Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>The bullish outlook for global equities (MSCI ACWI) that we initiated in early November 2023 remains intact; continue to ride this trend higher.</li>
<li>Many of the heavily-weighted countries in terms of global market capitalization (U.S., Europe, Japan) are extended; we'd welcome some consolidation, though it may come from higher levels.</li>
<li>Ultimately, market dynamics remain healthy, and we would treat pullbacks as buying opportunities. Downgrading India to market weight. Actionable Themes: Global Materials, Energy, Consumer Discretionary, and Industrials</li>
</ul>


The bullish outlook for global equities (MSCI ACWI) that we initiated in early November 2023 remains intact; continue to ride this trend higher.
Many of the heavily-weighted countries in terms of global market capitalization (U.S., Europe, Japan) are extended; we'd welcome some consolidation, though it may come from higher levels.
Ultimately, market dynamics remain healthy, and we would treat pullbacks as buying opportunities. Downgrading India to market weight. Actionable Themes: Global Materials, Energy, Consumer Discretionary, and Industrials


Bullish Outlook Intact; Downgrading India; Buys in Materials, Energy, Discretionary, Industrials

<ul>
<li>We have discussed for weeks that we will need to see the SPX and Nasdaq 100 close below their 20-day MAs for 2-3 consecutive days in order to get cautious.</li>
<li>This still hasn't happened (short-term trend remains bullish). If we get 2-3 closes below the 20-dayMAs, next support would be 4983-5050 on SPX, $425-$433 on QQQ (gap supports from 2/22/24)</li>
<li>If some or all of these gaps remain unfilled, it is a sign that bulls remain in control. We are seeing a rotation into commodity Sectors, we highlight several buys</li>
</ul>


We have discussed for weeks that we will need to see the SPX and Nasdaq 100 close below their 20-day MAs for 2-3 consecutive days in order to get cautious.
This still hasn't happened (short-term trend remains bullish). If we get 2-3 closes below the 20-dayMAs, next support would be 4983-5050 on SPX, $425-$433 on QQQ (gap supports from 2/22/24)
If some or all of these gaps remain unfilled, it is a sign that bulls remain in control. We are seeing a rotation into commodity Sectors, we highlight several buys


Upgrading Materials to Market Weight; Rotation into Commodity Sectors; SPX/NDX Holding Above Support

Research from Atrium Research, Atrium Research Corporation

Atrium Research

Research from Atrium Research

Atrium Research Corporation

Atrium Research provides institutional quality issuer paid research on public equities in North America. Our investment philosophy takes a 3-5 year view on equities currently being overlooked by the market. Our research process emphasizes understanding the key performance metrics for each specific company, trustworthy management teams, unit economics, and an in-depth valuation analysis. 

Our research product includes in-depth initiation reports, research notes, thematic research pieces, and company fact sheets.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>The precious metals markets held flat in August, following the solid performance in July; mining equities fell modestly.</li>
<li>Sentiment Update Commodity prices remained relatively flat through August, following a strong month in July.</li>
<li>This could also contribute to an increase in investment flows into the mining and metals equities.</li>
</ul>


The precious metals markets held flat in August, following the solid performance in July; mining equities fell modestly.
Sentiment Update Commodity prices remained relatively flat through August, following a strong month in July.
This could also contribute to an increase in investment flows into the mining and metals equities.


<ul><li>Gold and precious metals held their ground through December despite continued quantitative tightening headwinds</li><li>We anticipate 2023 to be a standout year for both precious metals and base metals and encourage investors to position themselves accordingly</li><li>Investors should tread carefully when buying small-cap stocks as the limited access to capital in 2022 may result in bankruptcies in 2023</li></ul>

Gold and precious metals held their ground through December despite continued quantitative tightening headwindsWe anticipate 2023 to be a standout year for both precious metals and base metals and encourage investors to position themselves accordinglyInvestors should tread carefully when buying small-cap stocks as the limited access to capital in 2022 may result in bankruptcies in 2023

Equity, Bottom-up Analyst, Investics Research

Sameer Taneja

Equity, Bottom-up Analyst

Investics Research

It is important to note that the information provided by Investics Research is based on publicly available data and own knowledge, which has been gathered and analyzed from a variety of sources. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy and completeness of the information provided, it is not guaranteed to be free from errors or omissions. All forecasts and estimates are based on information that has been obtained from public sources that are considered to be reliable. The sources include but are not limited to, company announcements, exchange filings, presentations, etc. Investics does not guarantee the accuracy and completeness of the forecasts, estimates, and/or other information.

Equity Bottom-up Research

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Record 2Q26: net sales $4,289mm (+41%), EBITDA $2,856mm (+60%), net income $1,670mm (+72%), on LME copper of $6.04/lb.</li>
<li>Cash cost $0.05/lb net of by-products, net debt down to $665mm, and 2026 copper guidance nudged to 917kt despite weaker Cuajone grades.</li>
<li>2026e EPS $8.33, P/E 22.4x, EV/EBITDA 14.4x at $186.71; sensitivity spans $4.11 to $12.56 EPS on copper of $3.40 to $8.40.</li>
</ul>


Record 2Q26: net sales $4,289mm (+41%), EBITDA $2,856mm (+60%), net income $1,670mm (+72%), on LME copper of $6.04/lb.
Cash cost $0.05/lb net of by-products, net debt down to $665mm, and 2026 copper guidance nudged to 917kt despite weaker Cuajone grades.
2026e EPS $8.33, P/E 22.4x, EV/EBITDA 14.4x at $186.71; sensitivity spans $4.11 to $12.56 EPS on copper of $3.40 to $8.40.


Southern Copper (SCCO US) 2Q FY26 Results/Concall Update: >13,000 USD/Ton Copper Driving Upgrades

Canada

Lundin Mining Corporation is a diversified base metals mining company with operations in Chile, Portugal, Sweden, Spain and the United States, producing copper, zinc, lead and nickel. The Company holds interest in the Tenke Fungurume copper/cobalt mine in the Democratic Republic of Congo and a cobalt refinery located in Kokkola, Finland.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Lundin Mining (LUN CN)

Bullish Outlook Intact; Downgrading India; Buys in Materials, Energy, Discretionary, Industrials

Bullish Outlook Intact on MSCI ACWI; Downgrading India to Market; Market Dynamics Healthy; Treat Pullbacks as Buying Opportunities; Buys in global...

Vermilion Research

Upgrading Materials to Market Weight; Rotation into Commodity Sectors; SPX/NDX Holding Above Support

Upgrading Materials $XLB to Market Weight; Rotation into Commodity Sectors $XLE. $SPX and $QQQ holding above gap supports at 4983-5050 and $425...

Vermilion Research

Mining Monthly: August Edition

The precious metals markets held flat in August, following the solid performance in July; mining equities fell modestly.

Atrium Research

Mining Monthly: December Edition

Gold and precious metals held their ground through December despite continued quantitative tightening headwinds. We anticipate 2023 to be a...

Atrium Research

Southern Copper (SCCO US) 2Q FY26 Results/Concall Update: >13,000 USD/Ton Copper Driving Upgrades

By-product credits have taken cash cost to $0.05/lb and net debt to $665mm, with 1H26 EBITDA already 65% of the full-year guide, leaving the copper...

Sameer Taneja

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)