Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aeon-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3:1" rel="noopener">Aeon Co Ltd (8267 JP)</a> has reached a deal with the majority owners of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/can-do-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6879:1" rel="noopener">Can Do Co Ltd (2698 JP)</a> to buy a majority stake in the company through two separate tender offers at two different prices. Can Do Co finds new store acquisition to be very challenging and is experiencing a rise in procurement costs. Under these circumstances, by becoming a consolidated subsidiary of Aeon, they believe better utilisation of scale and management resources could help the company survive in this competitive environment. The first tender offer can be thought of as an Unconditional Partial Offer at ¥2,700/share. The second as a full tender offer at ¥2,300/share.<section class="figure"><figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/235/449/original/Screenshot+2021-10-16+at+12.17.16+PM.png?1634361665" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="235449"></figure>The details of the deal are interesting, and have unusual implications for the event itself and for the situation post-tender. </section>

Aeon Co Ltd (8267 JP) has reached a deal with the majority owners of Can Do Co Ltd (2698 JP) to buy a majority stake in the company through two separate tender offers at two different prices. Can Do Co finds new store acquisition to be very challenging and is experiencing a rise in procurement costs. Under these circumstances, by becoming a consolidated subsidiary of Aeon, they believe better utilisation of scale and management resources could help the company survive in this competitive environment. The first tender offer can be thought of as an Unconditional Partial Offer at ¥2,700/share. The second as a full tender offer at ¥2,300/share.The details of the deal are interesting, and have unusual implications for the event itself and for the situation post-tender. 

Can Do (2698 JP) Does... The Funky Two Step Tender

Expert on Japan Retail and Consumer Markets, JapanConsuming

Michael Causton

Expert on Japan Retail and Consumer Markets

Real Insight on Japanese Consumer Markets

JapanConsuming

JapanConsuming is a specialist research firm producing intelligence on Japanese retail and consumer markets. Founded in 2000, JapanConsuming has become the leading provider of insights on Japanese retailers and consumer trends to retailers, brands, government agencies and investors. As well as a highly regarded monthly report on the market, JapanConsuming produces in-depth reports on retail sectors, seminars on key trends and telephone consulting to investors on trends and retailers.

JapanConsuming was founded by Michael Causton and Roy Larke. 

Equity Bottom-Up

Japan’s  largest retail conglomerate is just emerging from years of group restructuring and, despite perennial complaints from investors that it should make more money, achieved record operating profits in FY2019 before the pandemic. Now, the group is looking at technology to create a whole new future to ensure leadership ahead of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/seven-i-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1041:1" rel="noopener">Seven &amp; I Holdings (3382 JP)</a> for the long-term.

Japan’s  largest retail conglomerate is just emerging from years of group restructuring and, despite perennial complaints from investors that it should make more money, achieved record operating profits in FY2019 before the pandemic. Now, the group is looking at technology to create a whole new future to ensure leadership ahead of Seven &amp; I Holdings (3382 JP) for the long-term.

Aeon Vs Seven & I: New Ideas to Stay Ahead

<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/welcia-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20895:1" rel="noopener">Welcia Holdings (3141 JP)</a> remains Japan’s largest drugstore group and continues to expand relentlessly. In addition to breaking 2,200 stores, last year it hired a large proportion of all the newly qualified pharmacists in Japan. The cost of this has caused some analysts to worry about short-term profitability, but if it can keep up the pace (and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aeon-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3:1" rel="noopener">Aeon Co Ltd (8267 JP)</a>, its parent, will ensure it does), competitors may find it hard to keep up.

Welcia Holdings (3141 JP) remains Japan’s largest drugstore group and continues to expand relentlessly. In addition to breaking 2,200 stores, last year it hired a large proportion of all the newly qualified pharmacists in Japan. The cost of this has caused some analysts to worry about short-term profitability, but if it can keep up the pace (and Aeon Co Ltd (8267 JP), its parent, will ensure it does), competitors may find it hard to keep up.

There are few discount supermarkets in Japan and the largest by far is Kobe Bussan’s Gyomu Super franchise chain.
Despite its no frills presentation and reliance on frozen foods, over the past 12 months, prices that are up to half that charged at mainstream chains have drawn in more customers and across a wider age range.
The company is now expecting yet another record performance this year.
When we first recommend Kobe Bussan in October 2018, the share price stood at around ¥780 and has risen to ¥4,080 since. This isn't cheap but given the five year growth potential, we remain bullish about the fundamentals long-term.

There are few discount supermarkets in Japan and the largest by far is Kobe Bussan’s Gyomu Super franchise chain.
Despite its no frills presentation and reliance on frozen foods, over the past 12 months, prices that are up to half that charged at mainstream chains have drawn in more customers and across a wider age range.
The company is now expecting yet another record performance this year.
When we first recommend Kobe Bussan in October 2018, the share price stood at around ¥780 and has risen to ¥4,080 since. This isn't cheap but given the five year growth potential, we remain bullish about the fundamentals long-term.

<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/metro-ag" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21673:1" rel="noopener">METRO AG (MEO GR)</a> will close its Japan operations at the end of October. It follows <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/carrefour-sa" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21409:1" rel="noopener">Carrefour SA (CA FP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tesco-plc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22187:1" rel="noopener">Tesco PLC (TSCO LN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/walmart-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11134:1" rel="noopener">Walmart (WMT US)</a> as the latest major international player to try and fail in the Japanese market and leaves Costco as the only international chain retailer – but a clearly successful one at least.

METRO AG (MEO GR) will close its Japan operations at the end of October. It follows Carrefour SA (CA FP), Tesco PLC (TSCO LN) and Walmart (WMT US) as the latest major international player to try and fail in the Japanese market and leaves Costco as the only international chain retailer – but a clearly successful one at least. 

Japan

AEON CO., LTD. operates general merchandise stores, supermarkets, and convenience stores throughout Japan. The Company is also engaged in women's and casual clothing store business, development business of commercial property, and financing service through the subsidiaries.

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Aeon Co Ltd (8267 JP)

Can Do (2698 JP) Does... The Funky Two Step Tender

Aeon is taking control of 100 yen shop Can Do (2698), buying out the family to get to 51%. It is being done through two tender offers at different...

Travis Lundy

Aeon Vs Seven & I: New Ideas to Stay Ahead

After Seven & I's purchase in the US, Aeon is no longer far ahead of its rival by sales volume but now expects to grow ¥3 trillion in the next 5...

Michael Causton

Welcia: Aeon’s Shining Star

Welcia has retained the top spot in drugstores and, judging by its aggressive hiring of pharmacists is determined to stay there. It is working on...

Michael Causton

Kobe Bussan: Achieving New Records

Japan's discount food market is booming. The biggest discount supermarket operator is Kobe Bussan. The share price has around 6-fold since we first...

Michael Causton

Metro Cash and Carry to Exit Japan

One of the few foreign players in Japan's food market has confirmed it will quit the market. Only Costco remains although Amazon is expanding its...

Michael Causton

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