Semiconductor & Technology Specialist, Ingenuity

William Keating

Semiconductor & Technology Specialist

Ingenuity

Our focus is exclusively on in-depth research & consulting in the broader semiconductor industry. We focus on the key players, namely Intel, Micron, Qualcomm, Apple, Samsung, NVIDIA, AMD, TSMC & Global Foundries - as well as some of the lesser known, but nonetheless critical, companies such as ASML (for EUV), Mellanox, Cavium, Xilinx etc. We specialise in their products, roadmaps, process technologies, competitive advantages & threats etc. We also help our clients understand the implications of new and emerging technologies, e.g. 3D X-Point, 3D NAND, Carbon Nanotubes, Autonomous Driving, Graphene, Silicon Photonics, Wafer-Level Optics, Artificial Intelligence, FPGA, GPU, ASIC etc. 

Semiconductor Analysis & Research

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>US DoD &amp; AWS deals are little more than distractions from the main event</li>
<li>Making Intel Foundry a subsidiary won't make one whit of a difference but may just be the next step in its eventual spin-off</li>
<li>The core issue, the GM collapse in Q224, was not addressed in the BM update from the CEO. That's a problem. </li>
</ul>


US DoD &amp; AWS deals are little more than distractions from the main event
Making Intel Foundry a subsidiary won't make one whit of a difference but may just be the next step in its eventual spin-off
The core issue, the GM collapse in Q224, was not addressed in the BM update from the CEO. That's a problem. 


Intel. US DoD & AWS Deals Are Distractions While The Head Remains Firmly In The Sand

Podcast from BlackRock, The Bid

The Bid

Podcast from BlackRock

The Bid breaks down what’s happening in the world of investing and explores the forces changing the economy and finance. From stock market outlooks and megatrends to geopolitics and technology, BlackRock speaks to thought leaders and industry experts from around the globe about the biggest trends moving markets.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>AI has become a dominant topic of discussion among industry leaders, signaling a significant shift in focus over the past year</li><li>Investment opportunities in AI extend beyond just a few mega cap stocks, with opportunities in chips, infrastructure, data and models, software applications, and services and solutions</li><li>Tony emphasizes the importance of building a new computing infrastructure for AI, which is transforming industries and creating new opportunities for tech investors.</li></ul><p><em>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.</em></p>

AI has become a dominant topic of discussion among industry leaders, signaling a significant shift in focus over the past yearInvestment opportunities in AI extend beyond just a few mega cap stocks, with opportunities in chips, infrastructure, data and models, software applications, and services and solutionsTony emphasizes the importance of building a new computing infrastructure for AI, which is transforming industries and creating new opportunities for tech investors.This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Tech and AI Investing Trends: A Stock Picker’s Take

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR / Index Rebalance

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR

<ul>
<li>There are no constituent changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vaneck-vectors-semiconductor" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32807:1" rel="noopener">VanEck Vectors Semiconductor (SMH US)</a> ETF in September but there are a lot of float and capping changes.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/taiwan-semiconductor-sp-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8587:1" rel="noopener">TSMC - ADR</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nvidia-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5891:1" rel="noopener">NVIDIA</a> are the largest sells with buying spread across <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/asml-holding-nv-b0092428-e3ec-4a92-bdd6-2f6eff7f1879" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28204:1" rel="noopener">ASML Holding NV</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/qualcomm-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:969:1" rel="noopener">Qualcomm Inc</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/applied-materials-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:283:1" rel="noopener">Applied Materials</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/micron-technology-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13382:1" rel="noopener">Micron Technology</a>.</li>
<li>The selling in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nvidia-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5891:1" rel="noopener">NVIDIA Corp (NVDA US)</a> will add to the selling from the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/technology-select-sector-spdr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27543:1" rel="noopener">Technology Select Sector SPDR (XLK US)</a> due to the market consultation.</li>
</ul>


There are no constituent changes for the VanEck Vectors Semiconductor (SMH US) ETF in September but there are a lot of float and capping changes.

TSMC - ADR and NVIDIA are the largest sells with buying spread across ASML Holding NV, Qualcomm Inc, Applied Materials and Micron Technology.
The selling in NVIDIA Corp (NVDA US) will add to the selling from the Technology Select Sector SPDR (XLK US) due to the market consultation.


MV US Listed Semiconductor 25 Index Rebalance: Round-Trip Trade Over US$2bn

AI and Global Deep Tech, Mint Finance

Uttkarsh Kohli

AI and Global Deep Tech

Deep Fundamental Analysis

Mint Finance

Mint Finance's investment research blends deep fundamental analysis with technical & quant insights. Investment strategies straddle across multiple asset classes with risk management embedded into every trade to deliver an outsized reward-to-risk ratio.

Mint Finance's research is centered around three key themes. First, energy transition and climate change. Second, artificial intelligence. Third, shifting world order with its impact across politics and monetary economics.

Advanced Micro Devices / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>AMD's market share in the desktop CPU segment has surged to 30%, driven by strong Ryzen sales and innovative product releases, challenging Intel's longstanding dominance in this space.</li>
<li>Intel's revenue in the data centre segment fell 20% year-over-year, reflecting challenges in product delays and increasing competition from AMD's EPYC processors, impacting overall growth potential.</li>
<li>Both companies have ramped up AI-related investments, with AMD committing $1.5 billion and Intel investing $3 billion in AI technology development, aiming to capitalize on the growing market demand.</li>
</ul>


AMD's market share in the desktop CPU segment has surged to 30%, driven by strong Ryzen sales and innovative product releases, challenging Intel's longstanding dominance in this space.
Intel's revenue in the data centre segment fell 20% year-over-year, reflecting challenges in product delays and increasing competition from AMD's EPYC processors, impacting overall growth potential.
Both companies have ramped up AI-related investments, with AMD committing $1.5 billion and Intel investing $3 billion in AI technology development, aiming to capitalize on the growing market demand.


AMD Strengthens CPU Market Position as Intel Faces Challenges in Data Center Growth

Global TMT Analyst, Ex-PM, 30 years experience

Neil Campling

<ul>
<li>EV demand slump prompts CATL production cuts, lithium prices fall below breakeven</li>
<li>What happened to Nvidia's MOAT? AMD is gaining inference traction </li>
<li>Samsung issues at 2nm and 4nm and TSM continues to widen tech leadership. TSM as a Monopsony could hurt TEL and ASML in time</li>
</ul>


EV demand slump prompts CATL production cuts, lithium prices fall below breakeven
What happened to Nvidia's MOAT? AMD is gaining inference traction 
Samsung issues at 2nm and 4nm and TSM continues to widen tech leadership. TSM as a Monopsony could hurt TEL and ASML in time


TMT Daily - EVs, CATL, AMD V NVDA, Samsung V TSM Tokyo Electron, ASML, Telco, Shopify, Match, Bumble

United States

Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (AMD) produces semiconductor products and devices. The Company offers products such as microprocessors, embedded microprocessors, chipsets, graphics, video and multimedia products and supplies it to third-party foundries, as well as provides assembling, testing, and packaging services. AMD serves customers worldwide.

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Advanced Micro Devices (AMD US)

Intel. US DoD & AWS Deals Are Distractions While The Head Remains Firmly In The Sand

US DoD & AWS deals are little more than distractions from the main event. Making IFS a subsidiary will make no difference.The GM collapse in Q224...

William Keating

Tech and AI Investing Trends: A Stock Picker’s Take

Tony's 11th annual tech tour focused on AI as the dominant topic of discussion, reflecting its evolution from a background tool to a primary focus...

The Bid

MV US Listed Semiconductor 25 Index Rebalance: Round-Trip Trade Over US$2bn

No constituent changes but a lot of capping changes. Estimated one-way turnover is 4.9% resulting in a one-way trade of US$1.04bn. The selling in...

Brian Freitas

AMD Strengthens CPU Market Position as Intel Faces Challenges in Data Center Growth

AMD's Ryzen success bolsters its CPU standing, while Intel sees a decline in data center revenues. Both companies ramp up AI investments to secure...

Mint Finance

TMT Daily - EVs, CATL, AMD V NVDA, Samsung V TSM Tokyo Electron, ASML, Telco, Shopify, Match, Bumble

CATL cuts as lithium falls below cash cost as EVs slump. AMD traction in inference v Nvidia. Samsung woes at both 4nm and 2nm, TSM widens lead....

Neil Campling

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Intel. US DoD & AWS Deals Are Distractions While The Head Remains Firmly In The Sand

US DoD & AWS deals are little more than distractions from the main event. Making IFS a subsidiary will make no difference.The GM collapse in Q224...

William Keating

Tech and AI Investing Trends: A Stock Picker’s Take

Tony's 11th annual tech tour focused on AI as the dominant topic of discussion, reflecting its evolution from a background tool to a primary focus...

The Bid

MV US Listed Semiconductor 25 Index Rebalance: Round-Trip Trade Over US$2bn

No constituent changes but a lot of capping changes. Estimated one-way turnover is 4.9% resulting in a one-way trade of US$1.04bn. The selling in...

Brian Freitas

AMD Strengthens CPU Market Position as Intel Faces Challenges in Data Center Growth

AMD's Ryzen success bolsters its CPU standing, while Intel sees a decline in data center revenues. Both companies ramp up AI investments to secure...

Mint Finance

TMT Daily - EVs, CATL, AMD V NVDA, Samsung V TSM Tokyo Electron, ASML, Telco, Shopify, Match, Bumble

​CATL cuts as lithium falls below cash cost as EVs slump. AMD traction in inference v Nvidia. Samsung woes at both 4nm and 2nm, TSM widens lead....

Neil Campling

CATL cuts as lithium falls below cash cost as EVs slump. AMD traction in inference v Nvidia. Samsung woes at both 4nm and 2nm, TSM widens lead....