Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>We see 8 stocks moving from MidCap to LargeCap, 8 stocks moving from LargeCap to MidCap, 13 stocks from SmallCap to MidCap, and 13 stocks from MidCap to SmallCap.</li>
<li>The expected migrations from SmallCap to MidCap have outperformed the other potential migrations with all stocks moving higher over the last six month.</li>
<li>Active managers could continue to realign their portfolios. Some of the upward migrations will have passive flows in the next few days and over the next few months.</li>
</ul>


We see 8 stocks moving from MidCap to LargeCap, 8 stocks moving from LargeCap to MidCap, 13 stocks from SmallCap to MidCap, and 13 stocks from MidCap to SmallCap.
The expected migrations from SmallCap to MidCap have outperformed the other potential migrations with all stocks moving higher over the last six month.
Active managers could continue to realign their portfolios. Some of the upward migrations will have passive flows in the next few days and over the next few months.


AMFI Stock Reclassification Preview (Dec 2023): Overlap Between Active & Passive Flows

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

HDFC securities is the best online trading platform for stocks, IPOs, mutual fund in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>State Bank of India: SBIN posted a mixed bag of results with the highest-ever quarterly earnings again, led by lower opex and credit costs</li><li>However, loan growth moderated (+1% QoQ) in addition to a 37bps QoQ decline in domestic NIMs (3.47%) and lower other income</li><li>Gross slippages flared up to 1% annualised, primarily from the retail segment, but were offset by recoveries/w-offs that resulted in a flattish GNPA (2.8%)</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

State Bank of India: SBIN posted a mixed bag of results with the highest-ever quarterly earnings again, led by lower opex and credit costsHowever, loan growth moderated (+1% QoQ) in addition to a 37bps QoQ decline in domestic NIMs (3.47%) and lower other incomeGross slippages flared up to 1% annualised, primarily from the retail segment, but were offset by recoveries/w-offs that resulted in a flattish GNPA (2.8%)Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: State Bank of India, Mahindra & Mahindra, Kansai Nerolac

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Axis Direct

Axis Direct

Axis Direct is the flagship brand under Axis Securities Limited, a subsidiary of Axis Bank in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Equity Bottom-Up

Aditya Birla Fashion and Retail Ltd / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>We like the management’s strategy of revamping product strategy through new launches and acquisitions, renewed brand positioning, and digital transformation to increase contribution from online sales (along with next-generation digital-first brands under its technology-led ‘House of D2C Brands’ venture TMRW).</li><li>These would be key growth drivers in the long term. However, all these initiatives will take time to bear fruit.</li><li>Moreover, short-term vagaries such as – 1) slowdown in discretionary spends, 2) Sharp increase in debt, 3) Increase in marketing spends and 4) Investment in TCNS will have a near-term impact on the balance sheet and return ratios.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We like the management’s strategy of revamping product strategy through new launches and acquisitions, renewed brand positioning, and digital transformation to increase contribution from online sales (along with next-generation digital-first brands under its technology-led ‘House of D2C Brands’ venture TMRW).These would be key growth drivers in the long term. However, all these initiatives will take time to bear fruit.Moreover, short-term vagaries such as – 1) slowdown in discretionary spends, 2) Sharp increase in debt, 3) Increase in marketing spends and 4) Investment in TCNS will have a near-term impact on the balance sheet and return ratios.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Aditya Birla Fashion & Retail Ltd. - Long Road to Recovery

<ul><li>Our discretionary universe is expected to grow by ~15% YoY in Q1FY24</li><li>However, beneath the averages lies the rub</li><li>Excluding 3 companies the average drops to sub 10%</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Our discretionary universe is expected to grow by ~15% YoY in Q1FY24However, beneath the averages lies the rubExcluding 3 companies the average drops to sub 10%Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Consumer Discretionary: Beneath the averages lies the rub

Consumer Discretionary - Beneath the Averages Lies the Rub

India

Aditya Birla Fashion and Retail Ltd provides a wide range of mid-priced garments for men. The Company's collection includes internationally styled formal, elite, casual, party, and wedding apparel.

Aditya Birla Fashion and Retail Ltd (ABFRL IN)

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Aditya Birla Fashion and Retail Ltd (ABFRL IN)

AMFI Stock Reclassification Preview (Dec 2023): Overlap Between Active & Passive Flows

We see 42 potential migrations between the size categories. The small to mid migrations have outperformed. There will be a lot of overlap between...

Brian Freitas

HSIE Results Daily: State Bank of India, Mahindra & Mahindra, Kansai Nerolac

State Bank of India: SBIN posted a mixed bag of results with the highest-ever quarterly earnings again, led by lower opex and credit costs

HDFC Securities

Aditya Birla Fashion & Retail Ltd. - Long Road to Recovery

We maintain HOLD rating on the stock with the inchanged TP of Rs 200/ share to account for near-term challenges, a slowdown in discretionary spends

Axis Direct

Consumer Discretionary: Beneath the averages lies the rub

Our discretionary universe is expected to grow by ~15% YoY in Q1FY24. However, beneath the averages lies the rub. Excluding 3 companies the average...

HDFC Securities

Consumer Discretionary - Beneath the Averages Lies the Rub

Our discretionary universe is expected to grow by ~15% YoY in Q1FY24. However, beneath the averages lies the rub. Excluding 3 companies the average...

HDFC Securities

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)