Quantitative Equity Analyst, DMA

Charlotte van Tiddens, CFA

Quantitative Equity Analyst

Technology-First Company

DMA is a technology-first company that provides an end-to-end SaaS solution to institutional investors. DMA enables regulated entities like asset managers, wealth managers, investment managers and financial advisors to connect their front and back office, break silos and reduce headcount.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>The first phase of the JSE's index harmonisation project will take place at the March rebalance. The vanilla/non-swix index series will be replaced with SWIX exposures.</li>
<li>The SWIX methodology weights all foreign entities by the local/STRATE float (shares sitting on the South African register).</li>
<li>Due to legacy issues, the vanilla/non-swix series (eg. Top 40) weights the Grandfathered group of constituents by their global free floats, upweighting AGL, INP and MNP.</li>
</ul>


The first phase of the JSE's index harmonisation project will take place at the March rebalance. The vanilla/non-swix index series will be replaced with SWIX exposures.
The SWIX methodology weights all foreign entities by the local/STRATE float (shares sitting on the South African register).
Due to legacy issues, the vanilla/non-swix series (eg. Top 40) weights the Grandfathered group of constituents by their global free floats, upweighting AGL, INP and MNP.


JSE Mar '24 Rebalance (Part 1): Index Series to Converge, Passives to Sell AGL, INP, MNP

Event-Driven

<ul><li>We do not expect any constituent changes for the following indices: Top 40, Top 40 SWIX, FINI, FINDI or INDI.</li><li>HAR is expected to enter the RESI and AMS is expected to fall out.</li><li>After much anticipation, ANG’s indicative free float came in at 75%, 21.9 percentage points lower than the current SWIX float of 96.8%.</li></ul>

We do not expect any constituent changes for the following indices: Top 40, Top 40 SWIX, FINI, FINDI or INDI.HAR is expected to enter the RESI and AMS is expected to fall out.After much anticipation, ANG’s indicative free float came in at 75%, 21.9 percentage points lower than the current SWIX float of 96.8%.

DMA ONE: JSE December ‘23 Rebalance Rankings

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

Amman Mineral Internasional / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/amman-mineral-internasional-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39838:1" rel="noopener">Amman Mineral Internasional (1416286D IJ)</a>, an Indonesian copper-gold producer, has launched an IDX IPO to raise US$860 million. Bookbuilding runs from 31 May to 16 June.</li>
<li>Amman’s Batu Hijau mine when combined with the Elang project has the fifth largest copper equivalent reserves in the world, according to Wood Mackenzie.</li>
<li>The key elements of the investment case rest on world-class reserves, credible development plans, solid top-line growth, high profitability, leading cost competitiveness and cash generation.</li>
</ul>



Amman Mineral Internasional (1416286D IJ), an Indonesian copper-gold producer, has launched an IDX IPO to raise US$860 million. Bookbuilding runs from 31 May to 16 June.
Amman’s Batu Hijau mine when combined with the Elang project has the fifth largest copper equivalent reserves in the world, according to Wood Mackenzie.
The key elements of the investment case rest on world-class reserves, credible development plans, solid top-line growth, high profitability, leading cost competitiveness and cash generation.


Amman Mineral Internasional IPO: The Investment Case

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>In August, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bhp-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:147:1" rel="noopener">BHP Group Ltd (BHP AU)</a> launched a $25/share bid - a price it saw as attractive and what target <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/oz-minerals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1138:1" rel="noopener">OZ Minerals Ltd (OZL AU)</a> saw as opportunistic. </li>
<li>Copper had fallen, and peer stock prices had fallen too. Since then, copper has rebounded and peers have too so what was a 25-30% premium no longer exists.</li>
<li>This means the price of OZL should "enjoy" different dynamics going forward.</li>
</ul>


In August, BHP Group Ltd (BHP AU) launched a $25/share bid - a price it saw as attractive and what target OZ Minerals Ltd (OZL AU) saw as opportunistic. 
Copper had fallen, and peer stock prices had fallen too. Since then, copper has rebounded and peers have too so what was a 25-30% premium no longer exists.
This means the price of OZL should "enjoy" different dynamics going forward.


OZ Minerals (OZL) - Copper and Comps Have Caught Up

<ul>
<li>Copper is widely recognised to be in somewhat short supply, and EV/electrification would increase demand going forward (though slower Chinese homebuilding would soften it).</li>
<li>A number of developments suggest a further squeeze in prices could be near and copper price strength along with AUD weakness makes an AUD-denominated OZL Takeover Price easier to raise.</li>
<li>Short-Term positioning and longer-term supply constraints are currently battling for near-term import, but medium-term, there's no escaping the imbalance. Looks like a buy now.</li>
</ul>


Copper is widely recognised to be in somewhat short supply, and EV/electrification would increase demand going forward (though slower Chinese homebuilding would soften it).
A number of developments suggest a further squeeze in prices could be near and copper price strength along with AUD weakness makes an AUD-denominated OZL Takeover Price easier to raise.
Short-Term positioning and longer-term supply constraints are currently battling for near-term import, but medium-term, there's no escaping the imbalance. Looks like a buy now.


OZ Minerals - Circumstances May Merit a Revised Tilt

United Kingdom

Anglo American PLC is a global mining company. The Company's mining portfolio includes bulk commodities including iron ore, manganese and metallurgical coal, base metals including copper and nickel and precious metals and minerals including platinum and diamonds.  Anglo American PLC has mining operations in Africa, Europe, North and South America, Asia and Australia.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Anglo American (AAL LN)

JSE Mar '24 Rebalance (Part 1): Index Series to Converge, Passives to Sell AGL, INP, MNP

Understanding why AGL will be sold down at the JSE March rebalance. The vanilla and SWIX indices will converge reducing the number of JSE equity...

DMA

DMA ONE: JSE December ‘23 Rebalance Rankings

The Week Ahead, NPN x PRX discount update post Tencent results, trading statements released after close yesterday. We do not expect any constituent...

DMA

Amman Mineral Internasional IPO: The Investment Case

The key elements of the investment case rest on world-class reserves, credible development plans, solid top-line growth, high profitability,...

Arun George

OZ Minerals (OZL) - Copper and Comps Have Caught Up

BHP bid for OZL at a premium to market, to peer and copper-implied fair. Since then, copper and peers have rebounded. OZL is no longer trading with...

Travis Lundy

OZ Minerals - Circumstances May Merit a Revised Tilt

OZL has dipped as both BHP and OZL appear to be trying to wait each other out on BHP's A$25/shr offer. Chile presents some problems, global stocks...

Travis Lundy

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)