Index Rebal/Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal/Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The EURO STX 50 Index is one of the most highly-tracked indices in mainland Europe and the annual index review takes place in September.</li>
<li>Historically, these Rebalance events have had significant volume impact and they generally involve large cap names. </li>
<li>In this insight, we take a look the names leading the race to become ADDs/DELs for the upcoming index review in September 2023.</li>
</ul>


The EURO STX 50 Index is one of the most highly-tracked indices in mainland Europe and the annual index review takes place in September.
Historically, these Rebalance events have had significant volume impact and they generally involve large cap names. 
In this insight, we take a look the names leading the race to become ADDs/DELs for the upcoming index review in September 2023.


Quiddity Leaderboard ES50 Sep 23:  Eurozone’s Annual Big Impact Rebal Trades; US$1.1bn+ for ADDs

Head of Research, Krungthai XSpring

Waraporn Wiboonkanarak

Head of Research

A full service Thai brokerage

Krungthai XSpring

Krungthai XSpring is a full service broker. The company provides a wide range of investment services such as Securities Brokerage, Derivative Agent Business, Securities Borrowing and Lending, Securities Trading, Underwriting, Financial Advisory, Wealth Advisory, Private Fund Management and International Markets Securities Trading. 

In terms of credibility, Fitch Ratings has assigned Krunghtai XSpring a long-term rating of AA- and a national short-term rating of F1+ with stable outlook.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>The SET Index is expected to move sideways down, with the support at 1,660/1,650 points and the resistance at 1,675/1,680 points.</li><li>Overall, earnings performances have been disappointing due to lower sales as a result of the global economic slowdown against higher costs, including energy and foreign exchange costs.</li><li>Hence, we recommend buying at the support at 1,650 points, where a technical rebound is expected.</li></ul>

The SET Index is expected to move sideways down, with the support at 1,660/1,650 points and the resistance at 1,675/1,680 points.Overall, earnings performances have been disappointing due to lower sales as a result of the global economic slowdown against higher costs, including energy and foreign exchange costs.Hence, we recommend buying at the support at 1,650 points, where a technical rebound is expected.

HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

<ul>
<li>The potential IPO of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/anta-sports-products-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10261:1" rel="noopener">Anta Sports Products (2020 HK)</a>'s 52.7% owned Amer Sports is positive in unlocking the latter's underlying value, though the impact is quite limited.</li>
<li>Assuming a P/S of 1.8x (30% discount to peers) and 25% enlargement in share capital, we estimate the exercise may bring ~HK$6n of potential pre-tax deemed disposal gain.</li>
<li>Although Anta Sports may not receive any cash, it can still pay out special dividends given its Rmb12bn net cash, and this will raise FY23 dividend yield to 3.1%.  </li>
</ul>


The potential IPO of Anta Sports Products (2020 HK)'s 52.7% owned Amer Sports is positive in unlocking the latter's underlying value, though the impact is quite limited.
Assuming a P/S of 1.8x (30% discount to peers) and 25% enlargement in share capital, we estimate the exercise may bring ~HK$6n of potential pre-tax deemed disposal gain.
Although Anta Sports may not receive any cash, it can still pay out special dividends given its Rmb12bn net cash, and this will raise FY23 dividend yield to 3.1%.  


Anta Sports (2020 HK): Assessing the Impact of a Potential Amer Sports IPO

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Clarence Chu

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Campus Activewear / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/campus-activewear-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35877:1" rel="noopener">Campus Activewear (CAMPUS IN)</a> was listed on 9th May, 2022, with its six-month lockup expiring today, 4th November 2022. </li>
<li>Campus Activewear is a lifestyle-oriented sports and athleisure footwear firm based in India. Operating under the “CAMPUS” brand, it offers a diverse portfolio of styles, color palettes, and price points.</li>
<li>Coming up for six-month lockup expiry are the pre-IPO investors and the Promoters, both of which had sold during the IPO.</li>
</ul>



Campus Activewear (CAMPUS IN) was listed on 9th May, 2022, with its six-month lockup expiring today, 4th November 2022. 
Campus Activewear is a lifestyle-oriented sports and athleisure footwear firm based in India. Operating under the “CAMPUS” brand, it offers a diverse portfolio of styles, color palettes, and price points.
Coming up for six-month lockup expiry are the pre-IPO investors and the Promoters, both of which had sold during the IPO.


Campus Activewear Lock-Up - Shares Have Nearly Doubled. Pre-IPO Investors Might Book Gains

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/topsports-international" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28153:1" rel="noopener">Topsports International (6110 HK)</a></strong> is trading cheap to peers <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/anta-sports-products-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10261:1" rel="noopener">Anta Sports Products (2020 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/li-ning-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6047:1" rel="noopener">Li Ning (2331 HK)</a>, and to partners <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nike-inc-cl-b" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6658:1" rel="noopener">Nike (NKE US)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/adidas-ag" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21578:1" rel="noopener">Adidas AG (ADS GR)</a>.</li>
<li>Like for so many companies in China, the combination of severe lockdown restrictions and global supply chain disruptions has impacted Topsports operations.</li>
<li>Yet forward operational updates may surprise to the upside.  Management appears confident of their "<em>immersive shopping experience</em>" strategy, and recently declared a special dividend for FY22 (Feb Y/E). </li>
</ul>



Topsports International (6110 HK) is trading cheap to peers Anta Sports Products (2020 HK) and Li Ning (2331 HK), and to partners Nike (NKE US) and Adidas AG (ADS GR).
Like for so many companies in China, the combination of severe lockdown restrictions and global supply chain disruptions has impacted Topsports operations.
Yet forward operational updates may surprise to the upside.  Management appears confident of their "immersive shopping experience" strategy, and recently declared a special dividend for FY22 (Feb Y/E). 


Topsports (6110 HK): Upsizing Undervalued Sporting Goods Play

Germany

adidas AG manufactures sports shoes and sports equipment. The Company produces products that include footwear, sports apparel, and golf clubs and balls. adidas sells its products worldwide.

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adidas (ADS GR)

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Today's Dominant Ideas

The SET Index is expected to move sideways down, with the support at 1,660/1,650 points and the resistance at 1,675/1,680 points. Overall,...

Krungthai XSpring

Anta Sports (2020 HK): Assessing the Impact of a Potential Amer Sports IPO

A potential IPO of Anta Sports' 52.7%-owned Amer Sports may generate ~HK$6n of deemed disposal gain, based on P/S of 1.8x and 25% capital...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Campus Activewear Lock-Up - Shares Have Nearly Doubled. Pre-IPO Investors Might Book Gains

Campus Activewear (CAMPUS IN) was listed on 9th May, 2022, with its six-month lockup expiring today, 4th Nov 2022. Coming up for six-month lockup...

Clarence Chu

Topsports (6110 HK): Upsizing Undervalued Sporting Goods Play

Topsorts is inexpensive versus peers and with to its historical metrics. Provided China does not implement another round of stringent lockdowns,...

David Blennerhassett

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