Pan-Asia Tactical Market Calls (Quant-Driven), MRM Research

Nico Rosti

Pan-Asia Tactical Market Calls (Quant-Driven)

MRM Research

Quantitative Research

Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fast-retailing-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:751:1" rel="noopener">Fast Retailing (9983 JP)</a> recently posted very good results, beating forecasts.</li>
<li>On Friday the stock closed the week at 75,540. A very overbought position, according to our model. But the stock pulled back on Monday, this could turn into a buy-the-dip.</li>
<li>This insight offers a tactical view on a possible sell short setup that came up after the recent strong move, but higher prices are needed to materialize it, this week.
</li>
</ul>



Fast Retailing (9983 JP) recently posted very good results, beating forecasts.
On Friday the stock closed the week at 75,540. A very overbought position, according to our model. But the stock pulled back on Monday, this could turn into a buy-the-dip.
This insight offers a tactical view on a possible sell short setup that came up after the recent strong move, but higher prices are needed to materialize it, this week.



Fast Retailing (9983 JP) TACTICAL OUTLOOK: Rally Stretched, But Models Suggest Dip Likely Brief

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The Nikkei 225 Average Index Committee is in something of a weird spot. For the first time in a while there are two potential automatic ADDs. That needs two DELETEs.</li>
<li>But there is also a sector imbalance which is quite fierce. There are 3-4 good candidates going forward. One needs a stock split. There's one auto DELETE, but...</li>
<li>The other DELETEs should come from the Technology sector and they aren't close to the border. There are, however, two cappings in view helping the total towards US$6.9bn one-way flow.</li>
</ul>


The Nikkei 225 Average Index Committee is in something of a weird spot. For the first time in a while there are two potential automatic ADDs. That needs two DELETEs.
But there is also a sector imbalance which is quite fierce. There are 3-4 good candidates going forward. One needs a stock split. There's one auto DELETE, but...
The other DELETEs should come from the Technology sector and they aren't close to the border. There are, however, two cappings in view helping the total towards US$6.9bn one-way flow.


[Quiddity Index] Nikkei 225 Sep26 Rebal - 2 Auto ADDs, M-A-Y-B-E 1 Extra, 2 Caps

Japan Specialist

Mark Chadwick

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>A 16% operating profit beat and second consecutive guidance upgrade confirm Fast Retailing's execution is consistently outpacing consensus expectations.</li>
<li>US/EU acceleration (+35% YoY) alongside Asia's highest growth rate in several quarters demonstrates a genuinely broadening global revenue base.</li>
<li>Management's "break winter dependence" strategy — anchored by year-round product pillars — structurally reduces earnings volatility.</li>
</ul>


A 16% operating profit beat and second consecutive guidance upgrade confirm Fast Retailing's execution is consistently outpacing consensus expectations.
US/EU acceleration (+35% YoY) alongside Asia's highest growth rate in several quarters demonstrates a genuinely broadening global revenue base.
Management's "break winter dependence" strategy — anchored by year-round product pillars — structurally reduces earnings volatility.


<ul>
<li>
Strong March Momentum: Uniqlo Japan’s March same-store sales surged 9.2% YoY, driven by well-timed Spring launches and warmer weather, providing a positive lead-in to Q2 results.</li>
<li>
Q2 Earnings Preview: We forecast 11% revenue growth ahead of April 9th results, led by 17% international growth as Western markets increasingly outpace traditional Asian drivers.</li>
<li>
Strategic Global Expansion: Despite sector-wide share price softening, Uniqlo’s aggressive flagship openings in New York, London, and Chicago underscore a scalable model poised for guidance upgrades.</li>
</ul>



Strong March Momentum: Uniqlo Japan’s March same-store sales surged 9.2% YoY, driven by well-timed Spring launches and warmer weather, providing a positive lead-in to Q2 results.

Q2 Earnings Preview: We forecast 11% revenue growth ahead of April 9th results, led by 17% international growth as Western markets increasingly outpace traditional Asian drivers.

Strategic Global Expansion: Despite sector-wide share price softening, Uniqlo’s aggressive flagship openings in New York, London, and Chicago underscore a scalable model poised for guidance upgrades.


Fast Retailing (9983) | Strong March Momentum and Global Scalability Support Potential Guidance Hike

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fast-retailing-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:751:1" rel="noopener">Fast Retailing (9983 JP)</a> has experienced a massive rally in the last few months, since October. Recently the stock reached the Outliers zone in our model. Was overbought, last Friday.</li>
<li>This week the stock pulled back and this pullback presents an opportunity to buy, assuming the stock can continue to trend higher.</li>
<li>The ideal supprto zone / price range to buy is around 66376.</li>
</ul>



Fast Retailing (9983 JP) has experienced a massive rally in the last few months, since October. Recently the stock reached the Outliers zone in our model. Was overbought, last Friday.
This week the stock pulled back and this pullback presents an opportunity to buy, assuming the stock can continue to trend higher.
The ideal supprto zone / price range to buy is around 66376.


Fast Retailing (9983 JP) Tactical Outlook: A Good BUY Setup For This Week

Japan

FAST RETAILING CO., LTD. operates a chain of clothing stores, UNIQLO, throughout Japan and in other markets overseas including UK, China, Hong Kong, South Korea, US, France, Singapore and Russia.  The Company designs, manufactures, and retails its own line of casual clothing.

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Fast Retailing (9983 JP)