Forensic Analyst, Trudence Capital Advisors

Nitin Mangal

Forensic Analyst

Trudence Capital Advisors

Trudence Capital Advisors Private Limited is a SEBI-registered Research Analyst, holding SEBI registration number INH000015747. Our firm is dedicated to providing independent and unbiased research on Indian mid to large-cap companies. Trudence Capital is known for its counter-consensus views, with a focus on forensic research and on-ground primary investigations. Our research approach is thorough, involving detailed analysis of accounting practices and governance, alongside extensive channel checks.

Independent & Unbiased Research

Equity Capital Markets

Credo Brands Marketing / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/credo-brands-marketing-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40400:1" rel="noopener">Credo Brands (Mufti) (CREDO IN)</a> IPO opens as a full OFS worth INR 5.5 bn. </li>
<li>The company operates ‘Mufti’ which is one of the renowned brands in Indian Men Casual Fashion category. </li>
<li>CMBL faces several questions including employee pay vs KMP, accounting for unsold inventory, delay in important payments, conflict of interest with BoD/SMPs etc.</li>
</ul>



Credo Brands (Mufti) (CREDO IN) IPO opens as a full OFS worth INR 5.5 bn. 
The company operates ‘Mufti’ which is one of the renowned brands in Indian Men Casual Fashion category. 
CMBL faces several questions including employee pay vs KMP, accounting for unsold inventory, delay in important payments, conflict of interest with BoD/SMPs etc.


Credo Brands Marketing IPO- Forensic Analysis

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist, Trudence Capital Advisors

Pranav Bhavsar

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The Indian Market (~$4 trillion) has now overtaken Hong Kong as the 4th most-valued stock market after the US, China, and Japan. </li>
<li>We recently concluded an exploratory trip to Patna, the capital, and also the largest city of the state of Bihar, Summarized thoughts on companies focused in this insight. </li>
<li>Multiple stocks covered in the Insight. The future of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/easy-trip-planners-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34149:1" rel="noopener">Easy Trip Planners (EASEMYTR IN)</a>, especially if it's banking on franchisee expansion, could go the other way around.</li>
</ul>


The Indian Market (~$4 trillion) has now overtaken Hong Kong as the 4th most-valued stock market after the US, China, and Japan. 
We recently concluded an exploratory trip to Patna, the capital, and also the largest city of the state of Bihar, Summarized thoughts on companies focused in this insight. 
Multiple stocks covered in the Insight. The future of Easy Trip Planners (EASEMYTR IN), especially if it's banking on franchisee expansion, could go the other way around.


[Week 14] Namaste India 🙏 | EASEMYTR IN | Easy Trip's Ghost Franchise?

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Axis Direct

Axis Direct

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Axis Direct is the flagship brand under Axis Securities Limited, a subsidiary of Axis Bank in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Aditya Birla Fashion and Retail / Equity Bottom-Up

Aditya Birla Fashion and Retail (ABFRL IN)

<ul><li>The company’s revenue grew by 11% YoY and the growth was led by network expansion and category expansion.</li><li>Its EBITDA, however, de-grew by 38% YoY owing to negative operating leverage, led by the subdued performance of Pantaloons business and continued investment in TMRW and ethnic business.</li><li>This impacted the company’s PAT and saw a decline of 271% YoY.</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

The company’s revenue grew by 11% YoY and the growth was led by network expansion and category expansion.Its EBITDA, however, de-grew by 38% YoY owing to negative operating leverage, led by the subdued performance of Pantaloons business and continued investment in TMRW and ethnic business.This impacted the company’s PAT and saw a decline of 271% YoY.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Aditya Birla Fashion & Retail Ltd -Long Road to Recovery; Maintain HOLD

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>We see 8 stocks moving from MidCap to LargeCap, 8 stocks moving from LargeCap to MidCap, 13 stocks from SmallCap to MidCap, and 14 stocks from MidCap to SmallCap.</li>
<li>Some stocks are expected to be inclusions to global indices later this month while others are potential <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23617:1" rel="noopener">NIFTY Index</a> and/or <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nse-nifty-next-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36053:1" rel="noopener">Nifty Next 50 Index</a> changes in March.</li>
<li>On average, the upward migrating stocks have outperformed the downward migrating stocks by close to 100% over the last 8 months. The passive flow can be used as an exit.</li>
</ul>


We see 8 stocks moving from MidCap to LargeCap, 8 stocks moving from LargeCap to MidCap, 13 stocks from SmallCap to MidCap, and 14 stocks from MidCap to SmallCap.
Some stocks are expected to be inclusions to global indices later this month while others are potential NIFTY Index and/or Nifty Next 50 Index changes in March.
On average, the upward migrating stocks have outperformed the downward migrating stocks by close to 100% over the last 8 months. The passive flow can be used as an exit.


AMFI Stock Reclassification Preview (Dec 2023): HUGE Outperformance as Active and Passive Meet

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Sai Silk Kalamandir / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sai-silks-kalamandir-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36216:1" rel="noopener">Sai Silk Kalamandir (SSKL IN)</a> is looking to raise about US$145m in its India IPO.</li>
<li>Sai Silk Kalamandir (SSK) is one of the largest retailers of ethnic apparel in South India, particularly in sarees, according to Technopak.</li>
<li>In this note, we look at the company’s past performance and provide our thoughts on valuations.</li>
</ul>



Sai Silk Kalamandir (SSKL IN) is looking to raise about US$145m in its India IPO.
Sai Silk Kalamandir (SSK) is one of the largest retailers of ethnic apparel in South India, particularly in sarees, according to Technopak.
In this note, we look at the company’s past performance and provide our thoughts on valuations.


Sai Silks Kalamandir IPO - Not Particularly Exciting but Is Relatively Cheap

India

Aditya Birla Fashion and Retail Limited (ABFRL) is an Indian fashion retail company offering a diverse portfolio of apparel and non-apparel accessories, including casual wear, formal wear, ethnic wear, and footwear. The company operates prominent brands like Louis Philippe, Van Heusen, Allen Solly, Peter England, and Pantaloons. ABFRL is headquartered in Mumbai, Maharashtra, India, and was founded in 2015.

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Aditya Birla Fashion and Retail (ABFRL IN)

Credo Brands Marketing IPO- Forensic Analysis

Credo Brands Marketing Ltd IPO opens for renowned Indian men's fashion brand 'Mufti', but faces questions on employee pay, inventory, and some...

Nitin Mangal

[Week 14] Namaste India 🙏 | EASEMYTR IN | Easy Trip's Ghost Franchise?

Indian stock market surpasses Hong Kong to become the 4th most valuable market. Insight on Easy Trip Planners suggests franchisee expansion may...

Pranav Bhavsar

Aditya Birla Fashion & Retail Ltd -Long Road to Recovery; Maintain HOLD

The company’s revenue grew by 11% YoY and the growth was led by network expansion and category expansion. Its EBITDA, however, de-grew by 38% YoY...

Axis Direct

AMFI Stock Reclassification Preview (Dec 2023): HUGE Outperformance as Active and Passive Meet

We see 43 stocks migrating between different market cap segments in Jan. A lot of stocks will have passive flows from NIFTY, NIFTYJR and global...

Brian Freitas

Sai Silks Kalamandir IPO - Not Particularly Exciting but Is Relatively Cheap

Sai Silk Kalamandir (SSKL IN) is looking to raise about US$145m in its India IPO. In this note, we look at the company's past performance and talk...

Sumeet Singh

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Credo Brands Marketing IPO- Forensic Analysis

​Credo Brands Marketing Ltd IPO opens for renowned Indian men's fashion brand 'Mufti', but faces questions on employee pay, inventory, and some...

Nitin Mangal

[Week 14] Namaste India 🙏 | EASEMYTR IN | Easy Trip's Ghost Franchise?

​Indian stock market surpasses Hong Kong to become the 4th most valuable market. Insight on Easy Trip Planners suggests franchisee expansion may...

Pranav Bhavsar

Aditya Birla Fashion & Retail Ltd -Long Road to Recovery; Maintain HOLD

The company’s revenue grew by 11% YoY and the growth was led by network expansion and category expansion. Its EBITDA, however, de-grew by 38% YoY...

Axis Direct

AMFI Stock Reclassification Preview (Dec 2023): HUGE Outperformance as Active and Passive Meet

We see 43 stocks migrating between different market cap segments in Jan. A lot of stocks will have passive flows from NIFTY, NIFTYJR and global...

Brian Freitas

Sai Silks Kalamandir IPO - Not Particularly Exciting but Is Relatively Cheap

Sai Silk Kalamandir (SSKL IN) is looking to raise about US$145m in its India IPO. In this note, we look at the company's past performance and talk...

Sumeet Singh

Credo Brands Marketing Ltd IPO opens for renowned Indian men's fashion brand 'Mufti', but faces questions on employee pay, inventory, and some...

Indian stock market surpasses Hong Kong to become the 4th most valuable market. Insight on Easy Trip Planners suggests franchisee expansion may...