Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ck-hutchison-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:132:1" rel="noopener">CK Hutchison (1 HK)</a> initiates a second arbitration against the Republic of Panama after Panama's highest court annulled CKH's port contracts earlier this year. </li>
<li>After falling post-1H26 results,  <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-unicom-hong-kong-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1016:1" rel="noopener">China Unicom (762 HK)</a> is inexpensive to its parent <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-united-network-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12620:1" rel="noopener">China United Network A (600050 CH)</a> - its hybrid domestic A-share twin </li>
<li>The "upside-down world" continues as Trump embraces North Korea, and amps up hostility towards it southern neighbour, possibly disrupting Hanwha's acquisition of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/austal-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14420:1" rel="noopener">Austal Ltd (ASB AU)</a>'s US ops. </li>
</ul>



CK Hutchison (1 HK) initiates a second arbitration against the Republic of Panama after Panama's highest court annulled CKH's port contracts earlier this year. 
After falling post-1H26 results,  China Unicom (762 HK) is inexpensive to its parent China United Network A (600050 CH) - its hybrid domestic A-share twin 
The "upside-down world" continues as Trump embraces North Korea, and amps up hostility towards it southern neighbour, possibly disrupting Hanwha's acquisition of Austal Ltd (ASB AU)'s US ops. 


Last Week In Event SPACE: CK Hutch, China Unicom, Austal, Steadfast

HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>The 2Q23 earnings performance for China's tourism and hospitality stocks provides clear evidence for the sector's operational recovery. This will become even stronger into 2H23.</li>
<li>Forward bookings for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tongcheng-travel-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27363:1" rel="noopener">Tongcheng Travel (780 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/trip-com-group-ltd-23a341d0-4f63-4175-a8c5-ee990906cacd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36424:1" rel="noopener">Trip.com Group (9961 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/h-world-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33487:1" rel="noopener">H World Grp (1179 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fosun-tourism-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27439:1" rel="noopener">Fosun Tourism (1992 HK)</a> all point to encouraging underlying demand.</li>
<li>Despite recent strengths in share price, consensus earnings upgrades have made their valuations even cheaper than three months ago.</li>
</ul>


The 2Q23 earnings performance for China's tourism and hospitality stocks provides clear evidence for the sector's operational recovery. This will become even stronger into 2H23.
Forward bookings for Tongcheng Travel (780 HK), Trip.com Group (9961 HK), H World Grp (1179 HK) and Fosun Tourism (1992 HK) all point to encouraging underlying demand.
Despite recent strengths in share price, consensus earnings upgrades have made their valuations even cheaper than three months ago.


China Tourism and Hospitality Industry: Pent-Up Demand Drives Robust Outlook

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

Shenton Research

Shenton Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>We screen the HS TECH eligible universe ahead of the September 2026 quarterly review.</li>
<li>One stock ranks inside the ADD Zone this cycle, paired with one Buffer Zone DELETE.</li>
<li>Both calls are mid-conviction, as the DELETE candidate is inside the Buffer Zone and close to the DELETE Zone.</li>
</ul>


We screen the HS TECH eligible universe ahead of the September 2026 quarterly review.
One stock ranks inside the ADD Zone this cycle, paired with one Buffer Zone DELETE.
Both calls are mid-conviction, as the DELETE candidate is inside the Buffer Zone and close to the DELETE Zone.


HS TECH Sep 2026 Index Rebalance Forecast

Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport, Tracking Traffic

Daniel Hellberg

Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport

Tracking Traffic

Focusing on Asian logistics, transportation, and travel companies

<ul>
<li>In May, the recovery in outbound travel remained strong, but not surprisingly so</li>
<li>Meanwhile, improvement in domestic travel activity appears to have lost steam</li>
<li>Six months in, we simply do not see any positive surprises in the travel boom</li>
</ul>


In May, the recovery in outbound travel remained strong, but not surprisingly so
Meanwhile, improvement in domestic travel activity appears to have lost steam
Six months in, we simply do not see any positive surprises in the travel boom


Monthly Chinese Tourism Tracker | Outbound Firmer | Domestic Losing Steam | No Surprises (June 2023)

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

<ul><li>Although geographical tension and macro challenges are yet over, we believe most worst-case scenarios have been priced in.</li><li>Jun would be good timing to accumulate some defensive &amp; undervalued names over a 12-month horizon, as we expect sector sentiment will be moderately boosted by: 1) 2Q23E acceleration with low base; 2) upcoming strong drama &amp; game pipeline in summer holiday; 3) solid performance for 618 promotions;; and 4) potential positive economic incentives.</li><li>We prefer SFV&amp;LFV and game subsectors, for resilience on macro uncertainty, stable competition landscape, and better margin outlook with solid growth. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Although geographical tension and macro challenges are yet over, we believe most worst-case scenarios have been priced in.Jun would be good timing to accumulate some defensive &amp; undervalued names over a 12-month horizon, as we expect sector sentiment will be moderately boosted by: 1) 2Q23E acceleration with low base; 2) upcoming strong drama &amp; game pipeline in summer holiday; 3) solid performance for 618 promotions;; and 4) potential positive economic incentives.We prefer SFV&amp;LFV and game subsectors, for resilience on macro uncertainty, stable competition landscape, and better margin outlook with solid growth. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Entertainment – Embracing rich pipeline and sector mild re-rating

Hong Kong

Tongcheng Travel Holdings Limited is an investment holding company providing travel-related services in the People's Republic of China. It offers accommodation reservation, transportation ticketing, online advertising, hotel management, tourist attraction tickets, and packaged tours through its online platforms, mobile apps, and websites. The company was founded in 1999 and is headquartered in Suzhou, the People's Republic of China.

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Tongcheng Travel (780 HK)

Last Week In Event SPACE: CK Hutch, China Unicom, Austal, Steadfast

It’s Sunday! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed during the...

David Blennerhassett

China Tourism and Hospitality Industry: Pent-Up Demand Drives Robust Outlook

China's tourism-related stocks showed strong 2Q23 earnings recovery, with forward bookings indicating promising demand. Despite higher share...

Osbert Tang, CFA

HS TECH Sep 2026 Index Rebalance Forecast

We expect Iluvatar Corex to enter and Tongcheng Travel to be deleted, both MID conviction, as Tongcheng ranks 36th, the last Buffer Zone position.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Monthly Chinese Tourism Tracker | Outbound Firmer | Domestic Losing Steam | No Surprises (June 2023)

The recovery in outbound travel remained strong in May, and domestic activity also continued to improve, though it appears to be losing some...

Tracking Traffic

China Entertainment – Embracing rich pipeline and sector mild re-rating

Although geographical tension and macro challenges are yet over, we believe most worst-case scenarios have been priced in.

CMB International

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Last Week In Event SPACE: CK Hutch, China Unicom, Austal, Steadfast

It’s Sunday! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed during the...

David Blennerhassett

China Tourism and Hospitality Industry: Pent-Up Demand Drives Robust Outlook

​China's tourism-related stocks showed strong 2Q23 earnings recovery, with forward bookings indicating promising demand. Despite higher share...

Osbert Tang, CFA

HS TECH Sep 2026 Index Rebalance Forecast

We expect Iluvatar Corex to enter and Tongcheng Travel to be deleted, both MID conviction, as Tongcheng ranks 36th, the last Buffer Zone position.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Monthly Chinese Tourism Tracker | Outbound Firmer | Domestic Losing Steam | No Surprises (June 2023)

The recovery in outbound travel remained strong in May, and domestic activity also continued to improve, though it appears to be losing some...

Tracking Traffic

China Entertainment – Embracing rich pipeline and sector mild re-rating

Although geographical tension and macro challenges are yet over, we believe most worst-case scenarios have been priced in.

CMB International

China's tourism-related stocks showed strong 2Q23 earnings recovery, with forward bookings indicating promising demand. Despite higher share...