Derivatives and Quantitative Strategist

Gaudenz Schneider

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
Exchange holidays: Early October holidays in China (Golden Week) and South Korea (Chuseok) may dampen market activity, while India’s Diwali on 21–22 October brings the traditional Muhurat trading session.</li>
<li>
Earnings season begins in the final third of October across India, Japan, China/Hong Kong, and South Korea, alongside key central bank meetings and the TOPIX rebalance on 30 October.</li>
<li>
Why Read: Plan ahead and take into account known market events when making investment and trading decision.</li>
</ul>



Exchange holidays: Early October holidays in China (Golden Week) and South Korea (Chuseok) may dampen market activity, while India’s Diwali on 21–22 October brings the traditional Muhurat trading session.

Earnings season begins in the final third of October across India, Japan, China/Hong Kong, and South Korea, alongside key central bank meetings and the TOPIX rebalance on 30 October.

Why Read: Plan ahead and take into account known market events when making investment and trading decision.


Earnings Kickoff Dominates October 2025 Key Events

Japanese Equity Specialist, Ortus Advisors

Andrew Jackson

Japanese Equity Specialist

Ortus Advisors

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>US eyeing rules for tech companies to buy 1:1 domestic made chips vs imported. Globalfoundries and Intel both strong.</li>
<li>Boeing strong after Turkey order, although the big catalyst will be China orders after a 5-year hiatus.</li>
<li>Musk comments that tesla was busy scaling the Optimus may help Harmonic Drive catch big after woeful perf last week.</li>
</ul>


US eyeing rules for tech companies to buy 1:1 domestic made chips vs imported. Globalfoundries and Intel both strong.
Boeing strong after Turkey order, although the big catalyst will be China orders after a 5-year hiatus.
Musk comments that tesla was busy scaling the Optimus may help Harmonic Drive catch big after woeful perf last week.


Japan Morning Connection: US Higher Despite Upcoming Govt Shutdown and Potential Delayed Jobs Data

<ul>
<li>Nickel surges after Freeport's Indonesian closure will have long term pricing impact. Watch SMM, MMS and Mit Materials.</li>
<li>Inrel approaches Apple for partnership, although its unlikely they can push out TSMC for chips.</li>
<li>Memory takes a break after Micon's earnings seen as not quite good enough after recent gains.</li>
</ul>


Nickel surges after Freeport's Indonesian closure will have long term pricing impact. Watch SMM, MMS and Mit Materials.
Inrel approaches Apple for partnership, although its unlikely they can push out TSMC for chips.
Memory takes a break after Micon's earnings seen as not quite good enough after recent gains.


Japan Morning Connection: Tech Takes a Breather but Marvell Doubles Down with Announced Buyback

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in margin trading positions of JPX stocks as of Sep 19th. The aggregated net margin trading position is USD16,218m.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top/bottom net long/short of margin trading by value, net margin buy as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight net margin buy/sell changes in Lasertec, Disco, Tokyo Electron, Nintendo, Fast Retailing, Sanrio, Mitsubishi UFJ Financial, Fujikura, Koei Tecmo, Lifedrink, Lasertec, Disco, Tokyo Electron, Nintendo, Fast Retailing.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in margin trading positions of JPX stocks as of Sep 19th. The aggregated net margin trading position is USD16,218m.
We tabulate league tables for top/bottom net long/short of margin trading by value, net margin buy as multiple of ADT.
We highlight net margin buy/sell changes in Lasertec, Disco, Tokyo Electron, Nintendo, Fast Retailing, Sanrio, Mitsubishi UFJ Financial, Fujikura, Koei Tecmo, Lifedrink, Lasertec, Disco, Tokyo Electron, Nintendo, Fast Retailing.


JPX Margin Trading Weekly (Sep 19th): Lasertec, Disco, Tokyo Electron, Nintendo, Fast Retailing

<ul>
<li>Expect big gains for the likes of TEL, Lasertec, TOK with Intel emerging as the clear national champion.</li>
<li>Memory names continue to surge higher, so Kioxia's -7% drop off the highs yesterday likely to draw interest.</li>
<li>Not good news for ARM though, as a NVDA/INTC partnership will make it harder for their architectures to gain traction. Sell Softback.</li>
</ul>


Expect big gains for the likes of TEL, Lasertec, TOK with Intel emerging as the clear national champion.
Memory names continue to surge higher, so Kioxia's -7% drop off the highs yesterday likely to draw interest.
Not good news for ARM though, as a NVDA/INTC partnership will make it harder for their architectures to gain traction. Sell Softback.


Japan Morning Connection: Intel/NVDA Partnership Very Positive for Japanese SPE Suppliers

Japan

Shin-Etsu Chemical Co., Ltd. produces and distributes synthetic resins and other chemical products such as fertilizers. The Company also manufactures electronic materials such as semiconductor silicon, synthetic, and rare earth quartz. Shin-Etsu Chemical operates in Japan and overseas.

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Shin Etsu Chemical (4063 JP)

Earnings Kickoff Dominates October 2025 Key Events

October 2025 kicks off earnings season – reports from Fast Retailing (9983 JP), ICICI Bank (ICICIB IN) & more – alongside holidays and central bank...

Gaudenz Schneider

Japan Morning Connection: US Higher Despite Upcoming Govt Shutdown and Potential Delayed Jobs Data

Asics may catch the market's attention again with news of added shareholder perks. China's export restrictions a positive for Harmionic Drive.

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: Tech Takes a Breather but Marvell Doubles Down with Announced Buyback

Global defense names did well after Trump's comments of support for Ukraine. Marvell jumped after management announced a $1bn accelerated buyback.

Andrew Jackson

JPX Margin Trading Weekly (Sep 19th): Lasertec, Disco, Tokyo Electron, Nintendo, Fast Retailing

We analyzed JPX margin trading positions report for the past week and highlighted Lasertec (6920 JP), Disco (6146 JP), Tokyo Electron (8035 JP),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Japan Morning Connection: Intel/NVDA Partnership Very Positive for Japanese SPE Suppliers

NVDA taking a stake in Intel to allow codevelopment of chips sent INTC rocketing higher, a positive for Shin Etsu as Intel's largest wafer...

Andrew Jackson

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