Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>SOUTHBOUND gross trading activity was again not stronger per day than the previous several weeks, but SB Net Buying was again BIG. Given the change in Tencent, remarkable even.</li>
<li>The story was follow-through, but SMIC and Xiaomi were also big buys. This is shaping up to be a "let's buy what US Persons cannot" moment.</li>
<li>No sectors saw net selling through CCASS data five days to Weds. Top 10 activity was quite concentrated this week. Very few stray names.</li>
</ul>


SOUTHBOUND gross trading activity was again not stronger per day than the previous several weeks, but SB Net Buying was again BIG. Given the change in Tencent, remarkable even.
The story was follow-through, but SMIC and Xiaomi were also big buys. This is shaping up to be a "let's buy what US Persons cannot" moment.
No sectors saw net selling through CCASS data five days to Weds. Top 10 activity was quite concentrated this week. Very few stray names.


HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 24 Jan 2025); Again Big Net Buying by SB, Again on Tech

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>China announced game approval for the January batch. The number of games approved remained at a higher level than 2023.</li>
<li>The pace of China game approval appears to have accelerated to the same level as pre-tightening.</li>
<li>Tencent and CMGE received one approval for January, respectively. We also highlight perplexity of Tencent's approved game. </li>
</ul>


China announced game approval for the January batch. The number of games approved remained at a higher level than 2023.
The pace of China game approval appears to have accelerated to the same level as pre-tightening.
Tencent and CMGE received one approval for January, respectively. We also highlight perplexity of Tencent's approved game. 


Tencent/Netease: One Game Approval for Tencent in Jan and the Perplexity

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

<ul><li>We expect Tencent will continue to deliver solid earnings performance in 4Q24, driven by strong games revenue growth and resilient marketing business.</li><li>We forecast total revenue to grow by 8% YoY to RMB167.6bn (in line with consensus) and non-IFRS net income to grow by 29% YoY to RMB55.2bn (5% ahead of consensus) in 4Q24.</li><li>On 17 January, we hosted an NDR with Tencent’s management in Beijing and our key takeaway is summarized below.</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

We expect Tencent will continue to deliver solid earnings performance in 4Q24, driven by strong games revenue growth and resilient marketing business.We forecast total revenue to grow by 8% YoY to RMB167.6bn (in line with consensus) and non-IFRS net income to grow by 29% YoY to RMB55.2bn (5% ahead of consensus) in 4Q24.On 17 January, we hosted an NDR with Tencent’s management in Beijing and our key takeaway is summarized below.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Tencent (700 HK) - Solid Core Businesses; Upbeat on Long-Term Development of E-Commerce and AI

Equity Derivatives and Volatility Specialist, Clifton Derivatives

John Ley

Equity Derivatives and Volatility Specialist

Clifton Derivatives

Independent derivative and volatility research firm focusing on events/catalysts, earnings, relative value and cross asset volatility strategies.

Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>Tough week with 82% of optionable stocks we survey declining on the week but no sign of panic as investors still prefer Calls over Puts. </li>
<li>Tencent was far and away the volume leader, accounting for 37% of all option trading.</li>
<li>Materials was the only Sector to see price gains and implied vol rose across all Sectors we survey.</li>
</ul>


Tough week with 82% of optionable stocks we survey declining on the week but no sign of panic as investors still prefer Calls over Puts. 
Tencent was far and away the volume leader, accounting for 37% of all option trading.
Materials was the only Sector to see price gains and implied vol rose across all Sectors we survey.


EQD | Hong Kong Single Stock Options Weekly January 06 – 10

Overseas Chinese Equities, Aequitas Research

Ming Lu

Overseas Chinese Equities

<ul>
<li>NEV retail deliveries grew by 41% in 2024, higher than 36% in 2023.</li>
<li>The US Department of Defense designated Tencent as a Chinese Military Company.</li>
<li>Smart Share Global plans to go private, as the company has no exclusive advantage.</li>
</ul>


NEV retail deliveries grew by 41% in 2024, higher than 36% in 2023.
The US Department of Defense designated Tencent as a Chinese Military Company.
Smart Share Global plans to go private, as the company has no exclusive advantage.


China Consumption Weekly (13 Jan 2025): NEV 2024, Tencent in Blacklist, Energy Monster Going Private

China

Tencent Holdings Limited operates as an investment holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, provides Internet and mobile value-added services (VAS), online advertising, and e-commerce transactions. Tencent Holdings offers services to users worldwide.

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Tencent (700 HK)

HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 24 Jan 2025); Again Big Net Buying by SB, Again on Tech

A decent week for flows on a gross basis but not on a net basis. Net buying was on the weak side though tech was still a net buy. Especially Friday.

Travis Lundy

Tencent/Netease: One Game Approval for Tencent in Jan and the Perplexity

We analyzed the game approval issued by NPPA for Chinese online game players for the month of January. Game approvals for large players are slow so...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Tencent (700 HK) - Solid Core Businesses; Upbeat on Long-Term Development of E-Commerce and AI

We expect Tencent will continue to deliver solid earnings performance in 4Q24, driven by strong games revenue growth and resilient marketing business.

CMB International

EQD | Hong Kong Single Stock Options Weekly January 06 – 10

Investors remain calm despite majority of optionable stocks declining, with preference for Calls over Puts; Tencent dominates option trading...

John Ley

China Consumption Weekly (13 Jan 2025): NEV 2024, Tencent in Blacklist, Energy Monster Going Private

NEV retail deliveries grew by 41% in 2024, higher than 36% in 2023. US Department of Defense designated Tencent as a Chinese Military Company....

Ming Lu

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

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HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 24 Jan 2025); Again Big Net Buying by SB, Again on Tech

A decent week for flows on a gross basis but not on a net basis. Net buying was on the weak side though tech was still a net buy. Especially Friday.

Travis Lundy

Tencent/Netease: One Game Approval for Tencent in Jan and the Perplexity

We analyzed the game approval issued by NPPA for Chinese online game players for the month of January. Game approvals for large players are slow so...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Tencent (700 HK) - Solid Core Businesses; Upbeat on Long-Term Development of E-Commerce and AI

We expect Tencent will continue to deliver solid earnings performance in 4Q24, driven by strong games revenue growth and resilient marketing business.

CMB International

EQD | Hong Kong Single Stock Options Weekly January 06 – 10

​Investors remain calm despite majority of optionable stocks declining, with preference for Calls over Puts; Tencent dominates option trading...

John Ley

China Consumption Weekly (13 Jan 2025): NEV 2024, Tencent in Blacklist, Energy Monster Going Private

NEV retail deliveries grew by 41% in 2024, higher than 36% in 2023. US Department of Defense designated Tencent as a Chinese Military Company....

Ming Lu

Investors remain calm despite majority of optionable stocks declining, with preference for Calls over Puts; Tencent dominates option trading...