Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning, Copley Fund Research

Steven Holden

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning

Copley Fund Research

Copley Fund Research provide research and data on asset allocation among Global and Emerging Market equity funds.  The analysis details absolute and relative positioning across countries, sectors and industries together with highly granular data on single stock and single fund allocations.  The data is updated monthly with time series going back to January 2011.

Global Research - Analysis of 165 prominent Global equity funds, combined AUM $335bn
GEM Research - Analysis of 127 prominent global EM equity funds, combined AUM $250bn

Asset Allocation - Global and GEM Equity

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>We screen for stocks at the extreme ends of their positioning or momentum ranges among active Emerging Market equity funds.</li>
<li>High Positioning, Negative Momentum: BYD Company Limited Class H, Novatek Microelectronics Corp.</li>
<li>Low Positioning, Negative Momentum: Banco Bradesco SA Pfd, LG Chem Ltd.    </li>
</ul>


We screen for stocks at the extreme ends of their positioning or momentum ranges among active Emerging Market equity funds.
High Positioning, Negative Momentum: BYD Company Limited Class H, Novatek Microelectronics Corp.
Low Positioning, Negative Momentum: Banco Bradesco SA Pfd, LG Chem Ltd.    


External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

<ul>
<li>Apple is widely expected to launch its long-awaited MR headset in WWDC 2023 this week.</li>
<li>We believe 2023 is set to be one of the best years in VR/AR ecosystem development as Apple’s first MR headset will set new standard for innovation.</li>
<li>We expect technology upgrade to accelerate in displays, optics/sensors and tracking/interaction for enhancing user experience. </li>
</ul>
Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.


Apple is widely expected to launch its long-awaited MR headset in WWDC 2023 this week.
We believe 2023 is set to be one of the best years in VR/AR ecosystem development as Apple’s first MR headset will set new standard for innovation.
We expect technology upgrade to accelerate in displays, optics/sensors and tracking/interaction for enhancing user experience. 

Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Technology – Apple MR: Long-awaited next “iPhone moment”

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>The US's CBP published an updated guidance on 11 Apr to exempt 20 product categories (incl. smartphones, PCs, servers and tablets) from reciprocal tariffs (i.e. 125% China tariff and 10% global tariff).</li><li>However, the US commerce secretary stated on 13 Apr (link) that tariff exemptions for electronic devices were temporary and electronics will come under separate tariffs, along with semiconductors that will be imposed in a month or two.</li><li>Overall, while the upcoming electronics tariff remains an overhang in the near term, we believe 1) the new tariff (vs. 25% for other sectoral tariffs) will be lower than the 125% for China’s previous reciprocal tariff, and 2) recent sector correction has priced in the worst scenario for reciprocal tariffs. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

The US's CBP published an updated guidance on 11 Apr to exempt 20 product categories (incl. smartphones, PCs, servers and tablets) from reciprocal tariffs (i.e. 125% China tariff and 10% global tariff).However, the US commerce secretary stated on 13 Apr (link) that tariff exemptions for electronic devices were temporary and electronics will come under separate tariffs, along with semiconductors that will be imposed in a month or two.Overall, while the upcoming electronics tariff remains an overhang in the near term, we believe 1) the new tariff (vs. 25% for other sectoral tariffs) will be lower than the 125% for China’s previous reciprocal tariff, and 2) recent sector correction has priced in the worst scenario for reciprocal tariffs. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Technology - US Tariff Updates: Reciprocal Tariff Exemptions for Smartphone /PC...

Asia L/S Equity PM/Macro/Thematic Idea Generation

Rikki Malik

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>Government stabilisation measures kick in as tariff war starts to bite</li>
<li>Can the HK and China markets continue their bull run as markets dislocate?</li>
<li>Is it time to selectively get back into the Chinese tech sector?</li>
</ul>


Government stabilisation measures kick in as tariff war starts to bite
Can the HK and China markets continue their bull run as markets dislocate?
Is it time to selectively get back into the Chinese tech sector?


Hong Kong Market Strategy - Trade and Portfolio Ideas Amidst the Volatility

HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lenovo-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13359:1" rel="noopener">Lenovo (992 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aac-technologies-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6544:1" rel="noopener">AAC Technologies Holdings (2018 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/byd-electronic-international-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1927:1" rel="noopener">BYD Electronics (285 HK)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tcl-multimedia-technology" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15654:1" rel="noopener">Tcl Multimedia Technology (1070 HK)</a> are the prime beneficiaries of Trump's tariff exemption.</li>
<li>On average, they have 24.5% of revenue from the US market, and their share price has collapsed 19.8% MTD. They are well set to have a decent rebound.</li>
<li>There will be speculations that more exemptions in other sectors will be granted, and the big losers will see a relief rally. </li>
</ul>



Lenovo (992 HK), AAC Technologies Holdings (2018 HK), BYD Electronics (285 HK), and Tcl Multimedia Technology (1070 HK) are the prime beneficiaries of Trump's tariff exemption.
On average, they have 24.5% of revenue from the US market, and their share price has collapsed 19.8% MTD. They are well set to have a decent rebound.
There will be speculations that more exemptions in other sectors will be granted, and the big losers will see a relief rally. 


China & HK Strategy: Tariff Exemption Beneficiaries

China

AAC Technologies Holdings Inc designs, develops and manufactures a broad range of miniaturized components that include speakers, receivers and microphones in the acoustic segment and others such as haptics vibrators, RF and antennas, and optical lenses. AAC's products are found in mobile devices such as smartphones, tablets, wearables, ultrabooks, notebooks and electronic book-readers.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
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AAC Technologies Holdings (2018 HK)

GEM Funds: Extreme Stocks, July 2024

We screen for stocks at the extreme ends of their positioning or momentum ranges. We combine current and historical data with recent manager...

Steven Holden

China Technology – Apple MR: Long-awaited next “iPhone moment”

We believe 2023 is set to be one of the best years in VR/AR ecosystem development as Apple’s first MR headset will set new standard for innovation.

CMB International

Technology - US Tariff Updates: Reciprocal Tariff Exemptions for Smartphone /PC...

The US's CBP published an updated guidance on 11 Apr to exempt 20 product categories (incl. smartphones, PCs, servers and tablets) from reciprocal...

CMB International

Hong Kong Market Strategy - Trade and Portfolio Ideas Amidst the Volatility

Government stabilisation measures are being implemented as the tariff war impacts markets. We look at the sustainability of the bull run in HK/China

Rikki Malik

China & HK Strategy: Tariff Exemption Beneficiaries

Lenovo, AAC Technologies, BYD Electronics, and Tcl Multimedia are set to benefit from Trump's tariff exemption, with potential for a rebound in...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

GEM Funds: Extreme Stocks, July 2024

We screen for stocks at the extreme ends of their positioning or momentum ranges. We combine current and historical data with recent manager...

Steven Holden

China Technology – Apple MR: Long-awaited next “iPhone moment”

We believe 2023 is set to be one of the best years in VR/AR ecosystem development as Apple’s first MR headset will set new standard for innovation.

CMB International

Technology - US Tariff Updates: Reciprocal Tariff Exemptions for Smartphone /PC...

The US's CBP published an updated guidance on 11 Apr to exempt 20 product categories (incl. smartphones, PCs, servers and tablets) from reciprocal...

CMB International

Hong Kong Market Strategy - Trade and Portfolio Ideas Amidst the Volatility

​Government stabilisation measures are being implemented as the tariff war impacts markets. We look at the sustainability of the bull run in HK/China

Rikki Malik

China & HK Strategy: Tariff Exemption Beneficiaries

​Lenovo, AAC Technologies, BYD Electronics, and Tcl Multimedia are set to benefit from Trump's tariff exemption, with potential for a rebound in...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Government stabilisation measures are being implemented as the tariff war impacts markets. We look at the sustainability of the bull run in HK/China

Lenovo, AAC Technologies, BYD Electronics, and Tcl Multimedia are set to benefit from Trump's tariff exemption, with potential for a rebound in...