HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Equity Bottom-Up

Shanghai Fosun Pharmaceutical (Group) / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>After excluding gains on the disposal of United Family Healthcare, profitability of main business was disappointing.The revenue decline confirms that Fosun Pharma is facing pressure. Short-term performance hasn’t truly improved.</li>
<li>Fosun Pharma will continue to sell unprofitable assets to alleviate debt pressure and optimize business structure, which will be the short-term main theme. Fosun Pharma is still in adjustment period</li>
<li>Whether high profit growth can be sustainable in long term is uncertain, which depends on if Henlius is able to achieve high growth to offset the negative impact of VBP.</li>
</ul>


After excluding gains on the disposal of United Family Healthcare, profitability of main business was disappointing.The revenue decline confirms that Fosun Pharma is facing pressure. Short-term performance hasn’t truly improved.
Fosun Pharma will continue to sell unprofitable assets to alleviate debt pressure and optimize business structure, which will be the short-term main theme. Fosun Pharma is still in adjustment period
Whether high profit growth can be sustainable in long term is uncertain, which depends on if Henlius is able to achieve high growth to offset the negative impact of VBP.


Shanghai Fosun Pharmaceutical (2196.HK/600196.CH) 25H1 - The Performance Has Not Truly Improved

Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

CSPC Pharmaceutical Group / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cspc-pharmaceutical-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:229:1" rel="noopener">CSPC Pharmaceutical Group (1093 HK)</a> 1H25 revenue dropped 18.5% YoY as finished drugs witnessed decrease on VBP and NRDL inclusion. Bulk products and license fees compensated to an extent.</li>
<li>More license and collaboration in relation to the development, manufacturing and commercialization of certain products of the company awaited in 2H25 and augurs well in terms of future revenue visibility.</li>
<li>CSPC Pharmaceutical aims to expand into the high-end market to achieve competitive differentiation and thereby command higher prices.</li>
</ul>



CSPC Pharmaceutical Group (1093 HK) 1H25 revenue dropped 18.5% YoY as finished drugs witnessed decrease on VBP and NRDL inclusion. Bulk products and license fees compensated to an extent.
More license and collaboration in relation to the development, manufacturing and commercialization of certain products of the company awaited in 2H25 and augurs well in terms of future revenue visibility.
CSPC Pharmaceutical aims to expand into the high-end market to achieve competitive differentiation and thereby command higher prices.


CSPC Pharma (1093 HK): Finished Drugs Drag 1H25; 2H25 Expected To End with More Licensing Deals

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 157 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 58.0% as of Aug 22nd.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by 3.6ppt week-on-week, led by consumer staples, real estate, materials.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Air China, Cosco Shipping Development, Ganfeng Lithium, Fuyao Glass.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 157 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 58.0% as of Aug 22nd.
The average A-H premium changed by 3.6ppt week-on-week, led by consumer staples, real estate, materials.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Air China, Cosco Shipping Development, Ganfeng Lithium, Fuyao Glass.


A-H Premium Weekly (Aug 22nd): Air China, Cosco Shipping Development, Ganfeng Lithium, Fuyao Glass

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>WuXi Biologics’ Ireland facility has been approved by EMA as a commercial manufacturing site for a global client’s innovative biologic. Ab&amp;B Bio-Tech received approval for RSV vaccine in Chian.</li>
<li>Ascletis Pharma announced encouraging preclinical efficacy results for ASC47, a first-in-class muscle-preserving weight loss drug candidate. Remegen entered outlicensing agreement with Santen Pharmaceutical for a proprietary intravitreal injection.</li>
<li>Daiichi Sankyo’s Ifinatamab deruxtecan has been granted Breakthrough Therapy Designation by the FDA for small cell lung cancer. CSL intends to lay off 15% workforce and demerge CSL Seqirus.</li>
</ul>


WuXi Biologics’ Ireland facility has been approved by EMA as a commercial manufacturing site for a global client’s innovative biologic. Ab&amp;B Bio-Tech received approval for RSV vaccine in Chian.
Ascletis Pharma announced encouraging preclinical efficacy results for ASC47, a first-in-class muscle-preserving weight loss drug candidate. Remegen entered outlicensing agreement with Santen Pharmaceutical for a proprietary intravitreal injection.
Daiichi Sankyo’s Ifinatamab deruxtecan has been granted Breakthrough Therapy Designation by the FDA for small cell lung cancer. CSL intends to lay off 15% workforce and demerge CSL Seqirus.


APAC Healthcare Weekly (Aug 24) – Wuxi Bio, Ab&B Bio, Ascletis Pharma, Remegen, Daiichi Sankyo, CSL

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There is 1 add and 21 deletions for the Hang Seng Biotech Index (HSHKBIO Index) at the September rebalance.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover at the rebalance is 11.25% resulting in a round-trip trade of HK$1.77bn (US$226m).</li>
<li>The deletes have underperformed the HSHKBIO Index since the start of the year with the gap opening up over the last two months following the announcement of the methodology change.</li>
</ul>


There is 1 add and 21 deletions for the Hang Seng Biotech Index (HSHKBIO Index) at the September rebalance.
Estimated one-way turnover at the rebalance is 11.25% resulting in a round-trip trade of HK$1.77bn (US$226m).
The deletes have underperformed the HSHKBIO Index since the start of the year with the gap opening up over the last two months following the announcement of the methodology change.


Hang Seng Biotech Index Rebalance: 1 Add & 21 Deletes as Methodology Changes

China

Shanghai Fosun Pharmaceutical (Group) Co., Ltd. is a pharmaceutical company. Through its subsidiaries, the Company manufactures genetic medicines, Chinese traditional medicines, diagnostic products, and medical instruments, provides technology, marketing, and advertising services, as well as invests in import and export trading.

Shanghai Fosun Pharmaceutical (Group) (2196 HK)

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Shanghai Fosun Pharmaceutical (Group) (2196 HK)

Shanghai Fosun Pharmaceutical (2196.HK/600196.CH) 25H1 - The Performance Has Not Truly Improved

The revenue decline confirms that Fosun Pharma is facing pressure and has to continue to sell unprofitable assets to alleviate debt pressure....

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

CSPC Pharma (1093 HK): Finished Drugs Drag 1H25; 2H25 Expected To End with More Licensing Deals

CSPC Pharma's 1H25 revenue dropped 18.5% YoY, on lower finished drug sales. However, future revenue visibility looks promising with upcoming...

Tina Banerjee

A-H Premium Weekly (Aug 22nd): Air China, Cosco Shipping Development, Ganfeng Lithium, Fuyao Glass

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Air China, Cosco Shipping Development, Ganfeng Lithium,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

APAC Healthcare Weekly (Aug 24) – Wuxi Bio, Ab&B Bio, Ascletis Pharma, Remegen, Daiichi Sankyo, CSL

Wuxi Bio got EMA nod for Ireland manufacturing facility. Daiichi Sankyo got breakthrough therapy designation for its drug candidate in US. CSL...

Tina Banerjee

Hang Seng Biotech Index Rebalance: 1 Add & 21 Deletes as Methodology Changes

There is 1 add and 21 deletes for the HSHKBIO in Sep. Couple of surprises. Estimated one-way turnover at the rebalance is 11.25% resulting in a...

Brian Freitas

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Shanghai Fosun Pharmaceutical (2196.HK/600196.CH) 25H1 - The Performance Has Not Truly Improved

The revenue decline confirms that Fosun Pharma is facing pressure and has to continue to sell unprofitable assets to alleviate debt pressure....

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

CSPC Pharma (1093 HK): Finished Drugs Drag 1H25; 2H25 Expected To End with More Licensing Deals

​CSPC Pharma's 1H25 revenue dropped 18.5% YoY, on lower finished drug sales. However, future revenue visibility looks promising with upcoming...

Tina Banerjee

A-H Premium Weekly (Aug 22nd): Air China, Cosco Shipping Development, Ganfeng Lithium, Fuyao Glass

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Air China, Cosco Shipping Development, Ganfeng Lithium,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

APAC Healthcare Weekly (Aug 24) – Wuxi Bio, Ab&B Bio, Ascletis Pharma, Remegen, Daiichi Sankyo, CSL

Wuxi Bio got EMA nod for Ireland manufacturing facility. Daiichi Sankyo got breakthrough therapy designation for its drug candidate in US. CSL...

Tina Banerjee

Hang Seng Biotech Index Rebalance: 1 Add & 21 Deletes as Methodology Changes

There is 1 add and 21 deletes for the HSHKBIO in Sep. Couple of surprises. Estimated one-way turnover at the rebalance is 11.25% resulting in a...

Brian Freitas

CSPC Pharma's 1H25 revenue dropped 18.5% YoY, on lower finished drug sales. However, future revenue visibility looks promising with upcoming...