Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

Rotation is alive and well. Once-dormant Sectors and Groups are helping propel the market to new highs. While Tech, the overachiever, continues to lead, we’re finally seeing the Energy  Sector contribute. And other economically sensitive Groups, like Casinos and Engineering &amp; Construction, are bullishly inflecting, confirming the risk-on message. Combined, this is (1) a positive sign for the market, and (2) actionable.In today’s report we highlight ideas within the following Groups: Engineering &amp; Construction, Semiconductors, and Auto Dealers.

Rotation is alive and well. Once-dormant Sectors and Groups are helping propel the market to new highs. While Tech, the overachiever, continues to lead, we’re finally seeing the Energy  Sector contribute. And other economically sensitive Groups, like Casinos and Engineering &amp; Construction, are bullishly inflecting, confirming the risk-on message. Combined, this is (1) a positive sign for the market, and (2) actionable.In today’s report we highlight ideas within the following Groups: Engineering &amp; Construction, Semiconductors, and Auto Dealers.

U.S. Equity Strategy: Cyclicals Continue to Lead; Energy Is Bottoming.

Founder and Strategist, Entext Economics & Strategy

Sean Maher

Founder and Strategist

Entext Economics & Strategy

Entext provides institutional investors with distinctive, actionable asset allocation and thematic research, which typically challenges the market consensus. Our clients range from credit, equity and multi-asset hedge and pension funds to family offices and sovereign funds. 
 
We focus on identifying key inflection points in macro data and relative asset performance amid the 'groupthink'  and confirmation bias that characterizes most investment bank analysis.

Macro Driven Investment Insight

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>The aggregation effects that fuelled social media/search and e-commerce platforms are not relevant in hardware and the premia being applied to current first movers from Tesla to Nvidia look excessive.</li>
<li>It’s striking that Wal-Mart and GM are outperforming Amazon and Tesla, while Intel is outperforming AMD as it reinvents itself as an AI player - some incumbents are adapting fast to disruption risks.</li>
<li>I’ve been covering AI regularly since 2013/4 as a theme, but every IB tech analyst is now an…</li>
</ul>


The aggregation effects that fuelled social media/search and e-commerce platforms are not relevant in hardware and the premia being applied to current first movers from Tesla to Nvidia look excessive.
It’s striking that Wal-Mart and GM are outperforming Amazon and Tesla, while Intel is outperforming AMD as it reinvents itself as an AI player - some incumbents are adapting fast to disruption risks.
I’ve been covering AI regularly since 2013/4 as a theme, but every IB tech analyst is now an…


Incumbent 'Second Mover' Advantage as AI Hype Risks Reality Check...

Thematic Investing in Tech and Media, CM Research

Cyrus Mewawalla

Thematic Investing in Tech and Media

Thematic TMT investing

CM Research

CM Research is an independent research house based in London, England. We provide global thematic research in the Technology, Media and Telecoms (TMT) sectors. 

Our focus is on disruptive technologies: how will they unfold; which industries will be impacted; and who will be the ultimate winners and losers. 

Our aim is to help investors predict share prices and corporate executives stay one step ahead of the technology trends that are shaping their industry. 

We research technology investment themes in detail and then feed the results into a scorecard system to quantify the impact of several conflicting themes on individual stocks. 

Recent themes covered include internet TV, the Internet of Things, Big Data, Mobile payments, crowdfunding, artificial intelligence, the cloud, software defined networking and Generation Hashtag.

We cover the top 500 global TMT stocks by market capitalisation and several technology start-ups and pre-IPO companies too. 

In 2015, CM Research analysts outperformed the Bloomberg Benchmark Analyst Index - which measures how good analysts are at predicting stock prices - by 7.1%.

This reports looks at the key trends driving stocks in the global semiconductor industry, identifying winners and losers.It is extracted from CM Research's "Tech and Media Trends 2018" report, which covers the top 600 TMT stocks globally and all the investment themes driving their earnings. Using our unique "thematic engine", we quantify the impact of these themes on each of our 18 TMT subsectors, of which semiconductors is one.

This reports looks at the key trends driving stocks in the global semiconductor industry, identifying winners and losers.It is extracted from CM Research's "Tech and Media Trends 2018" report, which covers the top 600 TMT stocks globally and all the investment themes driving their earnings. Using our unique "thematic engine", we quantify the impact of these themes on each of our 18 TMT subsectors, of which semiconductors is one.

Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) / Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) (TSM US)

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing)

<ul>
<li>Over the trailing 12 months and the last month, the suppliers feeding the AI buildout have run multiples of NVDA and TSMC themselves. </li>
<li>I pulled fresh price performance across Zero One's broad coverage universe — 190 AI and semiconductor names tracked daily across Taiwan, Korea, Japan, and the US.</li>
<li>We explore five key themes that arise from the data and recent events.</li>
</ul>


Over the trailing 12 months and the last month, the suppliers feeding the AI buildout have run multiples of NVDA and TSMC themselves. 
I pulled fresh price performance across Zero One's broad coverage universe — 190 AI and semiconductor names tracked daily across Taiwan, Korea, Japan, and the US.
We explore five key themes that arise from the data and recent events.


AI's Biggest Winners Aren't NVDA and TSMC — They're the Suppliers

Making sense of the Global Market, Euromonitor International Ltd.

Yu Mitsuhashi

Making sense of the Global Market

Euromonitor International Ltd.

We are a global market research company focused on industries, countries, economies and consumers worldwide. Our cross-country comparable research helps your organisation identify opportunities and develop growth strategies in countries and regions across the globe. With offices around the world, 1,200 analysts in 100 countries and market research on every key trend and driver, we give you powerful access to the real story behind consumer change.

The "internet of things" (IoT) concept is in its nascent stage of development, but it is on the verge of exploding. To put its development into context of another more recent phenomenon, this is the stage of development in which MySpace was attracting the earliest adopters in the then-burgeoning social media industry. Simply stated, there are many more iterations of the IoT universe until this concept reaches public consciousness.Even so, as consumers, devices and now things become more connected, the possibilities in terms of what could be leveraged as a vehicle for enabling commerce are now endless. In time, the idea of a smartphone as a commerce device could be old news as commerce moves beyond simply portable consumer devices to include durable goods, such as refrigerators, washing machines or automobiles.

The "internet of things" (IoT) concept is in its nascent stage of development, but it is on the verge of exploding. To put its development into context of another more recent phenomenon, this is the stage of development in which MySpace was attracting the earliest adopters in the then-burgeoning social media industry. Simply stated, there are many more iterations of the IoT universe until this concept reaches public consciousness.Even so, as consumers, devices and now things become more connected, the possibilities in terms of what could be leveraged as a vehicle for enabling commerce are now endless. In time, the idea of a smartphone as a commerce device could be old news as commerce moves beyond simply portable consumer devices to include durable goods, such as refrigerators, washing machines or automobiles.

5 Ways The Internet Of Things Will Influence Commerce

Netherlands

NXP Semiconductors NV operates as a global semiconductor company. The Company designs semiconductors and software for mobile communications, consumer electronics, security applications, in-car entertainment, and networking.  NXP offers its products to the automotive, identification, wireless infrastructure, lighting, mobile, and computing applications.

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Nxp Semiconductors Nv (NXPI US)

U.S. Equity Strategy: Cyclicals Continue to Lead; Energy Is Bottoming.

Rotation is alive and well. Once-dormant Sectors and Groups are helping propel the market to new highs. While Tech, the overachiever, continues to...

Vermilion Research

Incumbent 'Second Mover' Advantage as AI Hype Risks Reality Check...

The aggregation effects that fuelled social media/search and e-commerce platforms are not relevant in hardware and the premia being applied to...

Sean Maher

Semiconductor Industry Trends

This reports looks at the key trends driving stocks in the global semiconductor industry, identifying winners and losers.It is extracted from CM...

CM Research

AI's Biggest Winners Aren't NVDA and TSMC — They're the Suppliers

Suppliers in the AI buildout have outperformed NVDA and TSMC. We scanned our 190 AI/semiconductor coverage universe for key themes emerging from...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

5 Ways The Internet Of Things Will Influence Commerce

The "internet of things" (IoT) concept is in its nascent stage of development, but it is on the verge of exploding. To put its development into...

Euromonitor International Ltd.

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U.S. Equity Strategy: Cyclicals Continue to Lead; Energy Is Bottoming.

Rotation is alive and well. Once-dormant Sectors and Groups are helping propel the market to new highs. While Tech, the overachiever, continues to...

Vermilion Research

Incumbent 'Second Mover' Advantage as AI Hype Risks Reality Check...

The aggregation effects that fuelled social media/search and e-commerce platforms are not relevant in hardware and the premia being applied to...

Sean Maher

Semiconductor Industry Trends

This reports looks at the key trends driving stocks in the global semiconductor industry, identifying winners and losers.It is extracted from CM...

CM Research

AI's Biggest Winners Aren't NVDA and TSMC — They're the Suppliers

​Suppliers in the AI buildout have outperformed NVDA and TSMC. We scanned our 190 AI/semiconductor coverage universe for key themes emerging from...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

5 Ways The Internet Of Things Will Influence Commerce

The "internet of things" (IoT) concept is in its nascent stage of development, but it is on the verge of exploding. To put its development into...

Euromonitor International Ltd.

Suppliers in the AI buildout have outperformed NVDA and TSMC. We scanned our 190 AI/semiconductor coverage universe for key themes emerging from...