Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

Shenton Research

Shenton Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of NIKKEI 225 in the past month.</li>
<li>We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.</li>
<li>We highlighted EPS revision on Advantest, Kioxia, Fujikura, Tokyo Electron, TDK, ARCHION, Nippon Yusen Kabushiki Kaisha, Mitsubishi Materials.</li>
</ul>


We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of NIKKEI 225 in the past month.
We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.
We highlighted EPS revision on Advantest, Kioxia, Fujikura, Tokyo Electron, TDK, ARCHION, Nippon Yusen Kabushiki Kaisha, Mitsubishi Materials.


NIKKEI 225 Index Earning Revision (Sep): Advantest, Kioxia, Fujikura, Tokyo Electron, TDK, ARCHION

<ul>
<li>We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of MS-Japan in the past month.</li>
<li>We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.</li>
<li>We highlighted EPS revision on Toyota Motor, Nippon Yusen Kabushiki Kaisha, Mitsubishi UFJ Financial, Mitsui O.S.K. Lines, Recruit, Mitsubishi Chemical.</li>
</ul>


We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of MS-Japan in the past month.
We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.
We highlighted EPS revision on Toyota Motor, Nippon Yusen Kabushiki Kaisha, Mitsubishi UFJ Financial, Mitsui O.S.K. Lines, Recruit, Mitsubishi Chemical.


MS-Japan Index Earning Revision (Sep): Toyota Motor, Nippon Yusen Kabushiki Kaisha, Recruit

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We had a near-term bullish outlook on MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US) and the S&amp;P 500 (SPX) from 4/22/25 to 11/18/25.</li>
<li>After being near-term neutral for a week, we flipped back to bullish in our 11/25/25 Compass, all while maintaining our intermediate-term bullish outlook (as of our 5/14/25 Compass).</li>
<li>We will stay near-term bullish as long as crucial support levels of 6480-6520 on SPX and $134-135.70 on ACWI-US continue to hold</li>
</ul>


We had a near-term bullish outlook on MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US) and the S&amp;P 500 (SPX) from 4/22/25 to 11/18/25.
After being near-term neutral for a week, we flipped back to bullish in our 11/25/25 Compass, all while maintaining our intermediate-term bullish outlook (as of our 5/14/25 Compass).
We will stay near-term bullish as long as crucial support levels of 6480-6520 on SPX and $134-135.70 on ACWI-US continue to hold


Upgrading Spain to Overweight; EM Uptrend Break; Buys in Discretionary, Financials, Materials

Asian Hedge Fund Manager, Long Short Equity, Macro

David Mudd

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>Japan has intentionally stepped into the middle of the geopolitical battle between the U.S. and China with Prime Minister Takaichi's policy-changing Taiwan comments to Japan's parliament.</li>
<li>China's retaliation has been swift and tactical, issuing travel warnings, high-level diplomatic reprimands, and conducting military exercises near the Senkaku Islands.  China has promised a continuing substantial and broad-based response.</li>
<li>We expect China's response to include rare earth export and Japanese trade restrictions and targeted boycotts of Japanese goods on the mainland.</li>
</ul>


Japan has intentionally stepped into the middle of the geopolitical battle between the U.S. and China with Prime Minister Takaichi's policy-changing Taiwan comments to Japan's parliament.
China's retaliation has been swift and tactical, issuing travel warnings, high-level diplomatic reprimands, and conducting military exercises near the Senkaku Islands.  China has promised a continuing substantial and broad-based response.
We expect China's response to include rare earth export and Japanese trade restrictions and targeted boycotts of Japanese goods on the mainland.


Japan Picks a Fight with China!! What Happens Now?

Tracking developments across tech supply chains, Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tracking developments across tech supply chains

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>By Q4 2025, Taiwan's wafer foundry industry will see advancements, driven by Foxconn's partnership with OpenAI.</li><li>Anthropic is targeting profitability by 2028, while OpenAI could incur losses of up to $74 billion in the same timeframe.</li><li>Toyota plans significant US expansion in the automotive sector, while Samsung Display starts mass production of OLEDoS displays.</li></ul>

By Q4 2025, Taiwan's wafer foundry industry will see advancements, driven by Foxconn's partnership with OpenAI.Anthropic is targeting profitability by 2028, while OpenAI could incur losses of up to $74 billion in the same timeframe.Toyota plans significant US expansion in the automotive sector, while Samsung Display starts mass production of OLEDoS displays.

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (14-Nov-2025): Taiwan wafer foundry outlook for Q4 2025.

Japan

Toyota Motor Corporation manufactures, sells, leases, and repairs passenger cars, trucks, buses, and their related parts worldwide. The Company also operates financing services through their subsidiaries. Toyota Motor builds homes, produces pleasure boats, and develops intelligent transportation systems including radar cruise control and electronic toll collection systems.

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Toyota Motor (7203 JP)

NIKKEI 225 Index Earning Revision (Sep): Advantest, Kioxia, Fujikura, Tokyo Electron, TDK, ARCHION

We analyzed NIKKEI 225's consensus for Sep 2026 and highlighted changes of EPS in Advantest, Kioxia, Fujikura, Tokyo Electron, TDK, ARCHION, Nippon...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

MS-Japan Index Earning Revision (Sep): Toyota Motor, Nippon Yusen Kabushiki Kaisha, Recruit

We analyzed MS-Japan's consensus for Sep 2026 and highlighted changes of EPS in Toyota Motor (7203 JP), Nippon Yusen Kabushiki Kaisha (9101 JP),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Upgrading Spain to Overweight; EM Uptrend Break; Buys in Discretionary, Financials, Materials

Upgrading Spain $EWP to Overweight; EM Uptrend Break $EEM $VWO; Lows likely "in" on $SPX and $ACWI; Buys Focused in global Discretionary,...

Vermilion Research

Japan Picks a Fight with China!! What Happens Now?

Japan is deploying missiles to an island near Taiwan in an escalation of its increased militarism toward China since the PM election last month....

David Mudd

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (14-Nov-2025): Taiwan wafer foundry outlook for Q4 2025.

By Q4 2025, Taiwan's wafer foundry industry will advance with Foxconn and OpenAI's collaboration, while Anthropic targets profitability by 2028...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

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