Breaking Down the Mining News of the Day, Money of Mine

Money of Mine

Breaking Down the Mining News of the Day

An ex-underground miner, an ex-investment banker, and an ex-equity research guy breaking down the mining news of the day. It's a bit of entertainment, information, and occasionally some alpha.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>BHP bullish on copper, bearish on iron ore due to buying Filo with Lundeens</li><li>FMG share price down nearly 40% with export volumes shrinking and rising costs in WA operations</li><li>Iron ore prices break below $100/ton for the first time in a while, China steelmaker Jiangsu DeLong facing counterparty risk and property market struggles due to lack of demand and unfinished projects</li></ul>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

BHP bullish on copper, bearish on iron ore due to buying Filo with LundeensFMG share price down nearly 40% with export volumes shrinking and rising costs in WA operationsIron ore prices break below $100/ton for the first time in a while, China steelmaker Jiangsu DeLong facing counterparty risk and property market struggles due to lack of demand and unfinished projectsThis content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

The Largest Acquisition of an Undeveloped Project in Decades

Commodities

<ul><li>Recent changes in Canada's M&amp;A rules have restricted critical metal companies from selling to Chinese investors</li><li>Chinese investors have played a key role in funding the exploration and development of copper porphyries, which are vital for global production</li><li>The uncertainty caused by these rules may lead companies to relocate outside of Canada, potentially harming the country's mining industry and economy</li></ul>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Recent changes in Canada's M&amp;A rules have restricted critical metal companies from selling to Chinese investorsChinese investors have played a key role in funding the exploration and development of copper porphyries, which are vital for global productionThe uncertainty caused by these rules may lead companies to relocate outside of Canada, potentially harming the country's mining industry and economyThis content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Warren Irwin on Uranium, Canada & Contrarian Opportunities

<ul><li>BHP and Lundin rumored to be considering a joint bid for Filo Mining in the Vicuna district, an emerging copper super district in Chile and Argentina.</li><li>Lundin Mining owns the most advanced project, Jose Maria, in the region which is permitted and fid ready.</li><li>Argentina now has a supportive business regime, making it an optimal time for development in the region. Lundin Group retains a 33% stake in Filo while BHP owns a 6% stake.</li></ul>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

BHP and Lundin rumored to be considering a joint bid for Filo Mining in the Vicuna district, an emerging copper super district in Chile and Argentina.Lundin Mining owns the most advanced project, Jose Maria, in the region which is permitted and fid ready.Argentina now has a supportive business regime, making it an optimal time for development in the region. Lundin Group retains a 33% stake in Filo while BHP owns a 6% stake.This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Since mid-April we discussed how downside was limited on MSCI ACWI and EURO STOXX 50, and May 2nd discussed it was "quite possible" the lows were in.</li>
<li>Now, the MSCI ACWI, ACWI ex-US, EAFE, and EM indexes have all broken out to new multi-year highs. Our bullish outlook (since early-November 2023) remains intact; expect higher prices ahead.</li>
<li>China (MSCI China) continues to lead the EM turnaround, and we remain bullish on the space. We highlight many large-cap EM buys within Communications, Technology, Discretionary; we remain bullish miners.</li>
</ul>


Since mid-April we discussed how downside was limited on MSCI ACWI and EURO STOXX 50, and May 2nd discussed it was "quite possible" the lows were in.
Now, the MSCI ACWI, ACWI ex-US, EAFE, and EM indexes have all broken out to new multi-year highs. Our bullish outlook (since early-November 2023) remains intact; expect higher prices ahead.
China (MSCI China) continues to lead the EM turnaround, and we remain bullish on the space. We highlight many large-cap EM buys within Communications, Technology, Discretionary; we remain bullish miners.


Bullish Outlook Intact; EM and China Continue to Bottom; Buys in Comms, Tech, Discretionary, Miners

<ul>
<li>We've discussed for months that we'll need to see SPX and NDX (QQQ) close below their 20-day MAs/21-dayEMAs for more than 2-3 consecutive days in order to get more cautious.</li>
<li>Today (Tuesday) marks 3 consecutive days as the DXY climbs to test major $106 resistance, and amid 10- and 30-year Treasury yields breaking above long-term resistances. Caution is warranted.</li>
<li>Still, in order for there to be a meaningful pullback, important 2-month supports that are currently being tested would need to break, including 4983-5050 on SPX and $425-$433 on QQQ.</li>
</ul>


We've discussed for months that we'll need to see SPX and NDX (QQQ) close below their 20-day MAs/21-dayEMAs for more than 2-3 consecutive days in order to get more cautious.
Today (Tuesday) marks 3 consecutive days as the DXY climbs to test major $106 resistance, and amid 10- and 30-year Treasury yields breaking above long-term resistances. Caution is warranted.
Still, in order for there to be a meaningful pullback, important 2-month supports that are currently being tested would need to break, including 4983-5050 on SPX and $425-$433 on QQQ.


The Pullback Finally Begins; SPX and NDX Testing 2-Month Supports; Market Dynamics Shifting

Canada

Lundin Mining Corporation is a diversified base metals mining company with operations in Chile, Portugal, Sweden, Spain and the United States, producing copper, zinc, lead and nickel. The Company holds interest in the Tenke Fungurume copper/cobalt mine in the Democratic Republic of Congo and a cobalt refinery located in Kokkola, Finland.

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Lundin Mining (LUN CN)

The Largest Acquisition of an Undeveloped Project in Decades

BHP bullish on copper but bearish on iron ore, FMG experiencing block trades and share price decrease, uncertainty in future projects and executive...

Money of Mine

Warren Irwin on Uranium, Canada & Contrarian Opportunities

Overall, the global outlook for the natural resource industry, particularly in Canada, is being impacted by resource nationalism and M&A rules

Money of Mine

Mega Copper M&A Manoeuvres

BHP and Lundin may team up for a joint bid on Filo Mining, driving up Filo's share price as the Vicuna district in Argentina proves to be a...

Money of Mine

Bullish Outlook Intact; EM and China Continue to Bottom; Buys in Comms, Tech, Discretionary, Miners

Bullish Outlook Intact $ACWI; EM and China Continue to Lead; U.S. Dollar (DXY), WTI Crude Oil, and Gasoline Prices Rolling Over; Buys in: Comms,...

Vermilion Research

The Pullback Finally Begins; SPX and NDX Testing 2-Month Supports; Market Dynamics Shifting

The Pullback Finally Begins; $SPX and $NDX $QQQ Testing 2-Month Supports at 4983-5050 and $425-$433 (2/22/24 gap supports); Market Dynamics...

Vermilion Research

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