Japanese Turnaround Situations, Short-Ideas, Azabu Research

Michael Allen

Japanese Turnaround Situations, Short-Ideas

Azabu Research

Azabu Research is a publishing and consulting firm focused on distressed equities in the Japanese market. We specialize in turnaround strategies, corporate combinations, divestitures, and restructuring.

Publisher of the Tokyo Turnaround Letter, which conducts the most thorough research possible of publicly available information, including forensic tests for fraudulent overstatement of assets and understatement of liabilities, as well as rigorous market and industry analysis to assess the underlying strengths of the company’s products or services, the appropriateness of the company’s turnaround strategy, and the skill of its current management team. The average length of a report exceeds 25 pages of text and tables, excluding any disclosures or executive summaries.

We have more than 30 years of experience in applying this process to distressed equities in Japan. Additionally, subscribers have free access to detailed, yet easily navigated earnings models for the target company as well as the top five comparable companies, and unlimited access to the analyst for follow-up questions.

Azabu Research also conducts be-spoke research on a project basis, and provides consulting services to companies looking to restructure, divest, make acquisitions, go public, or improve investor sentiment toward their stock.

Independent Research and Consulting Firm

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Nearly every comment on Japanese equities is focused on the half of the market that trades below book, but last week, Advantest, which trades at 18x book, exploded 30%.</li>
<li>Searches for “AI Bubble” on google are up 90%, but Advantest’s share price exploded because it became clear that investors were underestimating demand for AI related hardware.</li>
<li>Fear and Hype on both sides proved overdone. When I searched for the truth, I found only 1 red flag, 2 green, and 7 yellow.  </li>
</ul>


Nearly every comment on Japanese equities is focused on the half of the market that trades below book, but last week, Advantest, which trades at 18x book, exploded 30%.
Searches for “AI Bubble” on google are up 90%, but Advantest’s share price exploded because it became clear that investors were underestimating demand for AI related hardware.
Fear and Hype on both sides proved overdone. When I searched for the truth, I found only 1 red flag, 2 green, and 7 yellow.  


Advantest (6857) Bubble Watch: 1 Red Flag, 2 Green, 7 Yellow. You Decide.

Head of Research, Krungthai XSpring

Waraporn Wiboonkanarak

Head of Research

A full service Thai brokerage

Krungthai XSpring

Krungthai XSpring is a full service broker. The company provides a wide range of investment services such as Securities Brokerage, Derivative Agent Business, Securities Borrowing and Lending, Securities Trading, Underwriting, Financial Advisory, Wealth Advisory, Private Fund Management and International Markets Securities Trading. 

In terms of credibility, Fitch Ratings has assigned Krunghtai XSpring a long-term rating of AA- and a national short-term rating of F1+ with stable outlook.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>The market lacked short-term momentum as investors awaited the Fed meeting outcome.</li><li>Today’s dominant ideas: The SET Index is expected to move sideways today, with the support at 1,314/1,300 and the resistance at 1,333/1,350.</li><li>External factors are slightly positive, supported by continued gains in the US stock market, though mostly driven by speculation in technology stocks.</li></ul>

The market lacked short-term momentum as investors awaited the Fed meeting outcome.Today’s dominant ideas: The SET Index is expected to move sideways today, with the support at 1,314/1,300 and the resistance at 1,333/1,350.External factors are slightly positive, supported by continued gains in the US stock market, though mostly driven by speculation in technology stocks.

Krungthai XSpring Zoom Eng. October 29, 2025

Podcast On the Business of Semiconductors, The Circuit

The Circuit

Podcast On the Business of Semiconductors

A Podcast On the Business of Semiconductors. With Jay Goldberg and Ben Bajarin

<ul><li>Companies in the public cloud are refreshing their server infrastructure every four to five years, but may accelerate this cycle due to the performance benefits of new CPUs and GPUs.</li><li>Despite advances in technology, older GPUs are still being used and making money for data centers, leading to questions about the economic lifespan of GPU systems.</li><li>Hyperscalers have adjusted their accounting policies to depreciate server hardware over longer periods, potentially impacting depreciation expenses.</li></ul>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Companies in the public cloud are refreshing their server infrastructure every four to five years, but may accelerate this cycle due to the performance benefits of new CPUs and GPUs.Despite advances in technology, older GPUs are still being used and making money for data centers, leading to questions about the economic lifespan of GPU systems.Hyperscalers have adjusted their accounting policies to depreciate server hardware over longer periods, potentially impacting depreciation expenses.This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

EP 138: Talking GPU Depreciation, OCP Takeaways

Quantitative Researcher, MRM Research

Nico Rosti

Quantitative Researcher

MRM Research

Quantitative Research

Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>A look at our probabilistic tactical models for US and Asian Equities: comparing which stocks are overbought and which ones are oversold.</li>
<li>Between the US Stocks we track, all seems to have room to rally, short-term, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/amazon-com-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:409:1" rel="noopener">Amazon (AMZN US)</a> is actually oversold (buy opportunity). </li>
<li>The Asian Stocks we track instead show a less homogeneous picture, but several Asian stocks are incredibly overbought. Same as Gold. 
</li>
</ul>


A look at our probabilistic tactical models for US and Asian Equities: comparing which stocks are overbought and which ones are oversold.
Between the US Stocks we track, all seems to have room to rally, short-term, and Amazon (AMZN US) is actually oversold (buy opportunity). 
The Asian Stocks we track instead show a less homogeneous picture, but several Asian stocks are incredibly overbought. Same as Gold. 



Cross-Market Outlook: US Vs Asia — Who’s Overbought, Who’s Oversold?

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Akshat Shah

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

CleanMax Enviro Energy Solutions Ltd / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cleanmax-enviro-energy-solutions-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45702:1" rel="noopener">CleanMax Enviro Energy Solutions Ltd (8382406Z IN)</a> (CEESL) is looking to raise US$586m in its upcoming India IPO.</li>
<li>CEESL is a provider of commercial and industrial renewable energy, specializing in delivering decarbonization solutions, including supplying renewable power and offering energy services and carbon credit solutions to customers.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the positive aspects of the deal.</li>
</ul>



CleanMax Enviro Energy Solutions Ltd (8382406Z IN) (CEESL) is looking to raise US$586m in its upcoming India IPO.
CEESL is a provider of commercial and industrial renewable energy, specializing in delivering decarbonization solutions, including supplying renewable power and offering energy services and carbon credit solutions to customers.
In this note, we talk about the positive aspects of the deal.


CleanMax Enviro Energy Solutions Pre-IPO- The Positives- Scalable Growth with Strong Market Position

United States

Amazon.com, Inc. is an online retailer that offers a wide range of products. The Company's products include books, music, videotapes, computers, electronics, home and garden, and numerous other products.  Amazon offers personalized shopping services, Web-based credit card payment, and direct shipping to customers.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Amazon (AMZN US)

Advantest (6857) Bubble Watch: 1 Red Flag, 2 Green, 7 Yellow. You Decide.

Half of Japan’s stocks trade below book value, while google searches for “AI bubble” have increased 90%, so Advantest, trading at 18x book just...

Michael Allen

Krungthai XSpring Zoom Eng. October 29, 2025

Today’s dominant ideas: The SET Index is expected to move sideways today, with the support at 1,314/1,300 and the resistance at 1,333/1,350.

Krungthai XSpring

EP 138: Talking GPU Depreciation, OCP Takeaways

Public cloud infrastructure refreshes involve periodically replacing servers with new CPUs, but the longer economic lifespan of older GPUs like...

The Circuit

Cross-Market Outlook: US Vs Asia — Who’s Overbought, Who’s Oversold?

Probabilistic tactical models show Asian stocks and Gold are incredibly overbought if compared to US stocks: the latter have still room to rally...

Nico Rosti

CleanMax Enviro Energy Solutions Pre-IPO- The Positives- Scalable Growth with Strong Market Position

CleanMax Enviro Energy Solutions Limited (CEESL) is looking to raise US$586m in its upcoming India IPO. In this note, we will talk about the...

Akshat Shah

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Advantest (6857) Bubble Watch: 1 Red Flag, 2 Green, 7 Yellow. You Decide.

Half of Japan’s stocks trade below book value, while google searches for “AI bubble” have increased 90%, so Advantest, trading at 18x book just...

Michael Allen

Krungthai XSpring Zoom Eng. October 29, 2025

Today’s dominant ideas: The SET Index is expected to move sideways today, with the support at 1,314/1,300 and the resistance at 1,333/1,350.

Krungthai XSpring

EP 138: Talking GPU Depreciation, OCP Takeaways

Public cloud infrastructure refreshes involve periodically replacing servers with new CPUs, but the longer economic lifespan of older GPUs like...

The Circuit

Cross-Market Outlook: US Vs Asia — Who’s Overbought, Who’s Oversold?

​Probabilistic tactical models show Asian stocks and Gold are incredibly overbought if compared to US stocks: the latter have still room to rally...

Nico Rosti

CleanMax Enviro Energy Solutions Pre-IPO- The Positives- Scalable Growth with Strong Market Position

CleanMax Enviro Energy Solutions Limited (CEESL) is looking to raise US$586m in its upcoming India IPO. In this note, we will talk about the...

Akshat Shah

Probabilistic tactical models show Asian stocks and Gold are incredibly overbought if compared to US stocks: the latter have still room to rally...