Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning, Copley Fund Research

Steven Holden

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning

Copley Fund Research

Copley Fund Research provide research and data on asset allocation among Global and Emerging Market equity funds.  The analysis details absolute and relative positioning across countries, sectors and industries together with highly granular data on single stock and single fund allocations.  The data is updated monthly with time series going back to January 2011.

Global Research - Analysis of 165 prominent Global equity funds, combined AUM $335bn
GEM Research - Analysis of 127 prominent global EM equity funds, combined AUM $250bn

Asset Allocation - Global and GEM Equity

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>Active Global funds averaged +15.5% YTD, trailing the SPDR ACWI ETF’s +18.8%, with 73% underperforming the benchmark.</li>
<li>Value strategies led performance; Aggressive Growth funds lagged sharply, averaging just +10.15%.</li>
<li>Underweights in US Tech names like NVIDIA and Palantir, plus 2.4% cash holdings, drove relative losses.</li>
</ul>


Active Global funds averaged +15.5% YTD, trailing the SPDR ACWI ETF’s +18.8%, with 73% underperforming the benchmark.
Value strategies led performance; Aggressive Growth funds lagged sharply, averaging just +10.15%.
Underweights in US Tech names like NVIDIA and Palantir, plus 2.4% cash holdings, drove relative losses.


Global Active Funds Struggle to Close the Gap in 2025

Head of Research, Krungthai XSpring

Waraporn Wiboonkanarak

Head of Research

A full service Thai brokerage

Krungthai XSpring

Krungthai XSpring is a full service broker. The company provides a wide range of investment services such as Securities Brokerage, Derivative Agent Business, Securities Borrowing and Lending, Securities Trading, Underwriting, Financial Advisory, Wealth Advisory, Private Fund Management and International Markets Securities Trading. 

In terms of credibility, Fitch Ratings has assigned Krunghtai XSpring a long-term rating of AA- and a national short-term rating of F1+ with stable outlook.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>We recommend selling MUFG19 and cutting losses on SONY80, with returns of –2.7% and –6.6%, respectively, while opening a new position in AMD80, a DR linked to Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) listed on the NASDAQ.</li><li>The return of KTX DR Tactical Picks portfolio fell 1.66% from the previous day, pressured by weakness in Asian equities amid concerns over rising bad-debt risks among US regional banks.</li><li>Our study using the KTX Fundamental USD/THB Tracker indicates that the baht is currently excessively weak.</li></ul>

We recommend selling MUFG19 and cutting losses on SONY80, with returns of –2.7% and –6.6%, respectively, while opening a new position in AMD80, a DR linked to Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) listed on the NASDAQ.The return of KTX DR Tactical Picks portfolio fell 1.66% from the previous day, pressured by weakness in Asian equities amid concerns over rising bad-debt risks among US regional banks.Our study using the KTX Fundamental USD/THB Tracker indicates that the baht is currently excessively weak.

KTX TACTICAL DR PICKS - October 20, 2025 (Eng.)

AI | Semiconductors | Commodities, Mint Finance

Raghav Vashisht

AI | Semiconductors | Commodities

Deep Fundamental Analysis

Mint Finance

Mint Finance's investment research blends deep fundamental analysis with technical & quant insights. Investment strategies straddle across multiple asset classes with risk management embedded into every trade to deliver an outsized reward-to-risk ratio.

Mint Finance's research is centered around three key themes. First, energy transition and climate change. Second, artificial intelligence. Third, shifting world order with its impact across politics and monetary economics.

<ul>
<li>Citi’s claim that AI has triggered the first true semiconductor upcycle in 25 years is partially convincing but also shows signs of overreach.</li>
<li>While ASPs have soared and logic chip margins are inflated, signs of margin compression, overordering, and inventory noise suggest the pricing boom may be peaking.</li>
<li>Investors may need to distinguish between capital-efficient AI bets and overleveraged plays, especially as credit markets begin to price in growing execution and demand risks.</li>
</ul>


Citi’s claim that AI has triggered the first true semiconductor upcycle in 25 years is partially convincing but also shows signs of overreach.
While ASPs have soared and logic chip margins are inflated, signs of margin compression, overordering, and inventory noise suggest the pricing boom may be peaking.
Investors may need to distinguish between capital-efficient AI bets and overleveraged plays, especially as credit markets begin to price in growing execution and demand risks.


Citi’s AI Supercycle Thesis Faces a Logic Check

Podcast On the Business of Semiconductors, The Circuit

The Circuit

Podcast On the Business of Semiconductors

A Podcast On the Business of Semiconductors. With Jay Goldberg and Ben Bajarin

<ul><li>Discussion on NEO clouds and AI infrastructure landlords</li><li>Differentiation between hyperscalers and Neo clouds in terms of business models and focus on AI workloads</li><li>Consideration of critical software in DevOps and AI API software as a factor in defining a hyperscaler's offerings and differentiation from Neo clouds</li></ul>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Discussion on NEO clouds and AI infrastructure landlordsDifferentiation between hyperscalers and Neo clouds in terms of business models and focus on AI workloadsConsideration of critical software in DevOps and AI API software as a factor in defining a hyperscaler's offerings and differentiation from Neo cloudsThis content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Semiconductor & Technology Specialist, Ingenuity

William Keating

Semiconductor & Technology Specialist

Ingenuity

Our focus is exclusively on in-depth research & consulting in the broader semiconductor industry. We focus on the key players, namely Intel, Micron, Qualcomm, Apple, Samsung, NVIDIA, AMD, TSMC & Global Foundries - as well as some of the lesser known, but nonetheless critical, companies such as ASML (for EUV), Mellanox, Cavium, Xilinx etc. We specialise in their products, roadmaps, process technologies, competitive advantages & threats etc. We also help our clients understand the implications of new and emerging technologies, e.g. 3D X-Point, 3D NAND, Carbon Nanotubes, Autonomous Driving, Graphene, Silicon Photonics, Wafer-Level Optics, Artificial Intelligence, FPGA, GPU, ASIC etc. 

Semiconductor Analysis & Research

<ul>
<li>Microsoft CEO Satya Nadella announced his intention to spend $30 billion on AI infrastructure in the UK. NVIDIA, Coreweave, Alphabet and OpenAI are also ponying up further billions</li>
<li>Jensen Huang declared the UK and AI powerhouse, third in line globally behind the US and China</li>
<li>Is it really UK sovereign AI when it's mostly paid for and made in the USA?</li>
</ul>


Microsoft CEO Satya Nadella announced his intention to spend $30 billion on AI infrastructure in the UK. NVIDIA, Coreweave, Alphabet and OpenAI are also ponying up further billions
Jensen Huang declared the UK and AI powerhouse, third in line globally behind the US and China
Is it really UK sovereign AI when it's mostly paid for and made in the USA?


UK Sovereign AI Proudly Paid For & Made In The USA

United States

Alphabet, Inc. operates as a holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, provides web-based search, advertisements, maps, software applications, mobile operating systems, consumer content, enterprise solutions, commerce, and hardware products.

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Alphabet (GOOG US)

Global Active Funds Struggle to Close the Gap in 2025

Global active funds face another uphill year—Value shines, but benchmark dominance, missed US Tech winners, and high cash weights keep most...

Steven Holden

KTX TACTICAL DR PICKS - October 20, 2025 (Eng.)

The return of KTX DR Tactical Picks portfolio fell 1.66% from the previous day, pressured by weakness in Asian equities amid concerns over rising...

Krungthai XSpring

Citi’s AI Supercycle Thesis Faces a Logic Check

Citi believes AI has sparked a semiconductor upcycle, but warnings about potential overreach and pricing peaks still exist. Investors should be...

Mint Finance

EP 136: WE DON'T HAVE THE POWER!

Overall, hyperscalers like Amazon, Google, Meta, Microsoft, and Oracle provide a wide range of infrastructure and software services for various...

The Circuit

UK Sovereign AI Proudly Paid For & Made In The USA

Microsoft will spend $30 billion on AI in the UK with NVIDIA, Coreweave, Alphabet & OpenAI also ponying up further billions. Is it really UK...

William Keating

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Global Active Funds Struggle to Close the Gap in 2025

Global active funds face another uphill year—Value shines, but benchmark dominance, missed US Tech winners, and high cash weights keep most...

Steven Holden

KTX TACTICAL DR PICKS - October 20, 2025 (Eng.)

The return of KTX DR Tactical Picks portfolio fell 1.66% from the previous day, pressured by weakness in Asian equities amid concerns over rising...

Krungthai XSpring

Citi’s AI Supercycle Thesis Faces a Logic Check

​Citi believes AI has sparked a semiconductor upcycle, but warnings about potential overreach and pricing peaks still exist. Investors should be...

Mint Finance

EP 136: WE DON'T HAVE THE POWER!

Overall, hyperscalers like Amazon, Google, Meta, Microsoft, and Oracle provide a wide range of infrastructure and software services for various...

The Circuit

UK Sovereign AI Proudly Paid For & Made In The USA

Microsoft will spend $30 billion on AI in the UK with NVIDIA, Coreweave, Alphabet & OpenAI also ponying up further billions. Is it really UK...

William Keating

Citi believes AI has sparked a semiconductor upcycle, but warnings about potential overreach and pricing peaks still exist. Investors should be...