Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>On January 4th, Microsoft announced a design change for PCs whereby a new physical key will be added to PC keyboards; the Microsoft Copilot key.</li>
<li>Microsoft Copilot will become a must-have for companies in our view. Initial Copilot capabilities can dramatically improve worker productivity and this should help drive AI PC upgrades for the industry.</li>
<li>CES 2024 Jan 9th - 12th will showcase AI PC models sporting Intel's Core Ultra processors and Microsoft's new Copilot key. We also update our Dell vs. Taiwan PCs trade.</li>
</ul>


On January 4th, Microsoft announced a design change for PCs whereby a new physical key will be added to PC keyboards; the Microsoft Copilot key.
Microsoft Copilot will become a must-have for companies in our view. Initial Copilot capabilities can dramatically improve worker productivity and this should help drive AI PC upgrades for the industry.
CES 2024 Jan 9th - 12th will showcase AI PC models sporting Intel's Core Ultra processors and Microsoft's new Copilot key. We also update our Dell vs. Taiwan PCs trade.


'Clippy' Having the Last Laugh? Microsoft's Design Change to Drive AI PC Adoption; Dell Trade Update

<ul>
<li>Long Nvidia vs. Short Basket of Taiwan AI Concept Stocks -- The trade has held steady since our last piece with Nvidia outperforming the shorts slightly.</li>
<li>CES 2024 will be held January 9th to 12th. It will showcase AI expanding into a wide range of Edge AI applications such as home appliances and PCs.</li>
<li>One can maintain the L/S trade into CES 2024 given that the Taiwan AI Short Basket constituents are unlikely to be beneficiaries of positive news flow from the event.</li>
</ul>


Long Nvidia vs. Short Basket of Taiwan AI Concept Stocks -- The trade has held steady since our last piece with Nvidia outperforming the shorts slightly.
CES 2024 will be held January 9th to 12th. It will showcase AI expanding into a wide range of Edge AI applications such as home appliances and PCs.
One can maintain the L/S trade into CES 2024 given that the Taiwan AI Short Basket constituents are unlikely to be beneficiaries of positive news flow from the event.


Nvidia Vs. Taiwan Short Basket: Hedge Working; CES 2024 Likely Positive for Nvidia Vs. Basket

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning, Copley Fund Research

Steven Holden

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning

Copley Fund Research

Copley Fund Research provide research and data on asset allocation among Global and Emerging Market equity funds.  The analysis details absolute and relative positioning across countries, sectors and industries together with highly granular data on single stock and single fund allocations.  The data is updated monthly with time series going back to January 2011.

Global Research - Analysis of 165 prominent Global equity funds, combined AUM $335bn
GEM Research - Analysis of 127 prominent global EM equity funds, combined AUM $250bn

Asset Allocation - Global and GEM Equity

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>The Magnificent 7, comprising Microsoft, Apple, Alphabet, Amazon, Meta, NVIDIA and Tesla  hit record high allocations among active Global equity funds this year.</li>
<li>Thought of as a standalone allocation, they represent the 2nd largest country weight, but also stand as a sizeable underweight versus the benchmark.</li>
<li>Microsoft's dominates the group, NVIDIA has attracted a new investors this year, whilst Tesla has struggled to gain the same level of trust from active Global investors.</li>
</ul>


The Magnificent 7, comprising Microsoft, Apple, Alphabet, Amazon, Meta, NVIDIA and Tesla  hit record high allocations among active Global equity funds this year.
Thought of as a standalone allocation, they represent the 2nd largest country weight, but also stand as a sizeable underweight versus the benchmark.
Microsoft's dominates the group, NVIDIA has attracted a new investors this year, whilst Tesla has struggled to gain the same level of trust from active Global investors.


Riding High: The Magnificent 7 Surge in Global Equity Funds

uPI Semiconductor Corp / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>UPI Semi is a specialist designer of electronic components and semiconductors for power management. Power management is a key performance factor for AI devices.</li>
<li>UPI's clients include most of the world's largest leading technology companies for semiconductor distribution and AI products.</li>
<li>UPI shares have lagged the strong performance of its clients -- We see opportunity for UPI to now Outperform.</li>
</ul>


UPI Semi is a specialist designer of electronic components and semiconductors for power management. Power management is a key performance factor for AI devices.
UPI's clients include most of the world's largest leading technology companies for semiconductor distribution and AI products.
UPI shares have lagged the strong performance of its clients -- We see opportunity for UPI to now Outperform.


Power Semiconductor Specialist Will Benefit from AI Yet Lagging Key Customers' Share Price Rallies

Taiwan Tech Focused Senior Analyst

Patrick Liao

King Yuan Electronics Co, Ltd. / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>It's a greater chance that there will be an upward pickup in 2024F revenue for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/king-yuan-electronics-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6630:1" rel="noopener">King Yuan Electronics Co, Ltd. (2449 TT)</a>, but the magnitude is hard to predict in 1H24.  </li>
<li>It is expected the revenue to decline by approximately -5% in 1Q24F.</li>
<li>However, the demand for CoWoS at a corporate level is expected to increase by about 10% in 2024F .</li>
</ul>


It's a greater chance that there will be an upward pickup in 2024F revenue for King Yuan Electronics Co, Ltd. (2449 TT), but the magnitude is hard to predict in 1H24.  
It is expected the revenue to decline by approximately -5% in 1Q24F.
However, the demand for CoWoS at a corporate level is expected to increase by about 10% in 2024F .


KYEC (2449.TT): The Revenue Outlook Will Be an Upward Pickup in 2024F.

United States

NVIDIA Corporation designs, develops, and markets three dimensional (3D) graphics processors and related software.  The Company's products provide interactive 3D graphics to the mainstream personal computer market.

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NVIDIA Corp (NVDA US)

'Clippy' Having the Last Laugh? Microsoft's Design Change to Drive AI PC Adoption; Dell Trade Update

We believe Microsoft's new Copilot key will drive awareness and usage of AI capabilities, driving AI PC upgrades. CES 2024 this week will showcase...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Nvidia Vs. Taiwan Short Basket: Hedge Working; CES 2024 Likely Positive for Nvidia Vs. Basket

CES 2024 will be held January 9th to 12th. It will showcase AI expanding into a wide range of Edge AI applications such as home appliances and PCs.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Riding High: The Magnificent 7 Surge in Global Equity Funds

Microsoft's dominates the group, NVIDIA has attracted a new investors this year, whilst Tesla has struggled to gain the same level of trust from...

Steven Holden

KYEC (2449.TT): The Revenue Outlook Will Be an Upward Pickup in 2024F.

KYEC is projected to have a potentially positive growth in 2024, with a predicted decline in 1Q24F. However, there is expected to be an increase...

Patrick Liao

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

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'Clippy' Having the Last Laugh? Microsoft's Design Change to Drive AI PC Adoption; Dell Trade Update

We believe ​Microsoft's new Copilot key will drive awareness and usage of AI capabilities, driving AI PC upgrades. CES 2024 this week will showcase...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Nvidia Vs. Taiwan Short Basket: Hedge Working; CES 2024 Likely Positive for Nvidia Vs. Basket

CES 2024 will be held January 9th to 12th. It will showcase AI expanding into a wide range of Edge AI applications such as home appliances and PCs.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Riding High: The Magnificent 7 Surge in Global Equity Funds

Microsoft's dominates the group, NVIDIA has attracted a new investors this year, whilst Tesla has struggled to gain the same level of trust from...

Steven Holden

Power Semiconductor Specialist Will Benefit from AI Yet Lagging Key Customers' Share Price Rallies

UPI's clients include most of the world's leading tech companies for chip distribution and AI products. UPI shares have lagged the strong...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

KYEC (2449.TT): The Revenue Outlook Will Be an Upward Pickup in 2024F.

​KYEC is projected to have a potentially positive growth in 2024, with a predicted decline in 1Q24F. However, there is expected to be an increase...

Patrick Liao

We believe Microsoft's new Copilot key will drive awareness and usage of AI capabilities, driving AI PC upgrades. CES 2024 this week will showcase...

KYEC is projected to have a potentially positive growth in 2024, with a predicted decline in 1Q24F. However, there is expected to be an increase...