There are 3 changes for the FXI in Dec. 2 adds will also be added to a global index at the same time while the other is an HSCEI add at the close...

Brian Freitas

EQD | Hong Kong Single Stock Options Weekly (February 02 – 07): Rally Narrows, Info Tech Hot

Participation declines for the third consecutive week, with information technology sector leading the charge. Single stock option volume surges,...

John Ley

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (18-Jan-2025): Trump AI policies

Trump 2.0 AI policies stir controversy with focus on nationalism and protectionism, China boosts low-altitude economy, Apple expands AI integration...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (03-Jan-2025): Check AI server BBU status.

Global AI and chip industry updates: TSMC flourishing, Xiaomi investing in LLM, Hua Hong's new President, South Korea's R&D projects, Micron's...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Xiaomi's Smartphone Share Gain in Japan Is a Harbinger of Good Things to Come

Xiaomi’s Japan success signals a broader global improvement in its brand image. High-profile products like the 14 Ultra and SU7 EV drive a shift...

Blue Lotus Research Institute