Asia L/S Equity PM/Macro/Thematic Idea Generation

Rikki Malik

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>A review of recent events/data impacting our investment themes or outlook</li>
<li>More evidence emerging of a regime change in global markets</li>
<li>What is different this time around from previous bear markets</li>
</ul>


A review of recent events/data impacting our investment themes or outlook
More evidence emerging of a regime change in global markets
What is different this time around from previous bear markets


Overview #19 – Don’t Buy the D@nm Dip!

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

Shenton Research

Shenton Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in margin trading positions of JPX stocks as of Sep 11th. The aggregated net margin trading position is USD30,193m.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top/bottom net long/short of margin trading by value, net margin buy as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight net margin buy/sell changes in Kioxia, SoftBank, Advantest, Mitsubishi UFJ Financial, Lintec, Nintendo, Japan Airport Terminal, Tokyo Electron, Disco, Sumitomo Mitsui Financial.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in margin trading positions of JPX stocks as of Sep 11th. The aggregated net margin trading position is USD30,193m.
We tabulate league tables for top/bottom net long/short of margin trading by value, net margin buy as multiple of ADT.
We highlight net margin buy/sell changes in Kioxia, SoftBank, Advantest, Mitsubishi UFJ Financial, Lintec, Nintendo, Japan Airport Terminal, Tokyo Electron, Disco, Sumitomo Mitsui Financial.


JPX Margin Trading Weekly (Sep 11th): Kioxia, SoftBank, Advantest, Mitsubishi UFJ Financial, Lintec

Japan Specialist

Mark Chadwick

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>
Economic Uncertainty &amp; BOJ Policy Shift: Japan's GDP growth slowed, consumer spending weakened, and the BOJ signaled tighter monetary policy, pushing bond yields to multi-year highs.</li>
<li>
Global Trade &amp; Market Volatility: U.S. recession fears, yen appreciation, and renewed trade tensions, including Trump's tariff threats, weighed on investor sentiment despite a late tech stock rebound.</li>
<li>
 Advantest and Disco surged on AI and semiconductor demand, while Recruit fell due to U.S. hiring weakness, highlighting sector-specific growth and risks.</li>
</ul>



Economic Uncertainty &amp; BOJ Policy Shift: Japan's GDP growth slowed, consumer spending weakened, and the BOJ signaled tighter monetary policy, pushing bond yields to multi-year highs.

Global Trade &amp; Market Volatility: U.S. recession fears, yen appreciation, and renewed trade tensions, including Trump's tariff threats, weighed on investor sentiment despite a late tech stock rebound.

 Advantest and Disco surged on AI and semiconductor demand, while Recruit fell due to U.S. hiring weakness, highlighting sector-specific growth and risks.


Japan Strategy Weekly | Markets Struggle Amid Economic Uncertainty

Japanese Equity Specialist, Ortus Advisors

Andrew Jackson

Japanese Equity Specialist

Ortus Advisors

<ul>
<li>New CEO positive for Intel plays such as Ibiden. SPE favourites to rally off lows.</li>
<li>Apple and related suppliers failing to catch a bid with analysts bearish over AI delay.</li>
<li>Sandisk down but Micron up...still room for NAND plays to run on price hike expectations?</li>
</ul>


New CEO positive for Intel plays such as Ibiden. SPE favourites to rally off lows.
Apple and related suppliers failing to catch a bid with analysts bearish over AI delay.
Sandisk down but Micron up...still room for NAND plays to run on price hike expectations?


Japan Morning Connection: Relief Rally for Tech and High-Beta Laggards After Macro Data

<ul>
<li>Risk-On names leading gainers in tech, while consumer disc weak after poor airlines and retailer guidance.</li>
<li>More outlets reporting on NAND hikes are on the way...look for upside for Kioxia and Kokusai Electric.</li>
<li>Puma -10.7% and a weak consumer outlook enough to take the shine off Asics?</li>
</ul>


Risk-On names leading gainers in tech, while consumer disc weak after poor airlines and retailer guidance.
More outlets reporting on NAND hikes are on the way...look for upside for Kioxia and Kokusai Electric.
Puma -10.7% and a weak consumer outlook enough to take the shine off Asics?


Japan Morning Connection: US Respite and UKR News Should Be Enough for JP Upside

Japan

ADVANTEST CORPORATION produces semiconductor testing devices and electronic measuring instruments.  The Company's products include large-scale integration (LSI) test systems, memory test systems, dynamic test handlers, network analyzers, electronic meters, optical testing devices, and signal sources.

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Advantest Corp (6857 JP)

Overview #19 – Don’t Buy the D@nm Dip!

A review of recent events/data impacting our investment themes and outlook. How will the incoming bear market in the US impact Asia

Rikki Malik

JPX Margin Trading Weekly (Sep 11th): Kioxia, SoftBank, Advantest, Mitsubishi UFJ Financial, Lintec

We analyzed JPX margin trading positions report for the past week and highlighted Kioxia (285A JP), SoftBank (9984 JP), Advantest (6857 JP),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Japan Strategy Weekly | Markets Struggle Amid Economic Uncertainty

Japan's economic slowdown and BOJ policy shift impact bond yields, while global trade tensions and market volatility weigh on investor sentiment....

Mark Chadwick

Japan Morning Connection: Relief Rally for Tech and High-Beta Laggards After Macro Data

New Intel CEO a positive for related plays such as Ibiden. Apple struggles with AI delay. NAND plays may still have room to run on price hike...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: US Respite and UKR News Should Be Enough for JP Upside

Consumer discretionary struggling due to poor guidance from airlines and retailers. NAND price hikes expected to benefit Kioxia and Kokusai Electric.

Andrew Jackson

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Overview #19 – Don’t Buy the D@nm Dip!

A review of recent events/data impacting our investment themes and outlook. How will the incoming bear market in the US impact Asia

Rikki Malik

JPX Margin Trading Weekly (Sep 11th): Kioxia, SoftBank, Advantest, Mitsubishi UFJ Financial, Lintec

We analyzed JPX margin trading positions report for the past week and highlighted Kioxia (285A JP), SoftBank (9984 JP), Advantest (6857 JP),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Japan Strategy Weekly | Markets Struggle Amid Economic Uncertainty

​Japan's economic slowdown and BOJ policy shift impact bond yields, while global trade tensions and market volatility weigh on investor sentiment....

Mark Chadwick

Japan Morning Connection: Relief Rally for Tech and High-Beta Laggards After Macro Data

​New Intel CEO a positive for related plays such as Ibiden. Apple struggles with AI delay. NAND plays may still have room to run on price hike...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: US Respite and UKR News Should Be Enough for JP Upside

Consumer discretionary struggling due to poor guidance from airlines and retailers. NAND price hikes expected to benefit Kioxia and Kokusai Electric.

Andrew Jackson

Japan's economic slowdown and BOJ policy shift impact bond yields, while global trade tensions and market volatility weigh on investor sentiment....

New Intel CEO a positive for related plays such as Ibiden. Apple struggles with AI delay. NAND plays may still have room to run on price hike...