Derivatives and Quantitative Strategist

Gaudenz Schneider

Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-group-holding-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:787:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba (BABA US)</a> dropped 8.6% following its USD 10.2bn placement, although the capital raising represents only 3.6% of market capitalization and will fund AI investment.</li>
<li>One-Month implied volatility stands at 42.3%, in its 61st percentile, creating elevated—but not extreme—premium income opportunities.</li>
<li>September short puts offer premiums ranging from 1.6% (OTM) to 3.7% (ATM), with lower strikes providing greater downside protection and higher strikes offering greater tactical returns.</li>
</ul>



Alibaba (BABA US) dropped 8.6% following its USD 10.2bn placement, although the capital raising represents only 3.6% of market capitalization and will fund AI investment.
One-Month implied volatility stands at 42.3%, in its 61st percentile, creating elevated—but not extreme—premium income opportunities.
September short puts offer premiums ranging from 1.6% (OTM) to 3.7% (ATM), with lower strikes providing greater downside protection and higher strikes offering greater tactical returns.


Alibaba (BABA US): Trading the Placement Dip with US Options

Blue Lotus Non US Internet research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Ying Pan

Blue Lotus Non US Internet research

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>NTES: NetEase Announces &lt;Eggy Party&gt;’s Spin-off Game &lt;Project Three&gt; (+)</li>
<li>1219 HK/ PDD/ SHEIN/ BABA: Temu negotiating with J&amp;T for cooperation in overseas last-mile services (+)</li>
<li>PDD/ SHEIN/ AMZN/  SE/ MELI: Temu launches in South Africa (+/-)</li>
</ul>


NTES: NetEase Announces &lt;Eggy Party&gt;’s Spin-off Game &lt;Project Three&gt; (+)
1219 HK/ PDD/ SHEIN/ BABA: Temu negotiating with J&amp;T for cooperation in overseas last-mile services (+)
PDD/ SHEIN/ AMZN/  SE/ MELI: Temu launches in South Africa (+/-)


[Blue Lotus Daily - TMT Update]:NTES/BABA/PDD/3690 HK/JD/VIPS/1219 HK/SHEIN/AMZN/SE/MELI

Research from Value Investing, Value Investing

Value Investing

Research from Value Investing

I am a value investor. "Value", as defined in Value Investing, is simply the act of buying something for less than its worth. I treat my equity investment as a loan to the business - where the priority is to get back my principal in full, rather than achieving maximum yield. I consider my equity investment as a slightly higher risk loan extended to the business with slightly more accommodative loan covenants - hence justifying a slightly higher yield. While I identify as a value investor and cover all stocks and macro topics indiscriminately, most of my research will have an ASEAN bent as that’s where I’m geographically located.

<ul><li>The red &amp; blue arrows highlight the apples-to-apples comparisons to be made between the respective bars (more details below)</li><li>Around this time last year , I did a portfolio performance review based on all the stocks I had written about in 2022.</li><li>This article is a repeat of that for all the stocks I had written about in 2023.</li></ul>

The red &amp; blue arrows highlight the apples-to-apples comparisons to be made between the respective bars (more details below)Around this time last year , I did a portfolio performance review based on all the stocks I had written about in 2022.This article is a repeat of that for all the stocks I had written about in 2023.

Value Investing Substack Portfolio Review | Annual Letter 2023

<ul>
<li>BABA/ SE/ PDD: Lazada mass-layoffs also in China offices (+/+/-)</li>
<li>NTES: Local media published an article addressing the issue of underage top-up in NetEase's mobile game &lt;Eggy Party&gt; (/)</li>
<li>700 HK: The New Year event operation of &lt;CrossFire Mobile&gt; is a success.(+)</li>
</ul>


BABA/ SE/ PDD: Lazada mass-layoffs also in China offices (+/+/-)
NTES: Local media published an article addressing the issue of underage top-up in NetEase's mobile game &lt;Eggy Party&gt; (/)
700 HK: The New Year event operation of &lt;CrossFire Mobile&gt; is a success.(+)


[Blue Lotus Daily - TMT Update]: BABA/SE/PDD/3690 HK/NTES/700 HK/AMZN/MELI/CPNG

Independent Research, US Dominant Players, Investment Talk

Investment Talk

Independent Research, US Dominant Players

Investment Talk is for readers who wish to learn about companies that are potentially outside of their own circle of research, as well as those who are longing to become part of a community of like-minded investors and learn more about investment research. I would describe myself as a long-term investor who typically takes a 3Y to 5Y outlook, before reassessing once that period matures. I follow the adage that one should research, reach a conclusion, and then verify and continue to hold so long as the thesis remains intact. My own investing style is one that seeks to find dominant players within their respective market who have shown signs of monopoly or oligopolistic behaviour, unlikely to be disrupted, in tandem with discovering market disruptors who have a high likelihood of disrupting their respective market. Equally (and weighted accordingly) I seek to discover more nuanced, misunderstood, situations with a shorter time frame.

<ul><li>Beanie Babies, Tamagotchis, fidget spinners, heelys, silly bandz, pogs, pet rocks, mood rings, cabbage patch kids…</li><li>Every generation has its share of fad products, fashion statements, and hairstyles.</li><li>But what separates a fad from a sustainable trend? Understanding the difference between the two can be challenging.</li></ul>

Beanie Babies, Tamagotchis, fidget spinners, heelys, silly bandz, pogs, pet rocks, mood rings, cabbage patch kids…Every generation has its share of fad products, fashion statements, and hairstyles.But what separates a fad from a sustainable trend? Understanding the difference between the two can be challenging.

United States

Amazon.com, Inc. is an online retailer that offers a wide range of products. The Company's products include books, music, videotapes, computers, electronics, home and garden, and numerous other products.  Amazon offers personalized shopping services, Web-based credit card payment, and direct shipping to customers.

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Amazon (AMZN US)

Alibaba (BABA US): Trading the Placement Dip with US Options

Alibaba’s placement-driven decline creates a range of US-listed short-put setups, spanning defensive entry levels and more aggressive tactical...

Gaudenz Schneider

[Blue Lotus Daily - TMT Update]:NTES/BABA/PDD/3690 HK/JD/VIPS/1219 HK/SHEIN/AMZN/SE/MELI

NetEase announces spin-off game; Temu negotiates with J&T for overseas last-mile services; Temu launches in South Africa.

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Value Investing Substack Portfolio Review | Annual Letter 2023

Around this time last year , I did a portfolio performance review based on all the stocks I had written about in 2022. This article is a repeat of...

Value Investing

[Blue Lotus Daily - TMT Update]: BABA/SE/PDD/3690 HK/NTES/700 HK/AMZN/MELI/CPNG

Lazada mass-layoffs also in China offices. NetEase faces criticism over underage top-ups in mobile game . The New Year event operation of is a...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Fads and Second Acts

Beanie Babies, Tamagotchis, fidget spinners, heelys, silly bandz, pogs, pet rocks, mood rings, cabbage patch kids… Every generation has its share...

Investment Talk

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Alibaba (BABA US): Trading the Placement Dip with US Options

Alibaba’s placement-driven decline creates a range of US-listed short-put setups, spanning defensive entry levels and more aggressive tactical...

Gaudenz Schneider

[Blue Lotus Daily - TMT Update]:NTES/BABA/PDD/3690 HK/JD/VIPS/1219 HK/SHEIN/AMZN/SE/MELI

​NetEase announces spin-off game; Temu negotiates with J&T for overseas last-mile services; Temu launches in South Africa.

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Value Investing Substack Portfolio Review | Annual Letter 2023

Around this time last year , I did a portfolio performance review based on all the stocks I had written about in 2022. This article is a repeat of...

Value Investing

[Blue Lotus Daily - TMT Update]: BABA/SE/PDD/3690 HK/NTES/700 HK/AMZN/MELI/CPNG

Lazada mass-layoffs also in China offices. NetEase faces criticism over underage top-ups in mobile game . The New Year event operation of is a...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Fads and Second Acts

Beanie Babies, Tamagotchis, fidget spinners, heelys, silly bandz, pogs, pet rocks, mood rings, cabbage patch kids… Every generation has its share...

Investment Talk

NetEase announces spin-off game; Temu negotiates with J&T for overseas last-mile services; Temu launches in South Africa.