External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Weibo announced 3Q23 results on 9 Nov: total revenue declined by 3% YoY (or grew by 2% YoY on a constant currency basis) to US$442mn, in line with consensus/our estimate.</li><li>Non-GAAP net income was up 15% YoY to US$137mn in 3Q23, which is in line with our estimate but beat consensus by 6%, primarily due to effective execution of expense control.</li><li>Macro uncertainty continues to weigh on advertisers’ sentiment and their ad budget. Weibo’s relatively high exposure to consumption-related verticals further drags its ad revenue recovery pace. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Weibo announced 3Q23 results on 9 Nov: total revenue declined by 3% YoY (or grew by 2% YoY on a constant currency basis) to US$442mn, in line with consensus/our estimate.Non-GAAP net income was up 15% YoY to US$137mn in 3Q23, which is in line with our estimate but beat consensus by 6%, primarily due to effective execution of expense control.Macro uncertainty continues to weigh on advertisers’ sentiment and their ad budget. Weibo’s relatively high exposure to consumption-related verticals further drags its ad revenue recovery pace. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Weibo (WB US) – Soft Consumption Weighs on Ad Recovery

Credit

<ul><li>Credit stories remain sound: Chinese TMT issuers are generally cash-rich with solid liquidity profiles. Most of them are in net cash positions and have strong coverage ratios at their rating levels. See Table 6 on p.7.</li><li>Shorter-dated XIAOMIs remain our top picks: We like Xiaomi for its solid credit story.</li><li>The sizeable net cash position and operating cash inflow offset the impact of higher R&amp;D expenses, especially those on EV. XIAOMI 3 3/8 04/29/30 (Baa2/BBB-/BBB) and XIAOMI 2 7/8 07/14/31 (Baa2/BBB-/BBB) offer 121bps yield pick-up over JD 3 3/8’30 (Baa1/A-/-) and 12bps over MEITUA 3.05’30 (Baa3/BBB-/BBB-).</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Credit stories remain sound: Chinese TMT issuers are generally cash-rich with solid liquidity profiles. Most of them are in net cash positions and have strong coverage ratios at their rating levels. See Table 6 on p.7.Shorter-dated XIAOMIs remain our top picks: We like Xiaomi for its solid credit story.The sizeable net cash position and operating cash inflow offset the impact of higher R&amp;D expenses, especially those on EV. XIAOMI 3 3/8 04/29/30 (Baa2/BBB-/BBB) and XIAOMI 2 7/8 07/14/31 (Baa2/BBB-/BBB) offer 121bps yield pick-up over JD 3 3/8’30 (Baa1/A-/-) and 12bps over MEITUA 3.05’30 (Baa3/BBB-/BBB-).Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China TMT: Maintain Buy XIAOMI’30-31s, XIAOMI 0’27 (CB)

<ul><li>Weibo reported 2Q23 results on 24 Aug: total revenue decreased by 2% YoY (+5% YoY on a constant currency basis) to US$440mn, in line with consensus estimate of US$439mn.</li><li>Non-GAAP net income grew by 15% YoY to US$126mn in 2Q23, ahead of consensus estimate of US$120mn, mainly due to effective expense control.</li><li>Looking ahead in 3Q23E, the recovery pace of ad demand was slower than expected (especially in July), due to the weak consumption sentiment. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Weibo reported 2Q23 results on 24 Aug: total revenue decreased by 2% YoY (+5% YoY on a constant currency basis) to US$440mn, in line with consensus estimate of US$439mn.Non-GAAP net income grew by 15% YoY to US$126mn in 2Q23, ahead of consensus estimate of US$120mn, mainly due to effective expense control.Looking ahead in 3Q23E, the recovery pace of ad demand was slower than expected (especially in July), due to the weak consumption sentiment. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Weibo (WB US) – Expect mild recovery in 3Q23E

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>On 28th Mar 2023, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-group-holding-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:787:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba (ADR) (BABA US)</a> announced that it would adopt a new organizational and governance structure, splitting into six major business groups and other investments.</li>
<li>Alibaba also stated that each of the business groups would be set up as an independent entity with its own board and the groups will eventually seek to list.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about some of the company’s investments and how the overall Holdco would look post restructuring.</li>
</ul>


On 28th Mar 2023, Alibaba (ADR) (BABA US) announced that it would adopt a new organizational and governance structure, splitting into six major business groups and other investments.
Alibaba also stated that each of the business groups would be set up as an independent entity with its own board and the groups will eventually seek to list.
In this note, we will talk about some of the company’s investments and how the overall Holdco would look post restructuring.


Alibaba Potential IPOs - The Final Part - Quick Look at Investees and Eventual Holdco

<ul><li>Weibo announced 1Q23 financial results on 25 May.</li><li>Total revenue dropped by 15% YoY (or -7% YoY on a constant currency basis) to US$414mn in 1Q23, inline with the consensus estimate.</li><li>1Q23 non-GAAP net income was down by 16% YoY to US$111mn, better than consensus estimate of US$103mn. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Weibo announced 1Q23 financial results on 25 May.Total revenue dropped by 15% YoY (or -7% YoY on a constant currency basis) to US$414mn in 1Q23, inline with the consensus estimate.1Q23 non-GAAP net income was down by 16% YoY to US$111mn, better than consensus estimate of US$103mn. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Weibo (WB US) – Solid Margin and Attractive Valuation; Wait for Top-Line Recovery

China

Weibo Corp is a social media platform for people to create, distribute and discover Chinese-language content.  The Company offers users public self-expression in real time with a powerful platform for social interaction, as well as content aggregation and distribution.

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Weibo Corp (WB US)

Weibo (WB US) – Soft Consumption Weighs on Ad Recovery

Weibo announced 3Q23 results on 9 Nov: total revenue declined by 3% YoY (or grew by 2% YoY on a constant currency basis) to US$442mn, in line with...

CMB International

China TMT: Maintain Buy XIAOMI’30-31s, XIAOMI 0’27 (CB)

Chinese TMT issuers are generally cash-rich with solid liquidity profiles. Most of them are in net cash positions and have strong coverage ratios...

CMB International

Weibo (WB US) – Expect mild recovery in 3Q23E

Weibo reported 2Q23 results on 24 Aug: total revenue decreased by 2% YoY (+5% YoY on a constant currency basis) to US$440mn, in line with consensus...

CMB International

Alibaba Potential IPOs - The Final Part - Quick Look at Investees and Eventual Holdco

Continuining with our series of notes on Alibaba's planned six way reorganisation, in this note, we talk about its investments and eventual holdco.

Sumeet Singh

Weibo (WB US) – Solid Margin and Attractive Valuation; Wait for Top-Line Recovery

Total revenue dropped by 15% YoY (or -7% YoY on a constant currency basis) to US$414mn in 1Q23, inline with the consensus estimate.

CMB International

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