Smartkarma AI, Smartkarma

αSK

Smartkarma AI

Smartkarma

Smartkarma unites the fragmented investment industry, connecting institutional investors, independent research providers, and corporates within a single network.

Research Reinvented

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
 <li>
Dominant Ecosystem with a Wide Moat: <a href="https://smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-group-holding-ltd-d7b798e2-202d-4e01-9a1e-799e2ae8f0c7">Alibaba</a> maintains a commanding position in China's e-commerce and cloud computing sectors, underpinned by a powerful network effect. Its integrated ecosystem, spanning commerce, logistics (Cainiao), and cloud services (<a href="https://smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-group-holding-ltd-d7b798e2-202d-4e01-9a1e-799e2ae8f0c7">Alibaba</a> Cloud), creates significant competitive advantages and high switching costs for users.</li>
 <li>
Strategic Pivot to AI and Core Businesses: Under new leadership, the company is refocusing on its core e-commerce and cloud operations with a "user first, AI-driven"strategy. This involves significant investments in AI to enhance user experience and drive growth, with analysts projecting AI could boost Alicloud's revenue growth to 25-30% by FY26.</li>
 <li>
Navigating Significant Headwinds: The company faces substantial risks from intense competition from rivals like PDD Holdings and JD.com, a stringent and unpredictable regulatory environment in China, and macroeconomic uncertainties impacting consumer spending. These factors contribute to a high uncertainty rating for its future performance.</li>
</ul>This content is AI-generated and displayed for general informational purposes only. Please verify independently before use.


  
Dominant Ecosystem with a Wide Moat: Alibaba maintains a commanding position in China's e-commerce and cloud computing sectors, underpinned by a powerful network effect. Its integrated ecosystem, spanning commerce, logistics (Cainiao), and cloud services (Alibaba Cloud), creates significant competitive advantages and high switching costs for users.
  
Strategic Pivot to AI and Core Businesses: Under new leadership, the company is refocusing on its core e-commerce and cloud operations with a "user first, AI-driven"strategy. This involves significant investments in AI to enhance user experience and drive growth, with analysts projecting AI could boost Alicloud's revenue growth to 25-30% by FY26.
  
Navigating Significant Headwinds: The company faces substantial risks from intense competition from rivals like PDD Holdings and JD.com, a stringent and unpredictable regulatory environment in China, and macroeconomic uncertainties impacting consumer spending. These factors contribute to a high uncertainty rating for its future performance.
This content is AI-generated and displayed for general informational purposes only. Please verify independently before use.

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Gross SOUTHBOUND volumes just over US$22+bn a day this past 5-day week. Biggest week in a while. Net Flows not following gross flows. Feels toppish into GW.</li>
<li>The recommended name last week was <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-group-holding-ltd-d7b798e2-202d-4e01-9a1e-799e2ae8f0c7" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28434:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba (9988 HK)</a> was up 2.2% on the week but only +0.7% from Monday close to Friday. </li>
<li>The data tables below update on a daily basis in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/tools" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Tools</a> section of Smartkarma. The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/tools/quiddity/south-flow-monitor" target="_blank" rel="noopener">SOUTHBOUND Flow Monitor</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/tools/quiddity/ah-shares-monitor" target="_blank" rel="noopener">AH Pairs Monitor</a> are both there for all SK readers.</li>
</ul>


Gross SOUTHBOUND volumes just over US$22+bn a day this past 5-day week. Biggest week in a while. Net Flows not following gross flows. Feels toppish into GW.
The recommended name last week was Alibaba (9988 HK) was up 2.2% on the week but only +0.7% from Monday close to Friday. 
The data tables below update on a daily basis in the Tools section of Smartkarma. The SOUTHBOUND Flow Monitor and AH Pairs Monitor are both there for all SK readers.


HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 19 Sep 2025); BIG Single Stock Trading Again, Feels Slightly Toppish

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>2025 has seen a sharp turnaround in HK placements, with 36 US$100m+ deals so far. This compares to only 14 in 2022, 13 in 2023, and 15 in 2024.</li>
<li>Most of the 2025 placements have been primary raising and have come from a handful of sectors/backdrops.</li>
<li>In this note, we try to identify the possible primary placements that could take place over the rest of the year.</li>
</ul>


2025 has seen a sharp turnaround in HK placements, with 36 US$100m+ deals so far. This compares to only 14 in 2022, 13 in 2023, and 15 in 2024.
Most of the 2025 placements have been primary raising and have come from a handful of sectors/backdrops.
In this note, we try to identify the possible primary placements that could take place over the rest of the year.


Hong Kong 2025 Placements - Year so Far and Trends for Potential Primary Placements

Derivatives and Quantitative Strategist

Gaudenz Schneider

<ul>
<li>
Context: The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-group-holding-ltd-d7b798e2-202d-4e01-9a1e-799e2ae8f0c7" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28434:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba (9988 HK)</a> / <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-hang-seng-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22899:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng Index (HSI INDEX)</a> price-ratio deviated more than two standard deviations from its one-year average, presenting a potential relative value opportunity.</li>
<li>
Highlights: Going long the Hang Seng Index and short Alibaba (9988 HK) targets a 12% return.</li>
<li>
Why Read: Essential for quantitative traders seeking mean-reversion opportunities, with detailed execution framework, risk management protocols, and historical simulation showing the statistical basis for this relative value play.</li>
</ul>



Context: The Alibaba (9988 HK) / Hang Seng Index (HSI INDEX) price-ratio deviated more than two standard deviations from its one-year average, presenting a potential relative value opportunity.

Highlights: Going long the Hang Seng Index and short Alibaba (9988 HK) targets a 12% return.

Why Read: Essential for quantitative traders seeking mean-reversion opportunities, with detailed execution framework, risk management protocols, and historical simulation showing the statistical basis for this relative value play.


Underweight/Short Alibaba (9988 HK): Quant Model Flags Mean Reversion After 40% Post-Earnings Surge

Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

<ul><li>Alibaba Group is back in the spotlight after unveiling a trifecta of high-profile moves that have reignited investor interest and sent its shares sharply higher.</li><li>The Chinese tech conglomerate raised $3.2 billion through the issuance of zero-coupon convertible bonds due 2032, a financing round earmarked for strengthening its AI and cloud infrastructure.</li><li>At the same time, reports surfaced that Alibaba is beginning to deploy in-house AI training chips, reducing reliance on Nvidia’s costly accelerators and signaling a shift toward technological sovereignty in the middle of China’s broader AI race.</li></ul>

Alibaba Group is back in the spotlight after unveiling a trifecta of high-profile moves that have reignited investor interest and sent its shares sharply higher.The Chinese tech conglomerate raised $3.2 billion through the issuance of zero-coupon convertible bonds due 2032, a financing round earmarked for strengthening its AI and cloud infrastructure.At the same time, reports surfaced that Alibaba is beginning to deploy in-house AI training chips, reducing reliance on Nvidia’s costly accelerators and signaling a shift toward technological sovereignty in the middle of China’s broader AI race.

Alibaba Taps AI Chips, Raises $3.2 Billion, & Sends Wall Street Buzzing!

China

Alibaba Group Holding Limited provides online sales services. The Company provides internet infrastructure, electronic commerce, online financial, and internet content services through its subsidiaries. Alibaba Group Holding offers its products and services worldwide.

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Alibaba (BABA US)

Primer: Alibaba (9988 HK) - Sep 2025

Dominant Ecosystem with a Wide Moat: Alibaba maintains a commanding position in China's e-commerce and cloud computing sectors, underpinned by...

αSK

HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 19 Sep 2025); BIG Single Stock Trading Again, Feels Slightly Toppish

I hate to say something "feels toppish" into Golden Week but the sentiment on HK/Chinese stocks feels that way. Lots of volatility where there...

Travis Lundy

Hong Kong 2025 Placements - Year so Far and Trends for Potential Primary Placements

1H25 saw a sharp turnaround in HK placements, with 36 US$100m+ deals so far. This compares to only 14 in 2022, 13 in 2023, and 15 in 2024. In this...

Sumeet Singh

Underweight/Short Alibaba (9988 HK): Quant Model Flags Mean Reversion After 40% Post-Earnings Surge

Going short Alibaba (9988 HK) vs. long the Hang Seng Index targets a 12% return by applying a pair trade framework based on quantitative mean...

Gaudenz Schneider

Alibaba Taps AI Chips, Raises $3.2 Billion, & Sends Wall Street Buzzing!

Alibaba Group is back in the spotlight after unveiling a trifecta of high-profile moves that have reignited investor interest and sent its shares...

Baptista Research

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P/E

Dividend (Yield)