Financials & FinTech research, Galliano’s Financials Research

Victor Galliano

Financials & FinTech research

Financials & FinTech, EM & Developed Markets

Galliano’s Financials Research

Galliano's Financials Research provides fundamental research in Emerging Markets financials, including FinTech, as well as financials in select Developed Markets.

The investment style applied is generally value oriented, although Growth At Reasonable Price (GARP) strategies can also be used where appropriate. 

Our investment research approach aim is often contrarian, looking to capitalise on overly sceptical or optimistic consensus views. In terms of valuation techniques, the focus is on PBV ratio to ROE, PE multiples and dividend yield, as well as the application of PEG ratios and, where appropriate, Sum of the Parts (SOTP) valuations.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>WeWork appears to be approaching bankruptcy; we expect SoftBank’s exposure to be at least USD1.4bn including credit lines</li>
<li>Arm Holdings post-IPO performance has been lacklustre, but we continue to believe that it remains dangerously over-valued against peers – and Arm provides 30% of the group’s equity value</li>
<li>We believe that JPY depreciation has supported SoftBank Group’s share price (given the high share of USD-denominated portfolio assets); in addition, we still see risks to current private company valuations</li>
</ul>


WeWork appears to be approaching bankruptcy; we expect SoftBank’s exposure to be at least USD1.4bn including credit lines
Arm Holdings post-IPO performance has been lacklustre, but we continue to believe that it remains dangerously over-valued against peers – and Arm provides 30% of the group’s equity value
We believe that JPY depreciation has supported SoftBank Group’s share price (given the high share of USD-denominated portfolio assets); in addition, we still see risks to current private company valuations


SoftBank Group (9984 JP): Results Preview, Key Topics

Senior Credit Analyst, Lucror Analytics

Leonard Law, CFA

Senior Credit Analyst

High Yield Experts

Lucror Analytics

Lucror Analytics is a leading credit and ESG research specialist and a provider of technology solutions for differentiated fixed income strategies. Our roots are in bottom-up fundamental credit analysis with a specialization in high yield corporate credits from Europe, Asia and Latin America. We are one of few research specialists integrating ESG considerations with fundamental credit research through a dedicated ESG platform. Our ESG assessment covers five key criteria: Disclosure, E,S, & G Pillars, Controversies, ESG Impact on Credit and ESG Momentum.

Recognizing the importance and value-add of Factor Investing in fixed income, Lucror developed the Smart Quant Navigator (SQN), an intuitive platform that helps clients devise and implement factor-based strategies ranging from pure quant to active fundamental, with integrated ESG.

Our company has been at the forefront of developments in the fixed income markets, identifying opportunities and consistently delivering new products and value-adding solutions to clients. Lucror has close relationships with the largest and most reputable asset managers, family offices, hedge funds, investment and wealth managers globally.

Credit

Lucror Analytics Weekly Wraps provide an overview of all Morning Views comments and reports published by our analyst team in the past week, and also showcase a list of the most-read reports.In this Insight:<ol><li><a href='/entities/china-evergrande-group' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>Evergrande</a></li><li><a href='/entities/logan-property-holdings-co-ltd' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>Logan Property Holdings</a></li><li><a href='/entities/japfa-comfeed-indonesia-tbk-pt' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>Japfa Comfeed Indonesia</a></li><li><a href='/entities/medco-energi-internasional-tbk-pt' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>Medco Energi</a></li><li><a href='/entities/zhenro-properties-group-ltd' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>Zhenro Properties Group </a></li></ol>and more...

Lucror Analytics Weekly Wraps provide an overview of all Morning Views comments and reports published by our analyst team in the past week, and also showcase a list of the most-read reports.In this Insight:EvergrandeLogan Property HoldingsJapfa Comfeed IndonesiaMedco EnergiZhenro Properties Group and more...

Founder & CEO Bond Angle, LLC, Bond Angle, LLC

Vicki Bryan

Founder & CEO Bond Angle, LLC

Bond Angle, LLC

Insightful commentary and analysis on bond markets and market movers, including financial, economic, and industry catalysts and management shenanigans. 

High yield market investment research

It's official: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/the-we-company-wework" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28061:1" rel="noopener">The We Company (WeWork) (WE US)</a> has decided to <a href="https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2019-09-16/wework-is-said-to-likely-delay-ipo-after-valuation-plummets" target="_blank" rel="noopener">pull its IPO for now, but still expects to complete it by yearend.</a>Don't hold your breath.This comes just days after WeWork <a href="https://www.businessinsider.com/the-we-company-ipo-wework-confirms-nasdaq-listing-governance-changes-2019-9?utm_source=notification&amp;utm_medium=referral" target="_blank" rel="noopener">filed an amended S-1</a> announcing plans to list its new shares on the Nasdaq index even as its IPO valuation continues to dissolve. Reuters had reported on Friday that deal insiders were considering an implied equity valuation of <a href="https://www.reuters.com/article/us-wework-ipo-valuation-exclusive-idUSKCN1VY1PB" target="_blank" rel="noopener">just $10-12 billion,</a> a stunning 78% drop versus the extravagant $47 billion floated since January. My analysis shows even $10 billion is too high.So it's not surprising that long-term backer and top investor <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/softbank-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27445:1" rel="noopener">Softbank Corp (9434 JP)</a>, arguably the most responsible for WeWork's incredible equity valuations, had <a href="https://www.ft.com/content/111f8e00-d346-11e9-8367-807ebd53ab77" target="_blank" rel="noopener">urged the company to scuttle the IPO</a> given the "cool reception" it's been getting.Yet WeWork is compelled to push on regardless, seemingly <a href="https://www.ft.com/content/f28474a2-d57e-11e9-a0bd-ab8ec6435630" target="_blank" rel="noopener">ready to concede to any terms</a>to get a deal done, because its financial condition is much more fragile than it has been trying to project. It has little time to waste and few alternatives.That means Plan B must already be in the works.Either way, risk has intensified for WeWork's overpriced bonds.Read on for Bond Angle analysis: How did WeWork get so expensive and What's next? Plus a new WeWork model, equity valuation and forecast, and more.

It's official: The We Company (WeWork) (WE US) has decided to pull its IPO for now, but still expects to complete it by yearend.Don't hold your breath.This comes just days after WeWork filed an amended S-1 announcing plans to list its new shares on the Nasdaq index even as its IPO valuation continues to dissolve. Reuters had reported on Friday that deal insiders were considering an implied equity valuation of just $10-12 billion, a stunning 78% drop versus the extravagant $47 billion floated since January. My analysis shows even $10 billion is too high.So it's not surprising that long-term backer and top investor Softbank Corp (9434 JP), arguably the most responsible for WeWork's incredible equity valuations, had urged the company to scuttle the IPO given the "cool reception" it's been getting.Yet WeWork is compelled to push on regardless, seemingly ready to concede to any termsto get a deal done, because its financial condition is much more fragile than it has been trying to project. It has little time to waste and few alternatives.That means Plan B must already be in the works.Either way, risk has intensified for WeWork's overpriced bonds.Read on for Bond Angle analysis: How did WeWork get so expensive and What's next? Plus a new WeWork model, equity valuation and forecast, and more.

Gravity Works As WeWork Doesn't; Now Plan B

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Kokusai Electric  / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.</li>
<li>In the IPO space, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kokusai-electric-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40152:1" rel="noopener">Kokusai Electric (6525 JP)</a> provided some relief in the ECM space, even as <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/j-t-global-express-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36819:1" rel="noopener">J&amp;T Global Express (1519 HK)</a> didn't do much.</li>
<li>Given the earnings seasons, there weren't any placement during the week. We did look at <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/singapore-airlines-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:74:1" rel="noopener">Singapore Airlines (SIA SP)</a>'s upcoming placement lockup expiry. </li>
</ul>


Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.
In the IPO space, Kokusai Electric (6525 JP) provided some relief in the ECM space, even as J&amp;T Global Express (1519 HK) didn't do much.
Given the earnings seasons, there weren't any placement during the week. We did look at Singapore Airlines (SIA SP)'s upcoming placement lockup expiry. 


ECM Weekly (29th Oct 2023) - Kokusai, J&T, Midea, Wuxi XDC, Cirrus, Cello World, Honasa, SIA

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Lucror Analytics Weekly Wraps provide an overview of all Morning Views comments and reports published by our analyst team in the past week, and also showcase a list of the most-read reports.In this Insight:Adani Green EnergyVedanta ResourcesChina Jinmao HoldingsGeely AutoFirst Pacific Coand more...

Japan

SoftBank Group Corp. provides telecommunication services. The Company also operates ADSL (Asymmetric Digital Subscriber Line) and fiber optic high-speed Internet connection, e-Commerce businesses, and Internet based advertising and auction businesses.

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Softbank Group (9984 JP)