Thematic Investing in Tech and Media, CM Research

Cyrus Mewawalla

Thematic Investing in Tech and Media

Thematic TMT investing

CM Research

CM Research is an independent research house based in London, England. We provide global thematic research in the Technology, Media and Telecoms (TMT) sectors. 

Our focus is on disruptive technologies: how will they unfold; which industries will be impacted; and who will be the ultimate winners and losers. 

Our aim is to help investors predict share prices and corporate executives stay one step ahead of the technology trends that are shaping their industry. 

We research technology investment themes in detail and then feed the results into a scorecard system to quantify the impact of several conflicting themes on individual stocks. 

Recent themes covered include internet TV, the Internet of Things, Big Data, Mobile payments, crowdfunding, artificial intelligence, the cloud, software defined networking and Generation Hashtag.

We cover the top 500 global TMT stocks by market capitalisation and several technology start-ups and pre-IPO companies too. 

In 2015, CM Research analysts outperformed the Bloomberg Benchmark Analyst Index - which measures how good analysts are at predicting stock prices - by 7.1%.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

During this decade, the digital data universe is expected to grow 75-fold from 1.2 zettabytes to 90 zettabytes. (1 zettabyte = 1 trillion gigabytes).Ask any CEO how he expects to sell more products and cut more costs and he will tell you that Big Data features prominently in his strategy. Big Data refers to the technology processes by which companies can profit from the large amounts of data to which they have access.But investors who want to ride the Big Data wave are finding that it is not that easy to identify where to invest.In this report, we delve deep down into the Big Data supply chain and look at where the investment opportunities really lie.&nbsp;

During this decade, the digital data universe is expected to grow 75-fold from 1.2 zettabytes to 90 zettabytes. (1 zettabyte = 1 trillion gigabytes).Ask any CEO how he expects to sell more products and cut more costs and he will tell you that Big Data features prominently in his strategy. Big Data refers to the technology processes by which companies can profit from the large amounts of data to which they have access.But investors who want to ride the Big Data wave are finding that it is not that easy to identify where to invest.In this report, we delve deep down into the Big Data supply chain and look at where the investment opportunities really lie.&nbsp;

HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Equity Bottom-Up

GigaDevice Semiconductor  / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gigadevice-semiconductor" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:46238:1" rel="noopener">GigaDevice Semiconductor (3986 HK)</a>'s grey market price of HK$224.8 is 38.8% higher than the IPO price. This means a PER of 53.5x for FY26, simply too stretched for us. </li>
<li>The grey market price represents a 68-77% FY26 PER premium to the most-expensive peers, namely <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/microchip-technology-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8788:1" rel="noopener">Microchip Technology (MCHP US)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/texas-instruments-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18804:1" rel="noopener">Texas Instruments (TXN US)</a>. </li>
<li>Our fair value range is HK$204-238, based on the HA discount for 2025 IPOs and the current overall HA discount, implying limited upside potential.</li>
</ul>



GigaDevice Semiconductor (3986 HK)'s grey market price of HK$224.8 is 38.8% higher than the IPO price. This means a PER of 53.5x for FY26, simply too stretched for us. 
The grey market price represents a 68-77% FY26 PER premium to the most-expensive peers, namely Microchip Technology (MCHP US) and Texas Instruments (TXN US). 
Our fair value range is HK$204-238, based on the HA discount for 2025 IPOs and the current overall HA discount, implying limited upside potential.


GigaDevice (3986 HK): Its Just Too Demanding

Independent Investment Research, The IDEA!

The IDEA!

Independent Investment Research

The Idea-Driven Equities Analyses company (the IDEA!) is an employee-owned boutique providing independent investment research and financial consultancy services with a clear focus on the Benelux countries. The company was founded in the summer of 2007 by Henk Slotboom and Maarten Verbeek, both with more than 35 years of professional experience in the financial sector. The IDEA! differentiates itself by focusing on adding value through self-initiated in-depth, idea-driven investment research, as well as by bespoke research assignments for institutional investors, hedge funds and private equity. In addition, we provide market intelligence, strategic research and – together with our business partners – consultancy services to businesses. In case you are interested in receiving more information, a sample of our products or an introductory meeting, please send a message to info@theidea.nl.

<ul><li>In this edition: • Nexperia | Chinese management ordered to follow Chinese law • E-commerce & Logistics | national surcharge on non-EU low-value parcels “is illegal” • Dutch politics | D66 clearly benefits from first TV debate • Corporate Agenda | week 43 - 47</li></ul>

In this edition: • Nexperia | Chinese management ordered to follow Chinese law • E-commerce & Logistics | national surcharge on non-EU low-value parcels “is illegal” • Dutch politics | D66 clearly benefits from first TV debate • Corporate Agenda | week 43 - 47

<ul><li>In this edition: • ASML Holding | reiterates FY25 outlook – expects revenue growth in 2026 • Heineken | to transform its Amsterdam headquarters; additional reduction 400 jobs • InPost | Royal Mail plans to double its UK parcel points by 2030 • Shell | FID on Nigerian offshore gas project • bpostgroup | launches a new B2B proposition: Night Delivery • Nexperia | more information on what led to this week’s events</li></ul>

In this edition: • ASML Holding | reiterates FY25 outlook – expects revenue growth in 2026 • Heineken | to transform its Amsterdam headquarters; additional reduction 400 jobs • InPost | Royal Mail plans to double its UK parcel points by 2030 • Shell | FID on Nigerian offshore gas project • bpostgroup | launches a new B2B proposition: Night Delivery • Nexperia | more information on what led to this week’s events

NXP Semiconductors NV - What's News in Amsterdam

<ul><li>In this edition: • TomTom | positive undertone in FY25 guidance after clear beat in 3Q25 • Tech and Automotive sectors | China strikes back: ban on all Nexperia products</li></ul>

In this edition: • TomTom | positive undertone in FY25 guidance after clear beat in 3Q25 • Tech and Automotive sectors | China strikes back: ban on all Nexperia products

NXP Semiconductors NV - What's News in Amsterdam - 14 October (TomTom | Tech & Automotive sectors)

Netherlands

NXP Semiconductors NV operates as a global semiconductor company. The Company designs semiconductors and software for mobile communications, consumer electronics, security applications, in-car entertainment, and networking.  NXP offers its products to the automotive, identification, wireless infrastructure, lighting, mobile, and computing applications.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Nxp Semiconductors Nv (NXPI US)

Big Data as an Investment Theme

During this decade, the digital data universe is expected to grow 75-fold from 1.2 zettabytes to 90 zettabytes. (1 zettabyte = 1 trillion...

CM Research

GigaDevice (3986 HK): Its Just Too Demanding

GigaDevice's grey market price is 38.8% higher than IPO, leading to a FY26 PER of 53.5x, with limited upside potential compared to peers, even...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Zalando SE - What's News in Amsterdam

In this edition: • Nexperia | Chinese management ordered to follow Chinese law • E-commerce & Logistics | national surcharge on non-EU...

The IDEA!

NXP Semiconductors NV - What's News in Amsterdam

In this edition: • ASML Holding | reiterates FY25 outlook – expects revenue growth in 2026 • Heineken | to transform its Amsterdam headquarters;...

The IDEA!

NXP Semiconductors NV - What's News in Amsterdam - 14 October (TomTom | Tech & Automotive sectors)

In this edition: • TomTom | positive undertone in FY25 guidance after clear beat in 3Q25 • Tech and Automotive sectors | China strikes back: ban...

The IDEA!

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Big Data as an Investment Theme

During this decade, the digital data universe is expected to grow 75-fold from 1.2 zettabytes to 90 zettabytes. (1 zettabyte = 1 trillion...

CM Research

GigaDevice (3986 HK): Its Just Too Demanding

​GigaDevice's grey market price is 38.8% higher than IPO, leading to a FY26 PER of 53.5x, with limited upside potential compared to peers, even...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Zalando SE - What's News in Amsterdam

In this edition: • Nexperia | Chinese management ordered to follow Chinese law • E-commerce & Logistics | national surcharge on non-EU...

The IDEA!

NXP Semiconductors NV - What's News in Amsterdam

In this edition: • ASML Holding | reiterates FY25 outlook – expects revenue growth in 2026 • Heineken | to transform its Amsterdam headquarters;...

The IDEA!

NXP Semiconductors NV - What's News in Amsterdam - 14 October (TomTom | Tech & Automotive sectors)

In this edition: • TomTom | positive undertone in FY25 guidance after clear beat in 3Q25 • Tech and Automotive sectors | China strikes back: ban...

The IDEA!

GigaDevice's grey market price is 38.8% higher than IPO, leading to a FY26 PER of 53.5x, with limited upside potential compared to peers, even...