Research from Water Tower Research, Water Tower Research

Water Tower Research

Research from Water Tower Research

Water Tower Research is a leading equity research firm that provides research on micro, small and mid cap companies.

Water Tower Research was founded by Wall Street veterans after witnessing a fundamental shift in the investment research industry with the result being a declining knowledge base among investors, a lack of awareness and a shrinking pool of fundamental research being conducted on companies across the small-cap and micro-cap spectrum. The same issues are now increasingly occurring in the mid-cap space. This sea change within the investment community is impacting not only the companies themselves but also current shareholders and potential investors. With significantly less active sell-side sponsorship by Wall Street, a substantial information gap has developed between companies and various constituents in the financial community. The net result is fewer channels for insight and information to flow between companies and investors.

Equity Research Firm

Equity Bottom-Up

<div><ul><li>GOLF reported 3Q GAAP EPS of $0.81 versus $0.89, down Y/Y due to a much higher tax rate. GAAP operating income increased 13.2%. </li><li>We note that while the company provides adjusted EBITDA, it does not adjust EPS for one-time items, nor does it discuss EPS in its quarterly commentary or outlook.</li><li>If we apply the GAAP tax rate to adjusted pretax income, EPS was $0.87 versus $0.92, above our $0.85 estimate.</li></ul></div>

GOLF reported 3Q GAAP EPS of $0.81 versus $0.89, down Y/Y due to a much higher tax rate. GAAP operating income increased 13.2%. We note that while the company provides adjusted EBITDA, it does not adjust EPS for one-time items, nor does it discuss EPS in its quarterly commentary or outlook.If we apply the GAAP tax rate to adjusted pretax income, EPS was $0.87 versus $0.92, above our $0.85 estimate.

GOLF: 3Q Sales and EBITDA Beat Expectations; Raising Estimates

<ul><li>We are initiating coverage of Acushnet Holdings Corp., a global leader in the design, development, manufacturing, and distribution of performance-driven golf products.</li><li>Titleist golf equipment, which includes golf balls and golf clubs, and FootJoy golf wear have leading market shares, and combined, account for ~85% of annual sales.</li><li>We forecast 2025 full-year sales to increase 2.2% to $2,511.7MM, consistent with management’s commentary on the 2Q25 earnings call for low-single-digit sales increases in 2H25, which is on top of the 2.3% sales growth reported in 1H25. </li></ul>

We are initiating coverage of Acushnet Holdings Corp., a global leader in the design, development, manufacturing, and distribution of performance-driven golf products.Titleist golf equipment, which includes golf balls and golf clubs, and FootJoy golf wear have leading market shares, and combined, account for ~85% of annual sales.We forecast 2025 full-year sales to increase 2.2% to $2,511.7MM, consistent with management’s commentary on the 2Q25 earnings call for low-single-digit sales increases in 2H25, which is on top of the 2.3% sales growth reported in 1H25. 

Acushnet Holdings Corp: Initiating Coverage

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

iShares Russell 2000 ETF / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>The market continues to send mixed signals - some neutral or healthy signals but some risk-off signals as well.</li>
<li>As long as the Russell 2000 index (IWM) is above $208, Russell Micro Cap index (IWC) is above $134-$135, and the S&amp;P 500 is above 4495, we cannot be bearish.</li>
<li>Treasury yields are not breaking down below 1.40%-1.45% support on the 10-year Treasury yield and 1.76% support on the 30-year Treasury yield.</li>
</ul>


The market continues to send mixed signals - some neutral or healthy signals but some risk-off signals as well.
As long as the Russell 2000 index (IWM) is above $208, Russell Micro Cap index (IWC) is above $134-$135, and the S&amp;P 500 is above 4495, we cannot be bearish.
Treasury yields are not breaking down below 1.40%-1.45% support on the 10-year Treasury yield and 1.76% support on the 30-year Treasury yield.


Continued Absence Of Breakdowns Is A Positive Sign; Many Bottoms-Up Stock Recommendations

<p>The risk of a correction due to a “second wave” of infections has given way to optimism over increased monetary and fiscal stimulus and a potential COVID-19 steroid treatment. For now we view recent weakness as a countertrend move that helped correct the overbought conditions we noted last week. As long as the S&amp;P 500 is above the 2940-2980 support zone we remain bullish and view this as a buyable pullback. In today’s report we highlight attractive Groups and stocks within Consumer Discretionary and Technology.</p>

The risk of a correction due to a “second wave” of infections has given way to optimism over increased monetary and fiscal stimulus and a potential COVID-19 steroid treatment. For now we view recent weakness as a countertrend move that helped correct the overbought conditions we noted last week. As long as the S&amp;P 500 is above the 2940-2980 support zone we remain bullish and view this as a buyable pullback. In today’s report we highlight attractive Groups and stocks within Consumer Discretionary and Technology.

U.S. Equity Strategy: Signs Point To Healthy Pullback Opportunity

<p>The S&amp;P 500 is holding above 3000 and the 200-day MA breakout level. As long as the S&amp;P 500 is above this support level it tells us the bulls are in control. If there is a break below 3000, the next support levels to watch would be 2980 followed by the much bigger 2934.49 (the 61.8% Fib retracement) support level. Similarly, breakouts in the Dow Jones Industrials, small-caps (Russell 2000), mid-caps (Russell Mid Cap, S&amp;P 400), and the MSCI ACWI have held strong and all of these indexes show RS improvement. This is bullish as it indicates improving breadth.</p><p>In today’s report we highlight attractive Groups and stocks within Consumer Discretionary: Sporting Goods/Leisure Products, Casinos &amp; Gaming, Small-Cap, Retailers, Discount/Variety, and Retailers, Sporting Goods.</p>

The S&amp;P 500 is holding above 3000 and the 200-day MA breakout level. As long as the S&amp;P 500 is above this support level it tells us the bulls are in control. If there is a break below 3000, the next support levels to watch would be 2980 followed by the much bigger 2934.49 (the 61.8% Fib retracement) support level. Similarly, breakouts in the Dow Jones Industrials, small-caps (Russell 2000), mid-caps (Russell Mid Cap, S&amp;P 400), and the MSCI ACWI have held strong and all of these indexes show RS improvement. This is bullish as it indicates improving breadth.In today’s report we highlight attractive Groups and stocks within Consumer Discretionary: Sporting Goods/Leisure Products, Casinos &amp; Gaming, Small-Cap, Retailers, Discount/Variety, and Retailers, Sporting Goods.

U.S. Equity Strategy: Bulls Remain In Control

United States

Acushnet Holdings Corp. operates as a holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, designs, develops, manufactures, and distributes golf products. Acushnet Holdings sells its products primarily to on-course golf pro shops, selected off-course golf specialty and sporting goods stores, and other retailers worldwide.

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Acushnet Holdings (GOLF US)

GOLF: 3Q Sales and EBITDA Beat Expectations; Raising Estimates

GOLF reported 3Q GAAP EPS of $0.81 versus $0.89, down Y/Y due to a much higher tax rate. GAAP operating income increased 13.2%.

Water Tower Research

Acushnet Holdings Corp: Initiating Coverage

We are initiating coverage of Acushnet Holdings Corp., a global leader in the design, development, manufacturing, and distribution of performance...

Water Tower Research

Continued Absence Of Breakdowns Is A Positive Sign; Many Bottoms-Up Stock Recommendations

As long as the Russell 2000 index (IWM) is above $208, the Russell Micro Caps index (IWC) is above $134-$135, and the S&P 500 is above 4495, we...

Vermilion Research

U.S. Equity Strategy: Signs Point To Healthy Pullback Opportunity

The risk of a correction due to a “second wave” of infections has given way to optimism over increased monetary and fiscal stimulus and a potential...

Vermilion Research

U.S. Equity Strategy: Bulls Remain In Control

The S&P 500 is holding above 3000 and the 200-day MA breakout level. As long as the S&P 500 is above this support level it tells us the...

Vermilion Research

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