Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>I overlooked one detail in the Sep26 rebal announcement which, when discovered, changed my outlook on the March 2027 Nikkei 225 rebalance. </li>
<li>Unfortunately, the implied changes cannot be confirmed yet. It may be possible to get some greater confirmation in October. </li>
<li>But the implied changes signal a different pattern of ADDs and DELETEs. And a few stocks stand out. </li>
</ul>


I overlooked one detail in the Sep26 rebal announcement which, when discovered, changed my outlook on the March 2027 Nikkei 225 rebalance. 
Unfortunately, the implied changes cannot be confirmed yet. It may be possible to get some greater confirmation in October. 
But the implied changes signal a different pattern of ADDs and DELETEs. And a few stocks stand out. 


[Quiddity Index] CORRECTION: Advance Look at Mar27 Nikkei 225 Rebal; Info & Comms Rules The Roost

Japanese Equity Specialist, Ortus Advisors

Andrew Jackson

Japanese Equity Specialist

Ortus Advisors

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Lam Research and KLA carrying on from ASML beat earlier in the week: positive for JP SPE.</li>
<li>Intel trading better after hours with earnings not a horrible as feared may help JP suppliers.</li>
<li>IBM beat on its transition to services and AI offerings should help JP IT such as Fujitsu, as well as NEC and NRI who also reported yesterday.</li>
</ul>


Lam Research and KLA carrying on from ASML beat earlier in the week: positive for JP SPE.
Intel trading better after hours with earnings not a horrible as feared may help JP suppliers.
IBM beat on its transition to services and AI offerings should help JP IT such as Fujitsu, as well as NEC and NRI who also reported yesterday.


Japan Morning Connection: Semi Rebound with Good Earnings from Semi-Cap Majors

<ul>
<li>Huge print from ASML set a positive tone, but the potential for tighter NVDA restrictions weighed on sentiment.</li>
<li>Big selling for Corning off the highs as guidance not enough to justify the run... may see weakness in Fujikura and Furukawa.</li>
<li>Strong numbers from Advantest will also help sentiment for Japan SPE.</li>
</ul>


Huge print from ASML set a positive tone, but the potential for tighter NVDA restrictions weighed on sentiment.
Big selling for Corning off the highs as guidance not enough to justify the run... may see weakness in Fujikura and Furukawa.
Strong numbers from Advantest will also help sentiment for Japan SPE.


Japan Morning Connection: Mixed Signals from Tech and Semi's but After-Mkt Moves Pointing Higher

Japan Specialist

Mark Chadwick

<ul>
<li>US markets fall as tech stocks slide – Fed holds rates, Nvidia drops 4% on export concerns, Meta and Microsoft decline post-earnings, while Tesla rises despite weak results.</li>
<li>Fed cautious on inflation and rates – Officials see trade and immigration pressures, inflation remains elevated, job market solid, and a higher bar for further rate cuts.</li>
<li>Strong earnings from Japan Inc.  – Advantest's profit up 2.7x, Makita's net profit up 65%,  &amp; Shin Etsu's profit rises 6%.</li>
</ul>


US markets fall as tech stocks slide – Fed holds rates, Nvidia drops 4% on export concerns, Meta and Microsoft decline post-earnings, while Tesla rises despite weak results.
Fed cautious on inflation and rates – Officials see trade and immigration pressures, inflation remains elevated, job market solid, and a higher bar for further rate cuts.
Strong earnings from Japan Inc.  – Advantest's profit up 2.7x, Makita's net profit up 65%,  &amp; Shin Etsu's profit rises 6%.


Ohayo Japan | Nvidia, Meta, and Microsoft Hit Hard

<ul>
<li>Limited breadth of winners, even in the SOX, with numerous DeepSeek and capex questions outstanding.</li>
<li>Regardless expect JP SPE to be higher to start; watch Advantest into numbers today after its -19% 2-day drop.</li>
<li>IT/SaaS companies are worth a look here with AI R&amp;D costs now potentially much lower including Fujitsu and NEC.</li>
</ul>


Limited breadth of winners, even in the SOX, with numerous DeepSeek and capex questions outstanding.
Regardless expect JP SPE to be higher to start; watch Advantest into numbers today after its -19% 2-day drop.
IT/SaaS companies are worth a look here with AI R&amp;D costs now potentially much lower including Fujitsu and NEC.


Japan Morning Connection: US Tech and Semi Rebound Feel's like a Dead Cat Bounce

Japan

ADVANTEST CORPORATION produces semiconductor testing devices and electronic measuring instruments.  The Company's products include large-scale integration (LSI) test systems, memory test systems, dynamic test handlers, network analyzers, electronic meters, optical testing devices, and signal sources.

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Advantest Corp (6857 JP)

[Quiddity Index] CORRECTION: Advance Look at Mar27 Nikkei 225 Rebal; Info & Comms Rules The Roost

A misread of the Sep26 rebal announcement led me down a wrong path. The path is now corrected, but the path is still shrouded in fog. That fog may...

Travis Lundy

Japan Morning Connection: Semi Rebound with Good Earnings from Semi-Cap Majors

Positive earnings reports from Lam Research and KLA bode well for JP SPE. Intel earnings better than feared may help JP suppliers. IBM beat may...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: Mixed Signals from Tech and Semi's but After-Mkt Moves Pointing Higher

ASML's strong print boosts sentiment but weighed by NVDA restriction concerns. Corning off the highs; may see weakness in Fujikura and Furukara....

Andrew Jackson

Ohayo Japan | Nvidia, Meta, and Microsoft Hit Hard

US markets fall on tech stock slide despite Fed holding rates, Nvidia drops 4% on export concerns, Meta and Microsoft decline post-earnings, while...

Mark Chadwick

Japan Morning Connection: US Tech and Semi Rebound Feel's like a Dead Cat Bounce

Opportunities to watch for higher JP SPE, keep an eye on Advantest after recent drop. IT/SaaS companies like Fujitsu and NEC worth looking at with...

Andrew Jackson

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

[Quiddity Index] CORRECTION: Advance Look at Mar27 Nikkei 225 Rebal; Info & Comms Rules The Roost

A misread of the Sep26 rebal announcement led me down a wrong path. The path is now corrected, but the path is still shrouded in fog. That fog may...

Travis Lundy

Japan Morning Connection: Semi Rebound with Good Earnings from Semi-Cap Majors

​Positive earnings reports from Lam Research and KLA bode well for JP SPE. Intel earnings better than feared may help JP suppliers. IBM beat may...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: Mixed Signals from Tech and Semi's but After-Mkt Moves Pointing Higher

​ASML's strong print boosts sentiment but weighed by NVDA restriction concerns. Corning off the highs; may see weakness in Fujikura and Furukara....

Andrew Jackson

Ohayo Japan | Nvidia, Meta, and Microsoft Hit Hard

​US markets fall on tech stock slide despite Fed holding rates, Nvidia drops 4% on export concerns, Meta and Microsoft decline post-earnings, while...

Mark Chadwick

Japan Morning Connection: US Tech and Semi Rebound Feel's like a Dead Cat Bounce

Opportunities to watch for higher JP SPE, keep an eye on Advantest after recent drop. IT/SaaS companies like Fujitsu and NEC worth looking at with...

Andrew Jackson

Positive earnings reports from Lam Research and KLA bode well for JP SPE. Intel earnings better than feared may help JP suppliers. IBM beat may...

ASML's strong print boosts sentiment but weighed by NVDA restriction concerns. Corning off the highs; may see weakness in Fujikura and Furukara....

US markets fall on tech stock slide despite Fed holding rates, Nvidia drops 4% on export concerns, Meta and Microsoft decline post-earnings, while...