Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport, Tracking Traffic

Daniel Hellberg

Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport

Tracking Traffic

Focusing on Asian logistics, transportation, and travel companies

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Total US border crossings in July 2026 were up just 0.6% Y/Y (and down 5% vs July 2024)</li>
<li>July 2026 crossings by aircraft were down over 3% Y/Y, and down 2% Y/Y in US West</li>
<li>The figures from peak Summer travel period seem to confirm sluggish US tourism activity</li>
</ul>


Total US border crossings in July 2026 were up just 0.6% Y/Y (and down 5% vs July 2024)
July 2026 crossings by aircraft were down over 3% Y/Y, and down 2% Y/Y in US West
The figures from peak Summer travel period seem to confirm sluggish US tourism activity


Latest US Customs & Border Protection Data Appear to Confirm Sluggish US Tourism Activity

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

Shenton Research

Shenton Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 196 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 81.8% as of Sep 4th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by 0.4ppt week-on-week, led by communication services, consumer staples, consumer discretionary and offset by energy, financials, utilities.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for China South Air, Remegen, China Telecom, Muyuan Foods, Conch Cement, Minsheng Bank.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 196 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 81.8% as of Sep 4th.
The average A-H premium changed by 0.4ppt week-on-week, led by communication services, consumer staples, consumer discretionary and offset by energy, financials, utilities.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for China South Air, Remegen, China Telecom, Muyuan Foods, Conch Cement, Minsheng Bank.


A-H Premium Weekly (Sep 4th): China South Air, Remegen, China Telecom, Muyuan Foods, Conch Cement

Articles from Caixin Global, Caixin Global

Caixin Global

Articles from Caixin Global

Caixin is a media group dedicated to providing financial and business news through periodicals, online content, mobile apps, conferences, books and TV/video programs. Caixin aims to blaze a trail that helps traditional media prosper in the new media age through integrated multimedia platforms.

News from Caixin

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul><li>Coral sand / In Depth: Ambiguous reef protection laws leave China’s coral sand traders high and dry</li><li>Macao /: Macao’s former top judge announces leadership candidacy</li><li>Investment banks /: Former Haitong executive in crime probe arrested after fleeing to Laos</li></ul>

Coral sand / In Depth: Ambiguous reef protection laws leave China’s coral sand traders high and dryMacao /: Macao’s former top judge announces leadership candidacyInvestment banks /: Former Haitong executive in crime probe arrested after fleeing to Laos

CX Daily: Ambiguous Reef Protection Laws Leave China’s Coral Sand Traders High and Dry 

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sbi-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10928:1" rel="noopener">SBI Holdings (8473 JP)</a> wants to buy 20% of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/base-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28353:1" rel="noopener">BASE (4477 JP)</a> out of 46.7% likely available. That's unlikely at ¥340; they'll have to bump to get those shares.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/continental-aerospace-technologies-holding-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15249:1" rel="noopener">Continental Aerospace Technologies (232 HK)</a> has played out nicely. There's still money on the table - just a question mark on timing for the distribution from "surplus cash".</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mitsubishi-chemical-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12781:1" rel="noopener">Mitsubishi Chemical (4188 JP)</a>'s turnaround narrative sees it trading rich (implied stub &amp; simple ratio) to ~51%-held <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nippon-sanso-holdings-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15756:1" rel="noopener">Nippon Sanso Holdings (4091 JP)</a>'s steady-as-you-go narrative.</li>
</ul>



SBI Holdings (8473 JP) wants to buy 20% of BASE (4477 JP) out of 46.7% likely available. That's unlikely at ¥340; they'll have to bump to get those shares.

Continental Aerospace Technologies (232 HK) has played out nicely. There's still money on the table - just a question mark on timing for the distribution from "surplus cash".

Mitsubishi Chemical (4188 JP)'s turnaround narrative sees it trading rich (implied stub &amp; simple ratio) to ~51%-held Nippon Sanso Holdings (4091 JP)'s steady-as-you-go narrative.


Last Week In Event SPACE: SBI/BASE, Con Aero Tech, Mitsubishi Chem/Nippon Sanso, Swire Pac, Jollibee

<ul>
<li>Via an accelerated exchange, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/swire-pacific-limited-class-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10433:1" rel="noopener">Swire Pacific (19 HK)</a> is soliciting tenders from its 2027 exchangeable bond holders and, in parallel, placing <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cathay-pacific-airways-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:243:1" rel="noopener">Cathay (293 HK)</a> shares to fund the bond repurchase.</li>
<li>Preceding my comments on Swire, are the current setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos.</li>
<li>These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity of US$1mn, and a % market capitalisation &gt;20%.</li>
</ul>


Via an accelerated exchange, Swire Pacific (19 HK) is soliciting tenders from its 2027 exchangeable bond holders and, in parallel, placing Cathay (293 HK) shares to fund the bond repurchase.
Preceding my comments on Swire, are the current setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos.
These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity of US$1mn, and a % market capitalisation &gt;20%.


StubWorld: Swire Accelerates Cathay Exchange. "As" At Multi-Decade Premium To "Bs"

China

Air China is the flag carrier airline of the People's Republic of China, primarily providing air passenger and air cargo services, including both domestic and international flights. The company also offers a range of airline-related services such as aircraft engineering and airport ground handling. It was founded in 1988 and is headquartered in Beijing, People's Republic of China.

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Air China (753 HK)

Latest US Customs & Border Protection Data Appear to Confirm Sluggish US Tourism Activity

The latest figures for US border crossings suggest international travel into and out of the US remains sluggish. The figures show little growth...

Tracking Traffic

A-H Premium Weekly (Sep 4th): China South Air, Remegen, China Telecom, Muyuan Foods, Conch Cement

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for China South Air, Remegen, China Telecom, Muyuan Foods, Conch...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

CX Daily: Ambiguous Reef Protection Laws Leave China’s Coral Sand Traders High and Dry

Coral sand / In Depth: Ambiguous reef protection laws leave China’s coral sand traders high and dry In December 2021, with the Covid-19 pandemic...

Caixin Global

Last Week In Event SPACE: SBI/BASE, Con Aero Tech, Mitsubishi Chem/Nippon Sanso, Swire Pac, Jollibee

It’s Sunday! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed during the...

David Blennerhassett

StubWorld: Swire Accelerates Cathay Exchange. "As" At Multi-Decade Premium To "Bs"

The accelerated exchange is unusual. Perhaps Cathay shares are being placed with EB holders. Pac is elevated on a NAV basis and implied stub. Pac's...

David Blennerhassett

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