HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Equity Bottom-Up

China International Capital Corporation / Equity Bottom-Up

China International Capital Corporation (3908 HK)

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-international-capital-corporation-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1071:1" rel="noopener">China International Capital Corporation (3908 HK)</a>'s 1H25 positive profit alert is encouraging, with 1H25 results growing by 55-78% YoY.  </li>
<li>YTD, CICC has a 59.5% share of the HK IPO market. The solid H-share IPO pipeline of A-share companies is beneficial, as this is its major area of strength.</li>
<li>Market consensus has underestimated its FY25 earnings, inflating its PER multiples. The current 51% discount of its H-share to A-share is just too steep (average 37.7%).</li>
</ul>



China International Capital Corporation (3908 HK)'s 1H25 positive profit alert is encouraging, with 1H25 results growing by 55-78% YoY.  
YTD, CICC has a 59.5% share of the HK IPO market. The solid H-share IPO pipeline of A-share companies is beneficial, as this is its major area of strength.
Market consensus has underestimated its FY25 earnings, inflating its PER multiples. The current 51% discount of its H-share to A-share is just too steep (average 37.7%).


CICC (3908 HK): It Is the Best of the Time

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 157 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 63.9% as of Jul 11th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by -4.0ppt week-on-week, led by financials, real estate, energy and offset by information technology.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Central China Securities, China Energy Engineering, Guolian Minsheng Securities, CHALIECO, Tigermed, Guotai Haitong Securities.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 157 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 63.9% as of Jul 11th.
The average A-H premium changed by -4.0ppt week-on-week, led by financials, real estate, energy and offset by information technology.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Central China Securities, China Energy Engineering, Guolian Minsheng Securities, CHALIECO, Tigermed, Guotai Haitong Securities.


A-H Premium Weekly (Jul 11th): Central China Securities, China Energy Engineering

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 156 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 70.1% as of Jun 27th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by -2.3ppt week-on-week, led by consumer staples, financials, communication services and offset by information technology.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for China Shenhua Energy, Bank Of Zhengzhou, Guolian Minsheng Securities, Shenwan Hongyuan, Jiangxi Copper, Cmoc.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 156 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 70.1% as of Jun 27th.
The average A-H premium changed by -2.3ppt week-on-week, led by consumer staples, financials, communication services and offset by information technology.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for China Shenhua Energy, Bank Of Zhengzhou, Guolian Minsheng Securities, Shenwan Hongyuan, Jiangxi Copper, Cmoc.


A-H Premium Weekly (Jun 27th): China Shenhua Energy, Bank Of Zhengzhou, Guolian Minsheng Securities

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The exchange ratio for the merger between <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/guotai-junan-securities-co-ltd-5dfaf2c5-76d3-4f34-a77d-118787fd7091" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23752:1" rel="noopener">Guotai Junan Securities (2611 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/haitong-securities-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5665:1" rel="noopener">Haitong Securities Co Ltd (H) (6837 HK)</a> is 0.62x. </li>
<li>The merger closing is subject to several effectiveness and implementation conditions. The latest update suggests that the remaining conditions are CSRC and HKEx approvals.</li>
<li>The satisfaction of the remaining conditions is a formality. At the last close and for an end February payment, the gross/annualised spread is 3.2%/26.4%. </li>
</ul>


The exchange ratio for the merger between Guotai Junan Securities (2611 HK) and Haitong Securities Co Ltd (H) (6837 HK) is 0.62x. 
The merger closing is subject to several effectiveness and implementation conditions. The latest update suggests that the remaining conditions are CSRC and HKEx approvals.
The satisfaction of the remaining conditions is a formality. At the last close and for an end February payment, the gross/annualised spread is 3.2%/26.4%. 


Haitong Securities (6837 HK)/GTJA (2611 HK) Merger: The Home Stretch

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 150 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 100.8% as of Dec 20th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by 0.3ppt week-on-week, led by health care, financials, information technology and offset by real estate, consumer staples, industrials.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for BeiGene, Chalco, ZOOMLION, MA STEEL, ZTE, CCCC.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 150 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 100.8% as of Dec 20th.
The average A-H premium changed by 0.3ppt week-on-week, led by health care, financials, information technology and offset by real estate, consumer staples, industrials.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for BeiGene, Chalco, ZOOMLION, MA STEEL, ZTE, CCCC.


A-H Premium Weekly (Dec 20th):BeiGene, Chalco, ZOOMLION, MA STEEL, ZTE, CCCC

China

Shenwan Hongyuan Group Co., Ltd. is a state-owned securities brokerage company in China, offering comprehensive financial services including securities brokerage, investment banking, asset management, and wealth management. Its core business segments encompass enterprise finance, personal finance, institutional services and trading, and investment management. The company was founded on September 16, 1996, and is headquartered in Urumqi, Xinjiang, China.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
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Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Shenwan Hongyuan (6806 HK)

CICC (3908 HK): It Is the Best of the Time

CICC is alerting a strong 1H25 profit growth, leading in the HK IPO market with a promising H-share IPO pipeline of A-share companies. The market...

Osbert Tang, CFA

A-H Premium Weekly (Jul 11th): Central China Securities, China Energy Engineering

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Central China Securities, China Energy Engineering, Guolian...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

A-H Premium Weekly (Jun 27th): China Shenhua Energy, Bank Of Zhengzhou, Guolian Minsheng Securities

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for China Shenhua Energy, Bank Of Zhengzhou, Guolian Minsheng...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Haitong Securities (6837 HK)/GTJA (2611 HK) Merger: The Home Stretch

The latest update notes that CSRC approval has been obtained. Therefore, the remaining condition is HKEx approval, which is a formality. At the...

Arun George

A-H Premium Weekly (Dec 20th):BeiGene, Chalco, ZOOMLION, MA STEEL, ZTE, CCCC

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for BeiGene, Chalco, ZOOMLION, MA STEEL, ZTE, CCCC.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

CICC (3908 HK): It Is the Best of the Time

​CICC is alerting a strong 1H25 profit growth, leading in the HK IPO market with a promising H-share IPO pipeline of A-share companies. The market...

Osbert Tang, CFA

A-H Premium Weekly (Jul 11th): Central China Securities, China Energy Engineering

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Central China Securities, China Energy Engineering, Guolian...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

A-H Premium Weekly (Jun 27th): China Shenhua Energy, Bank Of Zhengzhou, Guolian Minsheng Securities

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for China Shenhua Energy, Bank Of Zhengzhou, Guolian Minsheng...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Haitong Securities (6837 HK)/GTJA (2611 HK) Merger: The Home Stretch

The latest update notes that CSRC approval has been obtained. Therefore, the remaining condition is HKEx approval, which is a formality. At the...

Arun George

A-H Premium Weekly (Dec 20th):BeiGene, Chalco, ZOOMLION, MA STEEL, ZTE, CCCC

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for BeiGene, Chalco, ZOOMLION, MA STEEL, ZTE, CCCC.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

CICC is alerting a strong 1H25 profit growth, leading in the HK IPO market with a promising H-share IPO pipeline of A-share companies. The market...