External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Per NBS, YoY growth of retail sales came in at 4.0% in 2M25, improving from 3.7% in Dec 2024.</li><li>In our view, this was boosted by nationwide trade-in program, but shy of Wind consensus at 4.5%.</li><li>Online physical goods GMV growth saw a further recovery MoM, with growth stood at 5.0% YoY in 2M25 (2024: 6.5%), which was improved from 3.5% in 4Q24. </li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Per NBS, YoY growth of retail sales came in at 4.0% in 2M25, improving from 3.7% in Dec 2024.In our view, this was boosted by nationwide trade-in program, but shy of Wind consensus at 4.5%.Online physical goods GMV growth saw a further recovery MoM, with growth stood at 5.0% YoY in 2M25 (2024: 6.5%), which was improved from 3.5% in 4Q24. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Internet - 2M25 NBS data shy of consensus, but expectation for stimulus policy on the rise

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The Berkshire Hathaway <a href="https://www.berkshirehathaway.com/2024ar/2024ar.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Annual Shareholder Letter for 2024</a> was released this weekend. Much was made in Japanese twitter-space of the comments he made on the Japanese trading houses. </li>
<li>He said Berkshire Hathaway's admiration of these companies "has consistently grown" and Berkshire likes their capital deployment, managements, and their attitude in respect to investors. They also pay themselves reasonably.</li>
<li>He mentioned Berkshire will increase their stakes somewhat in the trading houses "over time." That comment deserves some exploration, as does the comment about yen funding.</li>
</ul>


The Berkshire Hathaway Annual Shareholder Letter for 2024 was released this weekend. Much was made in Japanese twitter-space of the comments he made on the Japanese trading houses. 
He said Berkshire Hathaway's admiration of these companies "has consistently grown" and Berkshire likes their capital deployment, managements, and their attitude in respect to investors. They also pay themselves reasonably.
He mentioned Berkshire will increase their stakes somewhat in the trading houses "over time." That comment deserves some exploration, as does the comment about yen funding.


Warren Buffett and the Japanese Trading Houses I

Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The HSCEI serves as a benchmark to reflect the overall performance of the top 50 "Mainland China" securities listed in Hong Kong.</li>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the rankings of potential ADDs and potential DELs for the June 2025 index rebal event.</li>
<li>We see no index changes based on the latest available data. However, there will be some flows in June 2025 due to capping.</li>
</ul>


The HSCEI serves as a benchmark to reflect the overall performance of the top 50 "Mainland China" securities listed in Hong Kong.
In this insight, we take a look at the rankings of potential ADDs and potential DELs for the June 2025 index rebal event.
We see no index changes based on the latest available data. However, there will be some flows in June 2025 due to capping.


Quiddity Leaderboard HSCEI Jun25: Large Price Swings Needed to Trigger Index Changes

Equity Derivatives and Volatility Specialist, Clifton Derivatives

John Ley

Equity Derivatives and Volatility Specialist

Clifton Derivatives

Independent derivative and volatility research firm focusing on events/catalysts, earnings, relative value and cross asset volatility strategies.

Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>Market sentiment shifted again this week, with participation in stock gains dropping sharply from last week’s levels.</li>
<li>Option volumes continued to decline from February peaks, though single stocks saw a notable increase in activity on Friday.</li>
<li>We cover stocks with liquid options that have earnings reports in the coming week.</li>
</ul>


Market sentiment shifted again this week, with participation in stock gains dropping sharply from last week’s levels.
Option volumes continued to decline from February peaks, though single stocks saw a notable increase in activity on Friday.
We cover stocks with liquid options that have earnings reports in the coming week.


Hong Kong Single Stock Options Weekly (March 10 – 14): Sentiment Shifts, Option Volumes Cool

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Aequitas Research's weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.</li>
<li>On the IPO front, we had a look at a few of the upcoming listings in Hong Kong.</li>
<li>On the placements front, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/japan-post-bank-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:838:1" rel="noopener">Japan Post Bank (7182 JP)</a> managed to do better than its last deal while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/austal-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14420:1" rel="noopener">Austal Ltd (ASB AU)</a> didn't do too well.</li>
</ul>


Aequitas Research's weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.
On the IPO front, we had a look at a few of the upcoming listings in Hong Kong.
On the placements front, Japan Post Bank (7182 JP) managed to do better than its last deal while Austal Ltd (ASB AU) didn't do too well.


ECM Weekly (17th Mar 2025) -JPB, Recruit, Austal, BoB, Chifeng, Guarantee, Anjoy, Softcare, AvePoint

China

Alibaba Group Holding Limited provides online sales services. The Company provides internet infrastructure, electronic commerce, online financial, and internet content services through its subsidiaries. Alibaba Group Holding offers its products and services worldwide.

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Alibaba (BABA US)

Internet - 2M25 NBS data shy of consensus, but expectation for stimulus policy on the rise

Per NBS, YoY growth of retail sales came in at 4.0% in 2M25, improving from 3.7% in Dec 2024. In our view, this was boosted by nationwide trade-in...

CMB International

Warren Buffett and the Japanese Trading Houses I

Today, National Indemnity - BRK's holdco for owning Japanese trading co shares - announced it had upped its stake in each of the five trading...

Travis Lundy

Quiddity Leaderboard HSCEI Jun25: Large Price Swings Needed to Trigger Index Changes

China Resource Power and Sunny Optical are the top-ranked potential ADD and potential DEL respectively. Both names require large relative price...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Hong Kong Single Stock Options Weekly (March 10 – 14): Sentiment Shifts, Option Volumes Cool

Market sentiment shifted as stock gains saw a drop in participation, while option volumes continued to decline. Earnings reports for stocks with...

John Ley

ECM Weekly (17th Mar 2025) -JPB, Recruit, Austal, BoB, Chifeng, Guarantee, Anjoy, Softcare, AvePoint

Aequitas Research's weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.

Sumeet Singh

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Internet - 2M25 NBS data shy of consensus, but expectation for stimulus policy on the rise

Per NBS, YoY growth of retail sales came in at 4.0% in 2M25, improving from 3.7% in Dec 2024. In our view, this was boosted by nationwide trade-in...

CMB International

Warren Buffett and the Japanese Trading Houses I

Today, National Indemnity - BRK's holdco for owning Japanese trading co shares - announced it had upped its stake in each of the five trading...

Travis Lundy

Quiddity Leaderboard HSCEI Jun25: Large Price Swings Needed to Trigger Index Changes

China Resource Power and Sunny Optical are the top-ranked potential ADD and potential DEL respectively. Both names require large relative price...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Hong Kong Single Stock Options Weekly (March 10 – 14): Sentiment Shifts, Option Volumes Cool

​Market sentiment shifted as stock gains saw a drop in participation, while option volumes continued to decline. Earnings reports for stocks with...

John Ley

ECM Weekly (17th Mar 2025) -JPB, Recruit, Austal, BoB, Chifeng, Guarantee, Anjoy, Softcare, AvePoint

Aequitas Research's weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.

Sumeet Singh

Market sentiment shifted as stock gains saw a drop in participation, while option volumes continued to decline. Earnings reports for stocks with...