Fundamental Short Selling Research

Eric Fernandez, CFA

TwoRiversAnalytics

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>This model looks for slowing growth, margin declines, sales and/or earnings disappointments, troubling working capital trends, poor estimate trends or lowered guidance, among other characteristics.</li>
<li>The key judgement is whether a slowdown is temporary or the beginning of a trend.  These shorts tend to have high valuations and betas.  Multiple compression accelerates the stock’s decline.</li>
<li>Today we are flagging Outset Med., NVIDIA, Intuitive Surgical, Plug Power</li>
</ul>


This model looks for slowing growth, margin declines, sales and/or earnings disappointments, troubling working capital trends, poor estimate trends or lowered guidance, among other characteristics.
The key judgement is whether a slowdown is temporary or the beginning of a trend.  These shorts tend to have high valuations and betas.  Multiple compression accelerates the stock’s decline.
Today we are flagging Outset Med., NVIDIA, Intuitive Surgical, Plug Power


Breaking Growth Short Candidates:  Outset Med., NVIDIA, Intuitive Surgical, Plug Power

Articles from Caixin Global, Caixin Global

Caixin Global

Articles from Caixin Global

Caixin is a media group dedicated to providing financial and business news through periodicals, online content, mobile apps, conferences, books and TV/video programs. Caixin aims to blaze a trail that helps traditional media prosper in the new media age through integrated multimedia platforms.

News from Caixin

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul><li>Drugs / In Depth: Why China’s regulators have cough medicine in their sights</li><li>Corruption / Former justice minister given suspended death sentence</li><li>Yuan / China and Kazakhstan set up offshore yuan clearing</li></ul>

Drugs / In Depth: Why China’s regulators have cough medicine in their sightsCorruption / Former justice minister given suspended death sentenceYuan / China and Kazakhstan set up offshore yuan clearing

CX Daily: Why China’s Regulators Have Cough Medicine in Their Sights

Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs Specialist, Objective Analysis

Jim Handy

Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs Specialist

Objective Analysis

Objective Analysis offers third-party independent market research and data for the semiconductor industry and investors in the semiconductor industry.

Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Semiconductor revenues continue to fall. which appears to be a repeat of the collapse in 2019</li>
<li>Spot market prices, a leading indicator, are soft for both DRAM and NAND flash</li>
<li>It is likely that semiconductor revenues will end the year by returning to the trendline of their historical growth of 3.9%</li>
</ul>


Semiconductor revenues continue to fall. which appears to be a repeat of the collapse in 2019
Spot market prices, a leading indicator, are soft for both DRAM and NAND flash
It is likely that semiconductor revenues will end the year by returning to the trendline of their historical growth of 3.9%


Semiconductors Just Beginning a Long Slide

Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

<ul><li>Nvidia has been among the priciest semiconductor stocks for a while now.</li><li>The company matched market expectations and delivered an earnings beat though the stock is still very expensive.</li><li>We provide the stock of Nvidia with a ‘Hold’ rating with a revision in the target price.</li></ul>

Nvidia has been among the priciest semiconductor stocks for a while now.The company matched market expectations and delivered an earnings beat though the stock is still very expensive.We provide the stock of Nvidia with a ‘Hold’ rating with a revision in the target price.

NVIDIA Corporation: Supporting The Metaverse

<ul><li>New U.S. export restrictions on certain microchips used for machine learning could distrupt China’s development of autonomous driving technology and data centers, market insiders fear</li><li>The export restrictions on Nvidia’s A100 and forthcoming H100 graphics processing units (GPU) will affect Chinese carmakers’ research into autonomous driving</li><li>The Nvidia A100 is a GPU chip with 7-nanometer nodes while the H100 is a model with 4-nanometer nodes that is expected to hit the market this quarter</li></ul>

New U.S. export restrictions on certain microchips used for machine learning could distrupt China’s development of autonomous driving technology and data centers, market insiders fearThe export restrictions on Nvidia’s A100 and forthcoming H100 graphics processing units (GPU) will affect Chinese carmakers’ research into autonomous drivingThe Nvidia A100 is a GPU chip with 7-nanometer nodes while the H100 is a model with 4-nanometer nodes that is expected to hit the market this quarter

How New U.S. Chip Restrictions Could Hit China’s Smart Car and Cloud Firms

United States

NVIDIA Corporation designs, develops, and markets three dimensional (3D) graphics processors and related software.  The Company's products provide interactive 3D graphics to the mainstream personal computer market.

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NVIDIA Corp (NVDA US)

Breaking Growth Short Candidates: Outset Med., NVIDIA, Intuitive Surgical, Plug Power

Breaking Growth stocks combine declining fundamentals with a multiple compression. This week we flag: Outset Med., NVIDIA, Intuitive Surgical,...

Eric Fernandez, CFA

CX Daily: Why China’s Regulators Have Cough Medicine in Their Sights

In Depth: Why China’s regulators have cough medicine in their sights. Former justice minister given suspended death sentence

Caixin Global

Semiconductors Just Beginning a Long Slide

The semiconductor market is falling and is likely to continue to drop through the end of the year. This presents an opportunity for shorts.

Jim Handy

NVIDIA Corporation: Supporting The Metaverse

Nvidia has been among the priciest semiconductor stocks for a while now. The company matched market expectations and delivered an earnings beat...

Baptista Research

How New U.S. Chip Restrictions Could Hit China’s Smart Car and Cloud Firms

New U.S. export restrictions on certain microchips used for machine learning could distrupt China’s development of autonomous driving technology...

Caixin Global

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