Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Late December 2024, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-group-holding-ltd-d7b798e2-202d-4e01-9a1e-799e2ae8f0c7" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28434:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba (9988 HK)</a> entered an SPA with DCP Capital to offload its 78.7% stake in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sun-art-retail-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:401:1" rel="noopener">Sun Art (6808 HK)</a> at HK$1.38/share, a 44.4% discount to last close.</li>
<li>The SPA completed on the 27th Feb, triggering an unconditional MGO, also at HK$1.38. FWIW, a deferred payment option raises the Offer Price to a maximum of HK$1.58/share. </li>
<li>
The Composite Document is now <a href="https://www1.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/sehk/2025/0306/2025030600003.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">out</a>, with a Closing Date for tendering on the 27th March. This won't be extended. The IFA (Somerley) says NOT fair &amp; reasonable.</li>
</ul>


Late December 2024, Alibaba (9988 HK) entered an SPA with DCP Capital to offload its 78.7% stake in Sun Art (6808 HK) at HK$1.38/share, a 44.4% discount to last close.
The SPA completed on the 27th Feb, triggering an unconditional MGO, also at HK$1.38. FWIW, a deferred payment option raises the Offer Price to a maximum of HK$1.58/share. 

The Composite Document is now out, with a Closing Date for tendering on the 27th March. This won't be extended. The IFA (Somerley) says NOT fair &amp; reasonable.


Sun Art (6808 HK): IFA Says MGO Is Not Fair. Rightfully So

Derivatives and Quantitative Strategist

Gaudenz Schneider

Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-hang-seng-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22899:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng Index (HSI INDEX)</a> put options show concentrated positioning at the 19,000 and 20,000 strike levels.</li>
<li>Traders continue to establish new positions approximately 15%-20% below current market levels, suggesting protection against major market corrections rather than minor pullbacks. The focus is on near-term risk.</li>
<li>Implied volatility has remained stable at 25-30% over the past two weeks, consistent with a broadly sideways movement in the index itself.</li>
</ul>



Hang Seng Index (HSI INDEX) put options show concentrated positioning at the 19,000 and 20,000 strike levels.
Traders continue to establish new positions approximately 15%-20% below current market levels, suggesting protection against major market corrections rather than minor pullbacks. The focus is on near-term risk.
Implied volatility has remained stable at 25-30% over the past two weeks, consistent with a broadly sideways movement in the index itself.


Hang Seng Index (HSI): Trends in PUT Strikes and Open Interest Visualized in Animation and Charts

<ul>
<li>Market traders of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-hang-seng-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22899:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng Index (HSI INDEX)</a> call options maintain significant holdings in lower strikes, with notable concentration at the 20,000 strike level.</li>
<li>Open interest data reveals significant increase in open interest for 25,000 and 26,000 strike calls since late February, reflecting active trading as traders built new positions.</li>
<li>Despite increased trading activity and changes in market positioning, implied volatility has remained stable at 25-30% over the past two weeks, reflecting a consistent market sentiment.</li>
</ul>


Market traders of Hang Seng Index (HSI INDEX) call options maintain significant holdings in lower strikes, with notable concentration at the 20,000 strike level.
Open interest data reveals significant increase in open interest for 25,000 and 26,000 strike calls since late February, reflecting active trading as traders built new positions.
Despite increased trading activity and changes in market positioning, implied volatility has remained stable at 25-30% over the past two weeks, reflecting a consistent market sentiment.


Hang Seng Index (HSI): Trends in CALL Strikes and Open Interest Visualized in Animation and Charts

Asia L/S Equity PM/Macro/Thematic Idea Generation

Rikki Malik

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>Few surprises from the Government Work Report, but investor fatigue has set in.</li>
<li>Groundwork continues to be laid for a boost in consumption as a share of GDP</li>
<li>HK/China bull market to broaden out from the technology sector?</li>
</ul>


Few surprises from the Government Work Report, but investor fatigue has set in.
Groundwork continues to be laid for a boost in consumption as a share of GDP
HK/China bull market to broaden out from the technology sector?


NPC- Consumption Put Top of the Agenda, but Another Case of The “Boy Who Cried Wolf?”

SGX Market Strategist, Equity & Fixed Income, Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Geoff Howie

SGX Market Strategist, Equity & Fixed Income

Asia’s leading multi-asset exchange

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Singapore Exchange is Asia’s leading and trusted market infrastructure, facilitating the exchange of capital and ideas to create value for people, businesses and economies. As a multi-asset exchange operating equity, fixed income and derivatives markets to the highest regulatory standards, SGX is a vertically integrated business that provides listing, trading, clearing, settlement, depository and data services.

With about 40% of listed companies and over 80% of listed bonds originating outside of Singapore as well as established linkages across the region and in Europe, SGX is Asia’s most international and connected exchange. Offering a full suite of derivatives products across Asian equity indices, commodities and currencies, SGX is the world’s most liquid international market for the benchmark equity indices of China, India, Japan and ASEAN.

As Asia’s pioneering central counterparty, SGX is globally recognised for its risk management and clearing capabilities, and was one of the first globally to adopt the Principles for Financial Market Infrastructure.

Headquartered in AAA-rated Singapore, SGX has over 800 employees including offices in Beijing, Chicago, Hong Kong, London, New York, Mumbai, San Francisco, Shanghai and Tokyo.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Three new Hong Kong SDRs, Xiaomi, Meituan, and Ping An Insurance, are now tradable on SGX, expanding thematic exposures.</li><li>HK SDRs offer cost-effective access to Hong Kong stocks with lower brokerage fees, no forex fees, and SGD settlements.</li><li>Since October 2024, HK SDRs' daily turnover increased eightfold to S$4 million, with significant trading in Tencent, BYD, and Alibaba.</li></ul>

Three new Hong Kong SDRs, Xiaomi, Meituan, and Ping An Insurance, are now tradable on SGX, expanding thematic exposures.HK SDRs offer cost-effective access to Hong Kong stocks with lower brokerage fees, no forex fees, and SGD settlements.Since October 2024, HK SDRs' daily turnover increased eightfold to S$4 million, with significant trading in Tencent, BYD, and Alibaba.

HK SDR suite broadens to track over 40% of Hang Seng Index with Xiaomi, Meituan and Ping An Insurance

China

Alibaba Group Holding Limited provides online sales services. The Company provides internet infrastructure, electronic commerce, online financial, and internet content services through its subsidiaries. Alibaba Group Holding offers its products and services worldwide.

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Alibaba (BABA US)

Sun Art (6808 HK): IFA Says MGO Is Not Fair. Rightfully So

Bricks and mortar investments in the PRC have been in retreat - and that's direct from Alibaba's chairman. Unless you feel DCP has the Midas touch...

David Blennerhassett

Hang Seng Index (HSI): Trends in PUT Strikes and Open Interest Visualized in Animation and Charts

Traders are heavily positioned in Hang Seng Index put options at 19,000 and 20,000 strike levels, indicating protection against major market...

Gaudenz Schneider

Hang Seng Index (HSI): Trends in CALL Strikes and Open Interest Visualized in Animation and Charts

Traders of Hang Seng Index call options maintain significant holdings at lower strikes. Increased interest in 25,000 and 26,000 strikes

Gaudenz Schneider

NPC- Consumption Put Top of the Agenda, but Another Case of The “Boy Who Cried Wolf?”

Investors feeling fatigued despite expected plans for boosting consumption in China, potential broadening of bull market beyond technology sector...

Rikki Malik

HK SDR suite broadens to track over 40% of Hang Seng Index with Xiaomi, Meituan and Ping An Insurance

Three new Hong Kong SDRs, Xiaomi, Meituan, and Ping An Insurance, are now tradable on SGX, expanding thematic exposures. HK SDRs offer...

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Sun Art (6808 HK): IFA Says MGO Is Not Fair. Rightfully So

Bricks and mortar investments in the PRC have been in retreat - and that's direct from Alibaba's chairman. Unless you feel DCP has the Midas touch...

David Blennerhassett

Hang Seng Index (HSI): Trends in PUT Strikes and Open Interest Visualized in Animation and Charts

​Traders are heavily positioned in Hang Seng Index put options at 19,000 and 20,000 strike levels, indicating protection against major market...

Gaudenz Schneider

Hang Seng Index (HSI): Trends in CALL Strikes and Open Interest Visualized in Animation and Charts

Traders of Hang Seng Index call options maintain significant holdings at lower strikes. Increased interest in 25,000 and 26,000 strikes

Gaudenz Schneider

NPC- Consumption Put Top of the Agenda, but Another Case of The “Boy Who Cried Wolf?”

​Investors feeling fatigued despite expected plans for boosting consumption in China, potential broadening of bull market beyond technology sector...

Rikki Malik

HK SDR suite broadens to track over 40% of Hang Seng Index with Xiaomi, Meituan and Ping An Insurance

Three new Hong Kong SDRs, Xiaomi, Meituan, and Ping An Insurance, are now tradable on SGX, expanding thematic exposures. HK SDRs offer...

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Traders are heavily positioned in Hang Seng Index put options at 19,000 and 20,000 strike levels, indicating protection against major market...

Investors feeling fatigued despite expected plans for boosting consumption in China, potential broadening of bull market beyond technology sector...