HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Equity Bottom-Up

Innovent Biologics Inc / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>After COVID-19, China healthcare has been under pressure for a long time. High interest rate environment is unfriendly to companies, but the current situation is not entirely devoid of opportunities.</li>
<li>GLP-1s has reignited investors’ interest in this industry, which will be long-term opportunity and bring alpha. With rich domestic/overseas catalysts ahead, related share price performance is worth looking forward to.</li>
<li>Among the domestic GLP-1s companies, Innovent is our top pick. The "concept validation" of Innovent’s business model has been completed. A qualitative change in the Company is coming soon.  </li>
</ul>


After COVID-19, China healthcare has been under pressure for a long time. High interest rate environment is unfriendly to companies, but the current situation is not entirely devoid of opportunities.
GLP-1s has reignited investors’ interest in this industry, which will be long-term opportunity and bring alpha. With rich domestic/overseas catalysts ahead, related share price performance is worth looking forward to.
Among the domestic GLP-1s companies, Innovent is our top pick. The "concept validation" of Innovent’s business model has been completed. A qualitative change in the Company is coming soon.  


2024 High Conviction – China Healthcare: It's Time to Embrace a New Era

<ul>
<li>The biggest characteristic of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/innovent-biologics-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27452:1" rel="noopener">Innovent Biologics Inc (1801 HK)</a> is its strong ability of resources integration. Besides, when it comes to execution, clinical efficiency and R&amp;D productivity, Innovent deserves credit.</li>
<li>If having 10 big commercialized drugs are the threshold for becoming a biopharma, Innovent's upgrade from biotech to biopharma is almost complete. </li>
<li>Innovent has enough cash flow over the next few years to support development, and may even turn losses into profits. So, we think that Innovent could get through “this winter”. </li>
</ul>


The biggest characteristic of Innovent Biologics Inc (1801 HK) is its strong ability of resources integration. Besides, when it comes to execution, clinical efficiency and R&amp;D productivity, Innovent deserves credit.
If having 10 big commercialized drugs are the threshold for becoming a biopharma, Innovent's upgrade from biotech to biopharma is almost complete. 
Innovent has enough cash flow over the next few years to support development, and may even turn losses into profits. So, we think that Innovent could get through “this winter”. 


Innovent Biologics Inc (1801.HK) - Capable of Surviving “this Winter”

Event-Driven

Yichang HEC Changjiang Pharma / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Sunshine Lake Pharma plans to privatize HEC CJ Pharma in the form of merger by absorption with conditions. After privatization, CJ Pharma will be delisted from the Stock Exchange.</li>
<li>Sunshine Lake Pharma's pipeline has been “disconnected” from the level of domestic biotech in recent years, and is completely lagging behind the average speed of innovative drug development in China.</li>
<li>Due to “outdated” pipeline and lack of prospects, even if CJ Pharma is merged into Sunshine Lake Pharma, valuation performance of the new entity would be disappointing in the future.</li>
</ul>


Sunshine Lake Pharma plans to privatize HEC CJ Pharma in the form of merger by absorption with conditions. After privatization, CJ Pharma will be delisted from the Stock Exchange.
Sunshine Lake Pharma's pipeline has been “disconnected” from the level of domestic biotech in recent years, and is completely lagging behind the average speed of innovative drug development in China.
Due to “outdated” pipeline and lack of prospects, even if CJ Pharma is merged into Sunshine Lake Pharma, valuation performance of the new entity would be disappointing in the future.


HEC CJ Pharma (1558.HK)'s Merger Deal with Sunshine Lake Pharma - Almost No Investment Value

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

<ul><li>Mazdutide (9mg) continues to show its BIC potential with 48-week results. Innovent released the 48-week results of mazdutide (9mg) in Ph2 study in Chinese obesity patients.</li><li>After 48 weeks of treatment, the placebo-adjusted mean percent change in body weight from baseline was -18.6% (-17.8kg) in 59 of the 80 enrolled patients with treatment extended.</li><li>Recall in May 2023, mazdutide (9mg) met the primary endpoint of its Ph2 trial in Chinese obesity patients, showing 15.4% placebo-adjusted weight loss at week 24 (vs 12.0% of tirzepatide 15mg and 8.0% of semaglutide, CMBI report. </li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Mazdutide (9mg) continues to show its BIC potential with 48-week results. Innovent released the 48-week results of mazdutide (9mg) in Ph2 study in Chinese obesity patients.After 48 weeks of treatment, the placebo-adjusted mean percent change in body weight from baseline was -18.6% (-17.8kg) in 59 of the 80 enrolled patients with treatment extended.Recall in May 2023, mazdutide (9mg) met the primary endpoint of its Ph2 trial in Chinese obesity patients, showing 15.4% placebo-adjusted weight loss at week 24 (vs 12.0% of tirzepatide 15mg and 8.0% of semaglutide, CMBI report. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Equity Capital Markets

Innovent Biologics Inc / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Innovent is actually not short of money, so the Placing this time looks “strange”.If Innovent is unable to deliver performance that matches expectations, investors would reconsider its future financing needs.</li>
<li>Innovent is undergoing important transition from quantitative change to qualitative change as turning losses into profits is within reach. So, the "concept validation" of Innovent's business model has been completed.</li>
<li>Innovent decides to place the shares at this moment reflects that its stock price is already high. Based on our forecast, there could be limited upside room for share price.  </li>
</ul>


Innovent is actually not short of money, so the Placing this time looks “strange”.If Innovent is unable to deliver performance that matches expectations, investors would reconsider its future financing needs.
Innovent is undergoing important transition from quantitative change to qualitative change as turning losses into profits is within reach. So, the "concept validation" of Innovent's business model has been completed.
Innovent decides to place the shares at this moment reflects that its stock price is already high. Based on our forecast, there could be limited upside room for share price.  


Innovent Biologics Placement (1801.HK) - There Is No Such Thing as a Free Lunch

China

Innovent Biologics, Inc. operates as a biopharmaceutical company. The Company develops, manufactures, and distributes monoclonal antibody drug candidates for the treatment of oncology, ophthalmology, autoimmune, cardiovascular, and other diseases. Innovent Biologics serves customers in China.

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Innovent Biologics Inc (1801 HK)

2024 High Conviction – China Healthcare: It's Time to Embrace a New Era

After a period of downturn, China healthcare has found new growth point. GLP-1s is an opportunity that can't be missed and will bring substantial...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang