Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

S&P BSE SENSEX Index / Technical Analysis

S&P BSE SENSEX Index (SENSEX INDEX EQUITY)

<ul>
<li>We continue to see global equities as being in pullback mode, with the MSCI ACWI index (ACWI-US) already testing important support in the $86-87 range, highlighted last week.</li>
<li>A bounce here would be ideal for the bullish case, but we could easily see a test of the YTD lows near $81.50 if $86 fails to hold.</li>
<li>Japan's TOPIX/Nikkei225/TOPIX Small remain bullish, as does India's SENSEX -- add exposure. Seeing some failed breakouts in Europe, notably the EURO STOXX 50 and STOXX Europe 600; a concerning development.</li>
</ul>


We continue to see global equities as being in pullback mode, with the MSCI ACWI index (ACWI-US) already testing important support in the $86-87 range, highlighted last week.
A bounce here would be ideal for the bullish case, but we could easily see a test of the YTD lows near $81.50 if $86 fails to hold.
Japan's TOPIX/Nikkei225/TOPIX Small remain bullish, as does India's SENSEX -- add exposure. Seeing some failed breakouts in Europe, notably the EURO STOXX 50 and STOXX Europe 600; a concerning development.


Pullback Continues; Japan & India Remain Attractive

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<div>
In my insight <a href="https://skr.ma/5UGLq" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Virtual IPOs/Direct Listings: Uninhibited Price Discovery</a> on the 29 November last year, I mentioned a white paper on special purpose acquisition company (SPAC) may be issued by the SGX in the first half of the following year. 
Last week the Business Times <a href="https://www.businesstimes.com.sg/companies-markets/sgx-looking-into-listing-of-special-purpose-acquisition-companies" target="_blank" rel="noopener">reported</a> that a consultation could be launched by the SGX as early as this quarter.
SPACs, or blank-check companies, racked up ~US$80bn in the US in 2020. Once listed and cashed-up, SPACs target investment acquisitions or mergers, providing an alternate back-door listing opportunity for companies. In effect, SPACs synthetically combines a credit instrument with equity upside. 
SPACs are non-existent in Asia. SGX's expected consultation paper may herald a strategic push by the bourse to become Asia's SPAC hub. With some US-based SPACs packaging Southeast Asian assets, SGX's motives may well be one of "if you can't beat them, join them".
</div>


In my insight Virtual IPOs/Direct Listings: Uninhibited Price Discovery on the 29 November last year, I mentioned a white paper on special purpose acquisition company (SPAC) may be issued by the SGX in the first half of the following year. 
Last week the Business Times reported that a consultation could be launched by the SGX as early as this quarter.
SPACs, or blank-check companies, racked up ~US$80bn in the US in 2020. Once listed and cashed-up, SPACs target investment acquisitions or mergers, providing an alternate back-door listing opportunity for companies. In effect, SPACs synthetically combines a credit instrument with equity upside. 
SPACs are non-existent in Asia. SGX's expected consultation paper may herald a strategic push by the bourse to become Asia's SPAC hub. With some US-based SPACs packaging Southeast Asian assets, SGX's motives may well be one of "if you can't beat them, join them".


Singapore Exchange: Asia's Future SPAC Hub

Necessity is the mother of financial innovation. The non-traditional listings of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/spotify-technology-sa" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26772:1" rel="noopener">Spotify Technology SA (SPOT US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/slack-technologies-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27904:1" rel="noopener">Slack Technologies Inc (WORK US)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/palantir-technologies-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27728:1" rel="noopener">Palantir Technologies Inc (PLTR US)</a> exhibit an increasing trend toward direct listings, in place of traditional IPOs incorporating lock-up agreements and dysfunctional pricing and allocation process.
This week Airbnb announced plans to go public next year joining the ranks of companies like Spotify and Slack that have used a direct listing to go public.
Is this IPO shortcut route appropriate for all companies? What are the pros and cons? And closer to home, which exchanges are open these virtual IPOs?
In this insight, I address the questions above, discuss various discussions with exchanges in the Asia-Pac regions, and also analyse alternative IPO routes such as special purpose acquisition company (SPACs).
<div class="content-highlight">
<h2>What's Original?</h2>
This insight explores the process, benefits, and track record to date of direct listings in equity markets, through to the current developments in Asia.
</div>

Necessity is the mother of financial innovation. The non-traditional listings of Spotify Technology SA (SPOT US), Slack Technologies Inc (WORK US) and Palantir Technologies Inc (PLTR US) exhibit an increasing trend toward direct listings, in place of traditional IPOs incorporating lock-up agreements and dysfunctional pricing and allocation process.
This week Airbnb announced plans to go public next year joining the ranks of companies like Spotify and Slack that have used a direct listing to go public.
Is this IPO shortcut route appropriate for all companies? What are the pros and cons? And closer to home, which exchanges are open these virtual IPOs?
In this insight, I address the questions above, discuss various discussions with exchanges in the Asia-Pac regions, and also analyse alternative IPO routes such as special purpose acquisition company (SPACs).

What's Original?
This insight explores the process, benefits, and track record to date of direct listings in equity markets, through to the current developments in Asia.


Virtual IPOs/Direct Listings: Uninhibited Price Discovery

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Australia's ASIC releases the aggregated short position data four business days after the reporting day. Data in this insight is up to 22nd June, published on the 26th June.</li>
<li>The largest industry net increase in the past week was A$0.4bn into "Steel"; the largest industry net decrease was A$1.9bn out of "Diversified Metals". Net shorts declined A$1.3bn week-on-week.</li>
<li>Companies mentioned in this regular weekly report include: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/csl-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:917:1" rel="noopener">CSL (CSL AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cochlear-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:918:1" rel="noopener">Cochlear (COH AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aristocrat-leisure-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10303:1" rel="noopener">Aristocrat Leisure (ALL AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bhp-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:147:1" rel="noopener">BHP (BHP AU)</a>,<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/rio-tinto-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13:1" rel="noopener">Rio (RIO AU)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/guzman-y-gomez-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:43656:1" rel="noopener">Guzman Y Gomez (GYG AU)</a>.</li>
</ul>


Australia's ASIC releases the aggregated short position data four business days after the reporting day. Data in this insight is up to 22nd June, published on the 26th June.
The largest industry net increase in the past week was A$0.4bn into "Steel"; the largest industry net decrease was A$1.9bn out of "Diversified Metals". Net shorts declined A$1.3bn week-on-week.
Companies mentioned in this regular weekly report include: CSL (CSL AU), Cochlear (COH AU), Aristocrat Leisure (ALL AU), BHP (BHP AU),Rio (RIO AU), and Guzman Y Gomez (GYG AU).


Aussie Shorts [22 June 2026]: CSL, Cochlear, Aristocrat Leisure, BHP, Rio, Guzman Y Gomez

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Jun 19th (reported today). The aggregated short interest was USD47.5bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Aristocrat Leisure, Brambles, CSL, Regis Resources, Cochlear.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Jun 19th (reported today). The aggregated short interest was USD47.5bn.
We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Aristocrat Leisure, Brambles, CSL, Regis Resources, Cochlear.


ASX Short Interest Weekly (Jun 19th): Aristocrat Leisure, Brambles, CSL, Regis Resources, Cochlear

New Zealand

a2 Milk Company Limited produces cow milk which is free of a protein called beta casein A1.  The Company offers its products in Australia and New Zealand.

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A2 Milk Co Ltd (ATM NZ)

Pullback Continues; Japan & India Remain Attractive

Stick with Japan & India. $ACWI bounce at $86 would be ideal for the bullish case (i.e., establishing a higher low), but we could easily see a test...

Vermilion Research

Singapore Exchange: Asia's Future SPAC Hub

Often the disinclination to introduce change is due to an absence of public market sophistication or a deep ecosystem. The SGX should make amends...

David Blennerhassett

Virtual IPOs/Direct Listings: Uninhibited Price Discovery

There’s no cookie-cutter approach that should be employed for every company seeking to go public. But late-stage, venture-backed technology...

David Blennerhassett

Aussie Shorts [22 June 2026]: CSL, Cochlear, Aristocrat Leisure, BHP, Rio, Guzman Y Gomez

Companies mentioned in this regular weekly report include: CSL (CSL AU), Cochlear (COH AU), Aristocrat Leisure (ALL AU), BHP (BHP AU), Rio (RIO...

David Blennerhassett

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Jun 19th): Aristocrat Leisure, Brambles, CSL, Regis Resources, Cochlear

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Aristocrat Leisure, Brambles, CSL, Regis Resources,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

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52-week Range

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