Founder at Stock Spin-off Investing, Stock Spin-Off Investing

Richard Howe

Founder at Stock Spin-off Investing

Stock Spin-Off Investing

Generate attractive returns by taking advantage of inefficiencies in the stock spin-off market.

Stock Spin-offs

Event-Driven

<ul><li>April 17, 2025, ABB Ltd (ABB) announced its intention to spin off its entire robotics division.</li><li>The robotics unit, recognized as the world’s second-largest industrial robot manufacturer after Japan’s FANUC, generated $2.3 billion in revenue in 2024, accounting for approximately 7% of ABB’s total sales.</li><li>However, its profit margin stood at 12.1%, trailing the group’s overall margin of 18.1%, primarily due to subdued demand in the automotive sector.​</li></ul>

April 17, 2025, ABB Ltd (ABB) announced its intention to spin off its entire robotics division.The robotics unit, recognized as the world’s second-largest industrial robot manufacturer after Japan’s FANUC, generated $2.3 billion in revenue in 2024, accounting for approximately 7% of ABB’s total sales.However, its profit margin stood at 12.1%, trailing the group’s overall margin of 18.1%, primarily due to subdued demand in the automotive sector.​

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass), with Int’l Compass reports all echoing this sentiment.</li>
<li>Our bullish near-term outlook will remain in place as long as the 5+ month uptrend continues on ACWI-US. So far, the latest pullback is testing the uptrend -- buy/stay long.</li>
<li>We are buying the test of 7-month base support in Europe (EURO STOXX 50). China's Shanghai Composite points to a second chance breakout attempt above 1.5-month resistance -- buy/stay long</li>
</ul>


We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass), with Int’l Compass reports all echoing this sentiment.
Our bullish near-term outlook will remain in place as long as the 5+ month uptrend continues on ACWI-US. So far, the latest pullback is testing the uptrend -- buy/stay long.
We are buying the test of 7-month base support in Europe (EURO STOXX 50). China's Shanghai Composite points to a second chance breakout attempt above 1.5-month resistance -- buy/stay long


5+ Month Uptrend Support Holding on MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US); China Second Chance Breakout Likely

<ul><li>Recently, Blackstone published a report titled “Investing in the Picks and Shovels of AI.” You can read <a href="https://stockspinoffinvesting.us12.list-manage.com/track/click?u=7d7fc84ad2ad141d71def9000&amp;id=d3349e6197&amp;e=b00018bf49" target="_blank" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://stockspinoffinvesting.us12.list-manage.com/track/click?u%3D7d7fc84ad2ad141d71def9000%26id%3Dd3349e6197%26e%3Db00018bf49&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1760415684093000&amp;usg=AOvVaw1UQd0iz-iQTPF7SRwyBdEo" rel="noopener">the report here</a>.</li><li>One image from the report that caught my eye was the growth in data that will be consumed and stored.</li><li>One natural beneficiary of this massive increase in data is Western Digital (WDC) and its hard drive business.</li></ul>

Recently, Blackstone published a report titled “Investing in the Picks and Shovels of AI.” You can read the report here.One image from the report that caught my eye was the growth in data that will be consumed and stored.One natural beneficiary of this massive increase in data is Western Digital (WDC) and its hard drive business.

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

HD Hyundai Marine Solution  / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kkr-co-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27333:1" rel="noopener">KKR &amp; Co (KKR US)</a> is looking to raise around US$160m via selling some of its stake in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hd-hyundai-marine-solution-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:41002:1" rel="noopener">HD Hyundai Marine Solution (443060 KS)</a> .</li>
<li>KKR had come out of its IPO linked lockup in Nov 2024 and had earlier tried to launch a deal in Dec 2024. Hence, the selldown is very well flagged.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the placement and run the deal through our ECM framework.</li>
</ul>



KKR &amp; Co (KKR US) is looking to raise around US$160m via selling some of its stake in HD Hyundai Marine Solution (443060 KS) .
KKR had come out of its IPO linked lockup in Nov 2024 and had earlier tried to launch a deal in Dec 2024. Hence, the selldown is very well flagged.
In this note, we will talk about the placement and run the deal through our ECM framework.


HD Hyundai Marine Placement - Very Well Flagged but Overhang Remains

<ul>
<li>Since early November 2023 we have been expecting global equities (MSCI ACWI) to stage a year-end rally that would continue into the early part of 2024.</li>
<li>As we progress through the “early part” of 2024, more global indexes and Sectors are breaking out and starting to participate in the upside. This is classic bull market behavior.</li>
<li>Our outlook remains bullish; continue to ride this trend higher, and treat pullbacks as buying opportunities. Actionable Themes: Hong Kong/China, Consumer Discretionary, Industrials, Energy/Coal, and Polish Banks</li>
</ul>


Since early November 2023 we have been expecting global equities (MSCI ACWI) to stage a year-end rally that would continue into the early part of 2024.
As we progress through the “early part” of 2024, more global indexes and Sectors are breaking out and starting to participate in the upside. This is classic bull market behavior.
Our outlook remains bullish; continue to ride this trend higher, and treat pullbacks as buying opportunities. Actionable Themes: Hong Kong/China, Consumer Discretionary, Industrials, Energy/Coal, and Polish Banks


Hong Kong/China Finally Bottoming?; Bullish Outlook Intact; DXY Rolling Over; Buys in Discretionary

Switzerland

ABB Limited provides power and automation technologies. The Company operates under segments that include power products, power systems, automation products, process automation, and robotics.

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ABB (ABB SS)

Weekly Update (ABB, MEDXF, LION)

April 17, 2025, ABB Ltd (ABB) announced its intention to spin off its entire robotics division. The robotics unit, recognized as the world’s second...

Richard Howe

5+ Month Uptrend Support Holding on MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US); China Second Chance Breakout Likely

5+ Month Uptrend Support Holding on MSCI $ACWI; Bullish Outlook Intact; China Second Chance Breakout Likely on Shanghai Composite. Buying the test...

Vermilion Research

Weekly Update (HON, SOLS, ABB)

Recently, Blackstone published a report titled “Investing in the Picks and Shovels of AI.” You can read the report here. One image from the report...

Richard Howe

HD Hyundai Marine Placement - Very Well Flagged but Overhang Remains

KKR & Co (KKR US) is looking to raise around US$160m via selling some of its stake in HD Hyundai Marine Solution (443060 KS) . In this note, we...

Sumeet Singh

Hong Kong/China Finally Bottoming?; Bullish Outlook Intact; DXY Rolling Over; Buys in Discretionary

Hong Kong/China Finally Bottoming?; Bullish Overall Outlook Intact; $DXY Rolling Over; Actionable Themes: Hong Kong/China, Consumer Discretionary,...

Vermilion Research

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